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The World Ahead: The Good, The Bad and the Ugly
  • The Good, The Bad and The Ugly: Seven Best and Seven Worst Primary Candidates of the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s, c. May 2048

    Democratic — Best:
    1. Bruce Wayne (New York—2032, 2036)
    2. John Fetterman (Pennsylvania—2028)
    3. Claudia Zapata (Texas—2048)
    4. Joe Biden (Delaware—2020, 2024)
    5. Matt Cartwright (Pennsylvania—2032)
    6. Cameron Kasky (Florida—2044, 2048)
    7. Jeramey Anderson (Mississippi—2040)
    Democratic — Worst:
    1. Lee Camp (Virginia—2036)
    2. Michael Bloomberg (New York—2020)
    3. Matt Jette (Montana—2040)
    4. S. E. Cupp (New York / Virginia—2032, 2040)
    5. Michelle Wu (Massachusetts—2040, 2044)
    6. Marc Luna (California—2044)
    7. Brittany Ramos DeBarros (New York—2028, 2040, 2044)
    Republican Best:
    1. Donald Trump Sr. (Florida—2020, 2024)
    2. Aaron Rodgers (Wisconsin—2036)
    3. Abby Huntsman (Pennsylvania—2048)
    4. Tulsi Gabbard (California—2028, 2036)
    5. Josh Hawley (Missouri—2028)
    6. Katie Britt (Alabama—2036, 2040)
    7. Erin Stewart (Connecticut—2032, 2040)
    Republican — Worst:
    1. Christian Walker (Georgia—2036)
    2. Ben Shapiro (New York—2028, 2036)
    3. Adam Andrzejewski (Illinois—2044, 2048)
    4. Ron DeSantis (Florida—2028, 2032)
    5. Dave Portnoy (Massachusetts—2028, 2036)
    6. Trey Falwell (Virginia—2040, 2044)
    7. Jackson Hinkle (California—2036, 2044)
    ***
    I know I’m quite late to this but I have to ask what’s happened here? How does Britain keep control of Hong Kong?
    To be honest I don't have a plan for that. It's a bit like how they wrote WWZ - I drew a line around Hong Kong remaining British, said "this is going to happen, ASBs be damned" and moved on.
    How did Cook become Labour leader? Did this occur due to Kinnock possibly stepping down in the late 80s (which was certainly possible, as he had numerous bouts of crippling depression through 88’/89’).
    ...you know what, I didn't know about his depression so I'll use that as a POD.
    I do have a couple of nit picks, Blair is incredibly unlikely to defect to the Conservatives unless this is a POD from long beforehand.
    That was the idea, yes. His father was a Tory and a POD in the 40s should be enough to keep Hong Kong in the British camp.
    Additionally McDonnell is the most unlikely Labour leader ever, mainly because of his personality as several times in threatened colleagues and made jokes about fellow mps being kneecapped by the IRA. Even with his eventual moderation and ‘grandad in jumpers phase’ he still is unlikely to be leader due to his actions. I would say someone like Katy Clark or Jon Trickett (weighed down by Eurosceptic antics otl but here could just be ignored).
    What do you think of, say, Graham Stringer?
    I would say in some respects the Labour leaders aspects of the list plays things a bit safe, with the changes that Cook would bring, and additionally the precident of Labour leaders being young not really occurring, you likely see all sorts of different figures emerge.
    Oh absolutely, I don't really have a good grasp on political-could-have-beens in the UK.
     
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    The World Ahead: Presidents of the United States
  • Presidents of the United States of America:
    2021-2027: Former Vice President Joe Biden (Democratic—Delaware)
    -20 (with California Senator Kamala Harris): def. Donald Trump / Mike Pence (Republican)
    -24 (with Vice President Kamala Harris): def. Donald Trump / Kristi Noem (Republican)
    2027-2029: Vice President Kamala Harris (Democratic—California)
    -27: Frm. Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear confirmed as Vice President.
    2029-2033: Former Governor Ron DeSantis (Republican—Florida)
    -28 (with Iowa Senator Joni Ernst): def. Kamala Harris / Andy Beshear (Democratic), Andrew Yang / Beth Fukumoto (Forward!)
    2033-2041: Governor Bruce Wayne (Democratic—New York)
    -32 (with Massachusetts Senator Michelle Wu): def. Ron DeSantis / Joni Ernst (Republican)
    -36 (with Vice President Michelle Wu): def. Christian Walker / Christopher Rufo (Republican), Greg Locke / J. R. Majewski [replacing Matt Walsh] (Constitution)
    2041-2045: Vice President Michelle Wu (Democratic—Massachusetts)
    -40 (with Florida Senator Cameron Kasky): def. Mike Gallagher / Kyle Kashuv (Republican), Eddie Gallagher / Jackson Hinkle (National Alternative)
    2045-2049: Governor Adam Andrzejewski (Republican—Illinois)
    -44 (with Mississippi Senator Jansen Owen): def. Michelle Wu / Cameron Kasky (Democratic), Marc Luna / Jaymi Sterling (Alliance 2050), Ethan Nordean / Tom Woods (National Alternative)
    2049-2053: Senator Claudia Zapata (Democratic—Texas)
    -48 (with Frm. Nebraska Governor Camdyn Kavan): def. Abby Huntsman / Justin Tuthill (Republican), Adam Andrzejewski / Alek Skarlatos (Citizens For Action)
    2053-20__: Venture capitalist Zach Reitano (National—Colorado)
    -52 (with Alaska Senator Josiah Patkotak): def. Claudia Zapata / Camdyn Kavan (Democratic), Braxton Mitchell / Javon Price (Republican)
     
