Me: "I wonder why the Alliance Party are doing so bad--"
Alliance Party: "Our only link is we want more voting reform and that's it."
Me: "Oh."
Alliance Party: "Our only link is we want more voting reform and that's it."
Me: "Oh."
PA-14
Lib 127,184 36.3%
Prog 104,368 29.8%
Nat 55,424 15.8%
Fus 51,676 14.7%
All 12,121 3.5%
Cst 0 0%
Con 0 0%
Total 350,774
MCs elected:
Lib
Prog
Lib
NY-25
Lib 95,327 28.9%
Prog 87,569 26.6%
Nat 65,933 20%
Fus 63,022 19.1%
All 17,592 5.3%
Cst 0 0%
Con 0 0%
Total 329,443
MCs elected:
Lib
Prog
Nat
MD-04
Lib 183,567 56.5%
Prog 67,362 20.7%
Nat 32,549 10%
Fus 31,524 9.7%
All 10,078 3.1%
Cst 0 0%
Con 0 0%
Total 325,081
MCs elected:
Lib
Lib
Prog
GA-11
Con 84,167 25.5%
Lib 69,736 21.2%
Nat 68,946 20.9%
Prog 46,721 14.2%
Cst 45,699 13.9%
All 14,345 4.4%
Fus 0 0%
Total 329,615
MCs elected:
Con
Lib
Nat
NY-12
Lib 160,975 52.5%
Prog 94,626 30.8%
Fus 23,316 7.6%
Nat 18,068 5.9%
All 9,925 3.2%
Cst 0 0%
Con 0 0%
Total 306,910
MCs elected:
Lib
Prog
Lib
TN-06
Nat 90,948 30.5%
Con 64,919 21.8%
Cst 60,594 20.3%
Lib 45,354 15.2%
Prog 25,194 8.5%
All 10,957 3.7%
Fus 0 0%
Total 297,967
MCs elected:
Nat
Con
Cst
Current totals
Lib 162
Nat 111
Prog 74
Con 37
Fus 15
Cst 12
All 0
Hmm, adding the Con/Con/Fusion grouping together gets to 64- not quite so large a gulf with the Progressives.
VA-03
Lib 146,497 45.3%
Prog 59,249 18.3%
Con 49,703 15.4%
Nat 37,837 11.7%
Cst 15,524 4.8%
All 14,612 4.5%
Fus 0 0%
Total 323,422
MCs elected:
Lib
Lib
Prog
NC-11
Nat 92,461 25.4%
Cst 87,171 23.9%
Prog 69,322 19%
Lib 54,485 15%
Con 50,370 13.8%
All 10,247 2.8%
Fus 0 0%
Total 364,055
MCs elected:
Nat
Cst
Prog
NJ-09
Lib 115,623 41.8%
Nat 78,224 28.3%
Prog 62,331 22.5%
Fus 13,472 4.9%
All 7,089 2.6%
Cst 0 0%
Con 0 0%
Total 276,738
MCs elected:
Lib
Nat
Prog
FL-07
Lib 108,759 29.9%
Prog 77,899 21.4%
Nat 70,172 19.3%
Con 58,504 16.1%
Cst 31,502 8.7%
All 16,350 4.5%
Fus 0 0%
Total 363,186
MCs elected:
Lib
Prog
Nat
GA-04
Lib 169,982 56.9%
Prog 54,925 18.4%
Con 27,368 9.2%
Nat 23,256 7.8%
Cst 15,808 5.3%
All 7,323 2.5%
Fus 0 0%
Total 298,663
MCs elected:
Lib
Lib
Lib
KY-02
Nat 77,870 24%
Cst 73,402 22.6%
Con 67,881 20.9%
Prog 46,455 14.3%
Lib 43,108 13.3%
All 15,797 4.9%
Fus 0 0%
Total 324,512
MCs elected:
Nat
Cst
Con
NY-19
Nat 96,972 30.4%
Prog 82,511 25.8%
Fus 65,293 20.4%
Lib 58,007 18.2%
All 16,669 5.2%
Cst 0 0%
Con 0 0%
Total 319,452
MCs elected:
Nat
Prog
Fus
WV-03
Nat 133,939 61.2%
Prog 31,224 14.3%
Fus 24,824 11.3%
Lib 19,699 9%
All 9,204 4.2%
Cst 0 0%
Con 0 0%
Total 218,890
MCs elected:
Nat
Nat
Nat
West Virginia
Nat 401,325 56.3%
Prog 110,544 15.5%
Fus 88,046 12.3%
Lib 78,250 11%
All 34,886 4.9%
Cst 0 0%
Con 0 0%
Total 713,051
MCs elected:
Nat
Nat
GA-06
Lib 93,415 28.2%
Con 87,473 26.4%
Prog 61,661 18.6%
Nat 44,917 13.6%
Cst 27,633 8.3%
All 16,147 4.9%
Fus 0 0%
Total 331,246
MCs elected:
Lib
Con
Prog
NY-09
Lib 134,538 53%
Prog 77,274 30.4%
Nat 21,441 8.4%
Fus 15,159 6%
All 5,377 2.1%
Cst 0 0%