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    The World Ahead: Major American political figures, 2033
  • Definitely cribbing @Comrade Izaac 's work on TNO's Senate mechanic. But for major individuals.
    ***​
    Major American political figures, 2033

    Democratic Party:
    Bruce Wayne
    [Progressive]
    Michelle Wu [Progressive]
    Ron Nirenberg [Progressive]
    Pete Buttigieg [Liberal]
    Amy Klobuchar [Liberal]
    Hakeem Jeffries [Liberal]
    Carlos Ramirez-Rosa [Democratic Socialist]
    Brace Belden [Democratic Socialist]
    Jared Golden [Blue Dog]
    Abigail Spanberger [Blue Dog]

    Republican Party:
    John Thune
    [Conservative]

    Katie Britt [Conservative]
    Cindy Byrd [Conservative]
    Elise Stefanik [MAGA]
    Alek Skarlatos [MAGA]
    Jessica Taylor [MAGA]
    Tucker Carlson [Nationalist]
    Tulsi Gabbard [Nationalist]
    Erin Stewart [Moderate]
    Benji Backer [Moderate]

    Progressive: #FF33FF
    Moderate: #FF9999
     
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    The World Ahead: 2036 Democratic Party presidential primaries
  • "Wayne once again declines to debate Gray in Democratic primary race"
    - Jacobin, 01/25/36

    "Briahna Joy Gray accused of utilizing homophobic stereotypes in campaign ad"
    - Narratus News, 02/18/36

    "Does it count as electoral suicide if said electoral bid never had a chance?"
    - Some Blue-Checked Twitter Person, 02/20/36

    "2036 Election: incumbent Wayne sweeps 'Super Tuesday' contests - as it happened"
    - The Guardian, 02/24/36

    "Wayne accuses Gray of being Russian patsy"
    - Associated Press, 03/07/36

    "Great! Thank you @POTUS, the king of warmongering, identity politics and fake progressivism, for letting your true feelings come out. This primary is between you and me. Don’t hide behind your surrogates and face me directly."
    - @briebriejoy (Twitter), 03/07/36

    "Breaking: Bruce Wayne will agree to solo debate against Briahna Joy Gray"
    - CNN, 03/11/36

    "CNN Poll: Wayne wins Democratic primary debate in landslide"
    - CNN, 03/15/36

    "Opinion: Don't count out Briahna Joy Gray just yet."
    - Glenn Greenwald (The Guardian), 03/16/36

    "As expected, Wayne wins pivotal Illinois, Washington primaries by huge margins"
    - Politico, 03/23/36

    "As usual, the American corporate media wants you to believe that the rich white man won over a strong woman of color. Don't be fooled."
    - @spiritofho (Twitter), 03/24/36

    "Did Briahna Joy Gray utilize girlpower in trying to justify the forced deportation of Ukrainians to Russia"
    - [god who knows] (Twitter), 03/24/36

    Screenshot 2022-10-07 at 10.57.55 PM.png
     
    The World Ahead: Senate changes, 2022-
  • United States Senate elections, 2022
    Net change: D+2
    Democratic freshmen (gain):
    Tim Ryan (D-OH), John Fetterman (D-PA), Mandela Barnes (D-WI)

    Democratic freshmen (hold): Peter Welch (D-VT)
    Republican freshmen (gain): Adam Laxalt (R-NV)
    Republican freshmen (hold): Katie Britt (R-AL), Kelly Tshibaka (R-AK), Eric Schmitt (R-MO), Ted Budd (R-NC), Markwayne Mullin (R-OK)

    United States Senate elections, 2024
    Net change: R+1
    Democratic freshmen (gain): Rochelle Garza (D-TX)

    Democratic freshmen (hold): Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), Katie Porter (D-CA), Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE), Ayanna Pressley (D-MA), Jared Golden (D-ME)*, Andy Kim (D-NJ), Mallory McMorrow (D-MI)
    Republican freshmen (gain): Ryan Zinke (R-MT), Alex Mooney (R-WV)
    Republican freshmen (hold): Todd Rokita (R-IN), Pete Ricketts (R-NE), Sean Reyes (R-UT), Rachel Rodriguez-Williams (R-WY)


    United States Senate elections, 2026
    Net change: N/A

    Democratic freshmen (gain): Shenna Bellows (D-ME)
    Democratic freshmen (hold): Jared Polis (D-CO), Kwame Raoul (D-IL), Michelle Wu (D-MA), Peggy Flanagan (D-MN), Hector Balderas (D-NM), Jennifer Carroll Foy (D-VA)
    Republican freshmen (gain): Chris Sununu (R-NH)
    Republican freshmen (hold): Adam Gregg (R-IA), Daniel Cameron (R-KY), Julia Letlow (R-LA), Nancy Mace (R-SC), Kristi Noem (R-SD), Dan Crenshaw (R-TX), Mary Lou Retton (R-WV)


    United States Senate elections, 2028
    Net change: R+2

    Democratic freshmen (gain): N/A
    Democratic freshmen (hold): Erick Russell (D-CT), Wes Moore (D-MD), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), Shemia Fagan (D-OR), Becca Balint (D-VT), T'wina Nobles (D-WA)
    Republican freshmen (gain): Frank LaRose (R-OH), Mike Gallagher (R-WI)
    Republican freshmen (hold): Leslie Rutledge (R-AR), Jake LaTurner (R-KS), Clay Higgins (R-LA), Kelly Armstrong (R-ND)


    United States Senate elections, 2030
    Net change: D+5

    Democratic freshmen (gain): Cameron Kasky (D-FL), Patrick Murphy (D-FL), Jason Kander (D-MO), Jeramey Anderson (R-MS), Tom Winter (D-MT)
    Democratic freshmen (hold): Yvanna Cancela (D-NV), Tim Ryan (D-OH), Malcolm Kenyatta (D-PA), Jorge Elorza (D-RI), Zoraya Hightower (D-VT), April Berg (D-WA), Mandela Barnes (D-WI)
    Republican freshmen (gain): N/A
    Republican freshmen (hold): Drew Wrigley (R-ND), David Kustoff (R-TN)


    United States Senate elections, 2032
    Net change: D+6

    Democratic freshmen (gain): Scott Kawasaki (D-AK), Josh Svaty (D-KS), Natalie Murdock (D-NC), Camdyn Kavan (D-NE), Rebecca Kwoka (D-NH), Luke Warford (D-TX)
    Democratic freshmen (hold): Sarah McBride (D-DE), Garlin Gilchrist (D-MI), Aaron Regunberg (D-RI)
    Republican freshmen (gain): N/A
    Republican freshmen (hold): Mary Lou Retton (R-WV)
     
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    Poison Pill: United States Senate, 2018
  • Honestly always wanted to do a Trump with a Dem Senate, though he's still OTL Trump. My idea was he picks a poison pill VP, like Flynn, and then it goes down to the wire and Dems barely retake the Senate. I just think it would be interesting to see what Trump does with that.
    Senators of the 118th United States Congress, 2019-21
    Alabama: Richard Shelby (R, 1986), Luther Strange (R, 2017)
    Alaska: Lisa Murkowski (R, 2004), Dan Sullivan (R, 2014)
    Arizona: Kyrsten Sinema (D, 2018), Martha McSally (R, 2019)
    Arkansas: John Boozman (R, 2010), Tom Cotton (R, 2014)
    California: Dianne Feinstein (D, 1992), Kamala Harris (D, 2016)
    Colorado: Mike Bennet (D, 2009), Cory Gardner (R, 2014)
    Connecticut: Richard Blumenthal (D, 2010), Chris Murphy (D, 2012)
    Delaware: Tom Carper (D, 2000), Chris Coons (D, 2010)
    Florida: Bill Nelson (D, 2000), Marco Rubio (R, 2010)
    Georgia: Johnny Isakson (R, 2004), David Perdue (R, 2014)
    Hawaii: Brian Schatz (D, 2012), Mazie Hirono (D, 2012)
    Idaho: Mike Crapo (R, 1998), Jim Risch (R, 2008)
    Illinois: Dick Durbin (D, 1996), Tammy Duckworth (D, 2016)
    Indiana: Todd Young (R, 2016), Mike Pence (R, 2018)
    Iowa: Chuck Grassley (R, 1980), Joni Ernst (R, 2014)
    Kansas: Pat Roberts (R, 1996), Jerry Moran (R, 2010)
    Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R, 1984), Rand Paul (R, 2010)
    Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (R, 2014), John Neely Kennedy (R, 2016)
    Maine: Susan Collins (R, 1996), Angus King (I/D, 2012)
    Maryland: Ben Cardin (D, 2006), Chris van Hollen (D, 2016)
    Massachusetts: Elizabeth Warren (D, 2012), Ed Markey (D, 2014)
    Michigan: Debbie Stabenow (D, 2026), Gary Peters (D, 2014)
    Minnesota: Amy Klobuchar (DFL, 2006), Al Franken (DFL, 2008)
    Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R, 1978), Roger Wicker (R, 2006)
    Missouri: Claire McCaskill (D, 2006), Jason Kander (D, 2016)
    Montana: Jon Tester (D, 2006), Steve Daines (R, 2014)
    Nebraska: Deb Fischer (R, 2006), Ben Sasse (R, 2014)
    Nevada: Catherine Cortez Masto (D, 2016), Jacky Rosen (D, 2018)
    New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (D, 2008), Maggie Hassan (D, 2016)
    New Jersey: Bob Menendez (D, 2006), Cory Booker (D, 2013)
    New Mexico: Tom Udall (D, 2008), Martin Heinrich (D, 2012)
    New York: Chuck Schumer (D, 1998), Kirsten Gillibrand (D, 2009)
    North Carolina: Richard Burr (R, 2004), Thom Tillis (R, 2014)
    North Dakota: John Hoeven (R, 2010), Kevin Cramer (R, 2018)
    Ohio: Sherrod Brown (D, 2006), Rob Portman (R, 2010)
    Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (R, 1994), James Lankford (R, 2014)
    Oregon: Ron Wyden (D, 1996), Jeff Merkley (D, 2008)
    Pennsylvania: Bob Casey Jr. (D, 2006), Katie McGinty (D, 2016)
    Rhode Island: Jack Reed (D, 1996), Sheldon Whitehouse (D, 2006)
    South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R, 2002), Tim Scott (R, 2013)
    South Dakota: John Thune (R, 2004), Mike Rounds (R, 2014)
    Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R, 2002), Phil Bredesen (D, 2018)
    Texas: John Cornyn (R, 2002), Beto O'Rourke (D, 2018)
    Utah: Mike Lee (R, 2010), Mitt Romney (R, 2018)
    Vermont: Pat Leahy (D, 1974), Bernie Sanders (I/D, 2024)
    Virginia: Mark Warner (D, 2008), Tim Kaine (D, 2012)
    Washington: Patty Murray (D, 1992), Maria Cantwell (D, 2000)
    West Virginia: Joe Manchin (D, 2010), Shelley Moore Capito (R, 2014)
    Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin (D, 2012), Russ Feingold (D, 2016)
    Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R, 1996), John Barrasso (R, 2006)



    Underline represents senators different to OTL.
     