Con 0 0%
Total 253,789
MCs elected:
Lib
Prog
Lib
KY-03
Lib 109,074 32.1%
Prog 77,476 22.8%
Con 55,833 16.4%
Nat 40,986 12.1%
Cst 38,895 11.4%
All 17,780 5.2%
Fus 0 0%
Total 340,043
MCs elected:
Lib
Prog
Con
TN-01
Nat 88,349 33.3%
Con 67,249 25.3%
Cst 48,070 18.1%
Lib 27,372 10.3%
Prog 24,868 9.4%
All 9,585 3.6%
Fus 0 0%
Total 265,493
MCs elected:
Nat
Con
Cst
VA-11
Lib 151,565 42.4%
Prog 87,417 24.5%
Con 55,629 15.6%
Nat 28,007 7.8%
All 19,850 5.6%
Cst 14,586 4.1%
Fus 0 0%
Total 357,054
MCs elected:
Lib
Prog
Lib
GA-08
Nat 75,512 28.4%
Lib 69,793 26.3%
Con 52,380 19.7%
Cst 40,301 15.2%
Prog 21,568 8.1%
All 5,961 2.2%
Fus 0 0%
Total 265,514
MCs elected:
Nat
Lib
Con
"Eleven full seats for Mr Trump's Nationals from this former mining area. Quite a shocking display of populism, of the same pattern that is proceeding across Europe, and strangely seems to gain more support the more we report on it..."
"As there's only one district, we can give both at once now the results are here..."
Rich (BB code):DC-00 Lib 223,513 71.8% Prog 59,317 19.1% All 15,715 5% Con 9,356 3% Nat 1,774 0.6% Cst 1,594 0.5% Fus 0 0% Total 311,268 MCs elected: Lib Lib Lib
"A pretty titanic vote for the Liberals there and almost nothing for the right-wing parties...who in fact come behind the Alliance Party! And the top-up seats are the same of course..."
Rich (BB code):DC at-large Lib 223,513 71.8% Prog 59,317 19.1% All 15,715 5% Con 9,356 3% Nat 1,774 0.6% Cst 1,594 0.5% Fus 0 0% Total 311,268 MCs elected: Lib Lib
"So that's five more MCs for the Liberals from the voters of DC, an historic moment and one which will be pleasing to those who have campaigned for this right for years."
I'm pretty sure the results are ripped from the 2016 primaries, which went overwhelmingly for Clinton.Dumb Q: how did you wind up with three libs and no prog for DC? Even in 2016 DC was much less heavily black than it was for most of the postwar period (still majority-minority, but a bit more split between black/latino/Asian/other) and enough young progressives that I'd have expected a bit more of a progressive voteshare.
Dumb Q: how did you wind up with three libs and no prog for DC? Even in 2016 DC was much less heavily black than it was for most of the postwar period (still majority-minority, but a bit more split between black/latino/Asian/other) and enough young progressives that I'd have expected a bit more of a progressive voteshare.
A lot of the DC progressives aren't in the district itself but in its urban periphery I think?
Also the problem with going *just* off primary results is that the DMV primaries were pretty late and I think a lot of people had already ditched Bernie because he was seen as kinda sore loser ish by that point.
Yeah that's generally an issue with drawing data from primaries.
Though you might get the same effect here with people expecting the progressives not to be competitive in liberal strongholds.