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    The World Ahead: 2052 United States presidential election
  • In a semi-distant, semi-optimistic future for the United States of America, the shift in party coalitions that come with 30 years' worth of chaos, as well as the Climate Crisis and its effects thereof on the electoral map.
    Yes, the EC stays. Cope

    "Go West, young man, go West."
    - Horace Greeley, 1850

    "We kept denying the shift, kept reasoning with ourselves that the recent victories were just the luck of the draw. 'Well, of course Tom Winter could win. He ran as a populist and chose the right year to run.' 'What happened in Nebraska was certainly a shock, but come on, no one likes Pete Ricketts.' But then it happened. The election result that was out of the realm of possibility, well, became reality."
    - Look To The West, published 2045

    "And we can now project that Senate Majority Leader Tom Winter is the apparent victor in the state of Nebraska — not just statewide, but for all five of its congressional districts as well. That's the first time a Democrat has won all of Nebraska's electoral votes since 1964."
    - Narratus News, 2052 Election Live Broadcast

    Screenshot 2022-10-08 at 11.37.24 PM.png
     
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    One Nation
  • Prime Ministers of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland:
    1997-2009: Tony Blair, MP for Sedgefield (Labour)
    -election 1997: def. Paddy Ashdown (Liberal Democrats), Norman Tebbit (Conservative)
    -election 2001: def. Paddy Ashdown (Liberal Democrats), John Redwood (Conservative)
    -election 2005: def. Michael Portillo (Conservative), Simon Hughes (Liberal Democrats)

    2009-2010: Hilary Benn, MP for Leeds Central (Labour)
    2010-2013: Michael Portillo, MP for Chelsea and Fulham (Conservative)
    -election 2010 (coalition): def. Hilary Benn (Labour), Nick Clegg (Liberal Democrats)
    2013-2021: Michael Portillo, MP for Chelsea and Fulham (National)
    -election 2015: def. Emily Thornberry (Labour), Simon Hughes (Democratic), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP), Nigel Farage [lost] (BPP)
    -election 2020 (minority): def. Jon Cruddas (Labour), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP), Nigel Farage (BPP), Nick Clegg [defeated] (Democratic)

    2021-2022: Steve Baker, MP for Wycombe (National)
    2022-2026: Jon Cruddas, MP for Dagenham and Rainham (Labour)
    -election 2022 (coalition): def. Steve Baker [defeated] (National), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP), Richard Tice (BPP), Chuka Umunna (Democratic)
    2026 Scottish independence referendum: NO 50.5%, YES 49.5%
    2026 VoNC: YES 332, NO 313
    2026-2029: Luke Bainbridge, MP for Banbury (National)
    -election 2026: def. Jon Cruddas (Labour), Richard Tice (BPP), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP), Jo Swinson (Democratic)
    2029 Brexit referendum: REMAIN 52.8%, Leave 47.2%
    2029-2030: Luke Bainbridge, MP for Banbury (National-Democratic unity coalition, then National minority)
    2030-2030: Philip Hammond, Baron Hammond of Runnymede (National minority; acting)
    2030-20___: Grant Clarke, MP for Sevenoaks (National minority)

    2030/31 UK general election polling:
    Labour (Rebecca Long-Bailey): 27.2%
    British People's (Louis Stedman-Bryce / Alex Phillips): 24.6%
    National (Grant Clarke): 21.3%
    Democratic (Jo Swinson): 14.3%
    Green (Zac Goldsmith): 7.8%
    SNP (Jo Cherry): 3.4%
     
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    The Grosvenor Letters
  • So here's a slightly-insane mini-project from the Other Place.

    A while ago, Anarcho-Occultist made this post where the main premise was - for some reason - AOCxCrenshaw.

    Here's that, but gayer and British. With fictional characters, because I'm not nearly as competent or confident.

    ***
    The Grosvenor Letters

    Screenshot 2022-10-16 at 1.35.17 PM.pngScreenshot 2022-10-15 at 7.37.14 PM.png

    Major frontbench members of His Majesty's Government, First Starmer ministry (as of January 1, 2024)
    Prime Minister, Leader of the Labour Party, First Lord of the Treasury and Minister for the Civil Service - Sir Keir Starmer, MP for Holborn and Bloomsbury
    Deputy Prime Minister,
    Deputy Leader of the Labour Party and Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster - Angela Rayner, MP for Ashton-under-Lyne
    Chancellor of the Exchequer - Rachel Reeves, MP for Leeds West
    Secretary of State for the Home Department - Lucas Bainbridge, MP for Blackburn
    Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs - David Lammy, MP for Tottenham
    Secretary of State for Defense - Luke Pollard, MP for Plymouth Sutton and Stonehouse
    Secretary of State for Justice / Lord Chancellor - Shabana Mahmood, MP for Birmingham Ladywood
    Secretary of State for Education - Bridget Phillipson, MP for Houghton and Sunderland
    Leader of the House of Commons - Thangam Debbonaire, MP for Bristol West
    Chief Whip of the House of Commons
    and Minister without Portfolio - Lilian Greenwood, MP for Nottingham South

    Major frontbench members of His Majesty's Most Loyal Opposition, Mercer shadow ministry (as of January 1, 2024)
    Leader of the Opposition and Leader of the Conservative Party - Johnny Mercer, MP for Plymouth Moor View
    Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer - Penny Mordaunt, MP for Portsmouth North
    Shadow Secretary of State for the Home Department
    and Chairman of the Conservative Party - Grant Clarke, MP for Sevenoaks
    Shadow Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs - Robert Jenrick, MP for Newark
    Shadow Secretary of State for Defense - Tom Tugendhat, MP for Tonbridge and Malling
    Shadow Secretary of State for Justice / Lord Chancellor - Michael Gove, MP for Surrey Heath
    Shadow Secretary of State for Education - Kelly Tolhurst, MP for Rochester and Strood
    Shadow Leader of the House of Commons
    and Deputy Leader of the Opposition - Bim Afolami, MP for Hitchin and Harpenden

    Prime Ministers of the United Kingdom:
    2019-2022: Boris Johnson [1] (Conservative)
    '19 (Majority of 80): def. Jeremy Corbyn (Labour), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP), Jo Swinson [defeated] (Liberal Democrats)
    2022-2023: Liz Truss [2] (Conservative)
    '23 vote of confidence in the Truss ministry: Succeeded
    2023-2033: Sir Keir Starmer [3] (Labour)
    '23 (Majority of 154): def. Liz Truss (Conservative), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP), Ed Davey (Liberal Democrats)
    '23 Conservative leadership election: Johnny Mercer def. Kemi Badenoch, Grant Clarke, James Cleverly, etc
    '25 Scottish independence referendum: NO 52.4%, YES 47.6%
    '26 AV referendum: YES 54.9%, NO 45.1%
    '26 MMPR [1a] referendum: YES 56.7%, NO 43.3%
    '27 (Majority of 114): def. Johnny Mercer (Conservative), Ed Davey (Liberal Democrats), Humza Yousaf (SNP), Carla Denyer (Green)
    '27 Conservative leadership election: Tom Tugendhat def. Dehenna Davison, Elena Bunbury, Craig Liddell, etc
    '28 House of Lords reform [1b] referendum: YES 54.9%, NO 45.1%
    '31 (Majority of 14): def. Tom Tugendhat (Conservative), Ed Davey (Liberal Democrats), Humza Yousaf (SNP), Carla Denyer (Green)
    '31 Conservative leadership election: Rishi Sunak def. Suella Braverman, Peter Fortune, Bim Afolami, etc
    '33 Labour leadership election: Angela Rayner def. Zarah Sultana, Dan Carden, Florence Eshalomi, Steve Race, etc
    2033-2034: Angela Rayner (Labour, then Labour minority)
    '34 (C&S with Green, LibDems; 39 seats from majority): def. Rishi Sunak (Conservative), Zack Polanski (Green), Layla Moran (Liberal Democrats), Mhairi Black (SNP)
    '34 "Breturn" European Union membership campaign: YES 57.3%, NO 42.7%
    May '34 Conservative leadership election: Grant Clarke def. Dehenna Davison, Siobhan Baillie, Peter Fortune, etc
    July '34 Labour leadership election: Lucas Bainbridge def. Lara McNeill, Jimmy Sergi, etc
    2034-2034: Lucas Bainbridge [4] (Labour minority)
    2034-2034:
    Sir Keir Starmer, Baron Starmer of Reigate [5] (Labour minority leading caretaker government)
    September '34 Labour leadership election: Bridget Phillipson def. Eli Aldridge, Nabeela Mowlana, Vaughan Gething, Alex Sobel, etc
    September '34 Conservative leadership election: Siobhan Baillie def. Lewis Brackpool, Jack Rydeheard, Olivia Lever, etc
    2034-20__: Bridget Phillipson (Labour minority)

    [1] Elevated to the House of Lords as Baron Johnson of Uxbridge in 2023 dissolution honors.
    [2] Elevated to the House of Lords as Baroness Truss of Renfrewshire in 2023 dissolution honors.
    [3] Elevated to the House of Lords as Baron Starmer of Reigate in 2034 dissolution honors.
    [4] "The Grosvenor letters" would be leaked just eleven days after his election as Labour leader, revealing a ... lengthy affair between him and LOTO Clarke; facing dual VONCs in his leadership and his government, Bainbridge (and Clarke) would resign within days of the leak on August 15, 2034.
    [5] PM Bainbridge would ask that King Charles III send for now-Lord Starmer as the leader of a caretaker government; Charles would oblige.


    [1a] Expands the House of Commons by 200 seats, with said seats filled based on the popular vote percentages of each party.
    [1b] Abolishes hereditary peerages, establishes elected members ("Lords Electoral") based on county groupings of roughly-equivalent population.
     
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    The Grosvenor Letters: Wikipedia bits
  • Screenshot 2022-10-15 at 10.38.44 PM.pngLucas Tristan Bainbridge (b. 29 May 1977) is a British politician and barrister who served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from July to August 2034. He also served in the Labour governments of Keir Starmer and Angela Rayner from 2023 to 2034. He was the first (as well as the second-ever) person since James Callaghan to have served in all four Great Offices of State (as Home Secretary from 2023 to 2028, Foreign Secretary from 2028 to 2031, Chancellor from 2031 to 2034, and Prime Minister). He was a Member of Parliament (MP) for Blackburn from 2015 to 2034. On the political left of the Labour Party, Bainbridge describes himself as a democratic socialist, though he maintains a strongly pro-NATO foreign policy position, opposing the anti-interventionist policies of ideological peers such as ex-LOTO Jeremy Corbyn, and remained one of the most influential members of the Starmer and Rayner ministries throughout the 2020s and 2030s.

    ...

    Bainbridge was elected Leader of the Labour Party in 2034 following the resignation of Angela Rayner and Labour losing its overall majority in the House of Commons in the 2034 general election. However, the Grosvenor letters would be leaked to the press just eleven days after his election as Prime Minister, revealing a lengthy series of affairs between himself and newly-elected Leader of the Opposition Grant Clarke. Bainbridge would resign just one week following the Guardian's publication of the letters (which mostly consisted of text messages) on 15 August. As the Labour Party had yet to elect a successor, Bainbridge would personally request that King Charles III appoint ex-PM Keir Starmer as caretaker prime minister, a request which the King obliged.


    ***

    Screenshot 2022-10-16 at 1.50.46 PM.pngPhilip Douglas Garrett "Grant" Clarke (b. 28 May 1977) is a British politician who served as Leader of the Opposition and Leader of the Conservative Party from July to August 2034. He also served in the shadow cabinets of Johnny Mercer, Tom Tugendhat and Rishi Sunak from 2023 to 2027 and from 2031 to 2034. He was a Member of Parliament (MP) for Sevenoaks from 2015 to 2034.

    ...

    Clarke was elected Leader of the Conservative Party in 2034 following ex-Chancellor Rishi Sunak's failure to deliver a Conservative plurality in the 2034 general election. However, the Grosvenor letters would be leaked to the press just eleven days after his election as Prime Minister, revealing a lengthy series of affairs between himself and newly-elected Prime Minister Lucas Bainbridge. Clarke would resign as leader of the opposition on 12 August. However, the 1922 Committee would claim that the vote of no confidence in his leadership (which succeeded by a wide margin) had concluded just minutes before the announcement of his resignation, thus meaning that Clarke had been removed from leadership and had not resigned of his own volition.

    ***
    uhuuhhj.jpeg
    Sir Keir Rodney Starmer, Baron Starmer of Reigate KG KCB KC (b. 2 September 1962) is a British politician and barrister who served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from August to September 2034 and from 2023 to 2033, as well as Leader of the Labour Party from 2020 to 2033. He has been a member of the House of Lords since 2034, and was a Member of Parliament (MP) for Holborn and Bloomsbury (formerly Holborn and St Pancras) from 2015 to 2034. Ideologically, Starmer has been described as being on the soft left within the Labour Party.

    Born in London and raised in Oxted, a small village in Surrey, Starmer was educated at the selective state Reigate Grammar School, which became an independent school while he was a student; the University of Leeds, from which he graduated with a Bachelor of Laws in 1985; and St Edmund Hall at the University of Oxford, where he gained a postgraduate Bachelor of Civil Law degree in 1986. After qualifying for the bar, Starmer worked exclusively as a defence lawyer specialising in human rights issues at Doughty Street Chambers before being named a Queen's Counsel (QC) in 2002. In 2008, he became Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) and Head of the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS); following the conclusion of his five-year term as DPP in 2013, he was appointed Knight Commander of the Order of the Bath (KCB) in the 2014 New Year Honours. Becoming an MP in 2015, he was soon appointed to Jeremy Corbyn's first shadow ministerial team, from which Starmer and numerous other Labour MPs would resign the following year in protest of Corbyn's leadership; following Corbyn's confirmatory re-election as leader thereafter, Starmer was appointed to his reshuffled Shadow Cabinet in October 2016 as Shadow Brexit Secretary, a role in which he was responsible for shadowing the government's implementation of Britain's 2016 vote to leave the European Union (EU), instead advocating for a second referendum on the government's withdrawal agreement, in which he would vote to remain. After Labour's general election defeat in 2019, Starmer was elected to succeed Corbyn as Labour leader in 2020. Thereafter, Starmer sought to rebrand Labour, embracing a comparatively economically moderate position compared to his predecessor's.

    In 2023, the Labour Party would defeat the governing Conservative Party in a landslide following a successful vote of no confidence against Prime Minister Liz Truss, achieving a 154-seat majority. Labour would later win two more general elections under his leadership: in 2027, in which it won another landslide victory, retaining a 114-seat majority; and in 2031, in which it lost 50 seats but managed to maintain a 14-seat majority. As Prime Minister, Starmer dealt with the ongoing effects of the post-Brexit, post-COVID economic crisis that marked his early years in office; these involved an accelerated decline in government expenditures on public services that his government sought to reverse through anti-inflationary stimulus measures, including the nationalisation of Great British Railways, the Royal Mail, water/wastewater and energy services, and BT Broadband, as well as the founding of the National Education Service. Upon taking office, his administration immediately renewed enforcement of the Northern Ireland Protocol and eliminated tariffs on EU-imported goods in order to end the UK's trade war with the EU that had begun during Truss' premiership. Domestically, his government would replace the "first-past-the-post" single-member electoral voting system with the "alternative vote" (AV) method and expand the House of Commons by 200 seats filled via the "multi-member proportional representation" (MMPR) method, and reduced the nationwide voting age to 16; these reforms took effect at the 2028 local elections. His government generally touted progressive social policies as well, enacting the Human Rights Act 2028 to repeal the British Bill of Rights Act 2023 in favour of restoring the Human Rights Act 1998's protective provisions which his predecessor's government had repealed, as well as banning conversion therapy and expanding transgender protections. He would also withdraw the Labour whip from multiple MPs credibly accused of breaching Labour's tolerance rules, including Rosie Duffield and Jess Phillips.

    Starmer would tender his resignation as Prime Minister and Labour leader in September 2033 and was subsequently succeeded by his longtime deputy, Angela Rayner, having surpassed Tony Blair to become the Labour Party's longest-serving prime minister by just over a month. Whilst tendering his resignation to King Charles III, the King bestowed Starmer with a second knighthood as a Companion of the Order of the Garter, installation with which is limited to number in 24 as a personal gift of the King Starmer would be appointed to the House of Lords and awarded a peerage in Angela Rayner's 2034 dissolution honours. However, just nine months after his retirement from electoral politics, embattled Prime Minister Lucas Bainbridge - reasoning that neither deputy Labour leader Jimmy Sergi nor deputy prime minister Layla Moran could maintain a coalition government - would request that the King summon Starmer to lead a caretaker government in light of his resignation due to the Grosvenor affair. Charles would oblige, appointing Starmer as Prime Minister with the confidence of Parliament. Starmer would subsequently serve as Prime Minister for a month-and-a-half-long period, resigning immediately after the election of Home Secretary Bridget Phillipson as Labour leader. He returned to the House of Lords, where he remains an active attendee of Lords sessions.
     
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    The World Ahead: Presidential speeches, Part 1
  • 49. American involvement in the Belarusian Civil War (2034)

    AUTHOR'S NOTE: It took me some time to decide on which of Wayne's speeches to use for this project of mine. After all, where to start? A DNC keynote? A rallying cry for striking Amazon workers? BTFOing Matt Walsh at the '36 debates? Any of his victory speeches? All of those are well-known for one reason or another, be it for eloquence, wit, or the sheer quantity of condescension. So I went for a more ... unknown public display.

    ***

    Bruce Wayne was many things. A populist? Sure. A lunatic? Perhaps. A progressive? Absolutely.

    But he was not a warmonger. Unfortunately for him, he was also a firm pan-democrat.

    How exactly, you may ask, are these two views related? The simplest answer would be to look at Belarus. Or rather, the two Belaruses.

    The western Democratic Republic of Belarus was a liberalized democracy with a fledgling economy, firmly ensconced within the democratic west; the east was an autocratic state claimed and supported by the Russian Federation. Separating the two was a "demilitarized zone" constantly contested militarily by both, with Minsk - the country's former capital - placed directly at its center.

    The country had always been a potential hotspot for NATO-Russian conflict due to its 'competing' governments (with NATO backing West Belarus' claims over the entire nation and Moscow insisting that their annexation 'referendum' held only in the eastern parts gave legal rights to the rest of the nation) and the still-ongoing civil war. However, the war would once again go hot when the Belarusian Federal Republic (led de jure by Nikolai Lukashenko) would order an ad-hoc invasion of the disputed capital. Ukrainian and Belarusian forces were unable to reinforce troops on the outskirts of Minsk, and the nominally-DRB-run city fell siege to the east.

    While NATO would fully condemn the illegal strikes carried out on Minsk, they were far more divided on how to respond than in 2022. Some would call for a ceasefire - cede Minsk to a joint administrative agreement and cede parts of the DMZ to the eastern state. Some called for a second Lend-Lease to allow Belarus to retake Minsk on its own. But some wanted more. In particular, Wayne would call for the basing of NATO-allied military assets in the country.

    This was ... not the most popular idea. While the vast majority of the country wanted America to defend Belarus, they did not want to "run the risk of nuclear war", a risk further illuminated when a dying Putin ordered a nuclear test in Siberia. This, of course, prompted a now-viral exchange between the president and an ostensibly anti-war leftist at a town hall, with the heckler accusing him of "fanning the flames of nuclear hellfire with imperialist aggression". While most remember the exchange for ending with Wayne slapping the interrupting party in the face after a remark insinuating that his second son was "damaged" due to having been homeless (way to polish your leftist bona fides there), Wayne would return to the stage several minutes after to deliver a quick speech.

    I don't like having to expand the military-industrial complex. Alright? Very few people do.

    But life is about a series of tough choices that make or break your legacy and your values. I value peace. But I also value democracy, human rights and self-determination.

    Supporting a democracy isn't "war-mongering", it's supporting the right of an independent people to make their own decisions for their country regardless of what some short, cancer-ridden tyrant might demand. If you want to appease Putin because of the risk of nuclear war, then I ask you this: where is the line?

    Do you give up Ukraine next? The Baltics? Poland? At what point do you tell an expansionist, nuclear-armed state "no"?

    Because delaying that reckoning will only hike up the costs.

    If your view is "Never, we should never risk nuclear war", then why not just surrender to Vladimir Putin, Lord of Don't-Make-Him-Mad-Or-He-Might-Nuke-You and save us the hassle?

    Or do you think that there is a genuine line? If you think that, then where is it? And why is "self-determination and defense against an expansionist regime" not part of that line?

    The reason I chose this speech is quite simple, really - it boils down to mindset. Specifically, that of Bruce Wayne.

    Wayne is mostly described as a good man - founding nonprofits, donating millions to charity, going above and beyond for even the most missable problems - with a firm moral compass. At the same time, he's characterized as some sort of amoral, LBJ-esque figure - fully willing to blackmail and strongarm his way to an end goal. In my mind, both are true at the same time.

    Wayne seems to be a person with a strong moral compass ... at least, for his objectives and goals. This seemingly doesn't extend to his methods, however.

    That is the driving reason behind choosing this speech to represent him - not just his presidency, but his entire being. A man with a near-boundless desire to better the world for the sake of the people in it, and willing to deliver that improvement with equal amounts of ruthlessness. Now that's an apt description of the 49th President of the United States.

    ~ Marc Walton, Harvard Political Review


    apt.png
     
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    The World Ahead: Jumping Forward
  • With credit to @theflyingmgoose 's work on the List of HoS thread.

    The World Ahead
    The world as of December 31, 2053

    ***​
    List of Presidents of the United States:
    2021-2027: Frm. Vice President Joe Biden (Democratic)
    "Back On The Beaten Path"
    '20 (with Kamala Harris) def. Donald Trump / Mike Pence (Republican) (ⅈ)
    '24 (with Kamala Harris) def. Donald Trump / Kristi Noem (Republican)
    2027-2029: Vice President Kamala Harris (Democratic)
    "Trailblazing To Mediocrity"
    2029-2033: Frm. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (Republican)
    "Going Ballistic"
    '28 (with Joni Ernst): def. Kamala Harris / Andy Beshear (Democratic) (ⅈ), Erik Carter / Nina Turner (Forward-Green)
    2033-2041: NYC Mayor Bruce Wayne (Democratic)
    "Breaking The Chains"
    '32 (with Mallory McMorrow) def. Ron DeSantis / Joni Ernst (Republican) (ⅈ)
    '36 (with Mallory McMorrow) def. Matt Walsh / Tulsi Gabbard (Republican), Justin Amash / Paul M. Nakasone (Independent)
    2041-2045: North Carolina Sen. Natalie Murdock (Democratic)
    "Tripping Over The First Hurdle"
    '40 (with Camdyn Kavan) def. Kyle Kashuv / Sara Rasmussen (Republican), Abigail Huntsman / Stephanie Murphy (Alliance '50)
    2045-2047: Wisconsin Gov. Benji Backer (Alliance '50)
    2047-2050: President Benji Backer † (Union)
    "Paving The Third Way"
    '44 (with Liam Madden) def. Natalie Murdock / Camdyn Kavan (Democratic), Kanye West / Dan Crenshaw (Republican)
    '48 (with Christina Nolan) def. Zoraya Hightower / Franklin Bynum (Popular Front), Liam Madden / Elizabeth Heng (Republican-Stop The War), Abigail Spanberger / Juan Mendez (Democratic)
    2050-2053: Vice President Christina Nolan (Union)
    "Running Out The Clock"
    2053-2057: Massachusetts Senator Jonathan Cheng-Willis (PDP)
    "The End Of History?"
    '52 (with Kyra Kennedy) def. Christina Nolan / Prakash Mehta (Union) (ⅈ), Camdyn Kavan / Christian Douglas (Community), Jessica Taylor / Torren Ecker (Republican)
    ***​
    List of Prime Ministers of the United Kingdom:
    2022-2022: Frm. Foreign Secretary Liz Truss (Conservative | South West Norfolk)
    "Is That The Release Date Or The Title?"*
    2022-2022: Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt (Conservative | South West Surrey; acting)
    "At [Electoral] Death's Door"
    2022-2023: Frm. Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak (Conservative | Richmond, Yorks)
    "Rushing Out, Rishi?"
    2023-2024: Foreign Secretary James Cleverly (Conservative | Braintree)
    "Folding The Deck"
    2024-2024: Frm. Prime Minister Boris Johnson (Conservative | Uxbridge and South Ruislip)
    "All Out...Of Ideas"
    2024-2038: Frm. Shadow Brexit Secretary & Leader of the Opposition Keir Starmer (Labour | Kentish Town and Bloomsbury)
    "Winning Keir"
    '24 (Majority) def. Boris Johnson [defeated] (Conservative), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP), Ed Davey (LibDem)
    '29 (Majority) def. Kemi Badenoch (Conservative), Layla Moran (LibDems), Humza Yousaf (SNP), Carla Denyer (Green)
    '32 (Majority) def. Johnny Mercer (Conservative), Layla Moran (LibDems), Amelia Womack (Green), Mhairi Black (SNP)
    '37 (Majority) def. Tom Tugendhat (Conservative), Matt Craven (LibDems), Amelia Womack (Green), Mhairi Black (SNP)
    2038-2042: Frm. Home Secretary Bridget Phillipson (Labour | Houghton and Silksworth)
    "A Major Surprise"
    '38 (Majority) def. Ed Gemmell (Conservative-Green), Matt Craven (LibDems), Suella Braverman (BPP)
    2042-2048: Frm. Shadow Housing Secretary & Leader of the Opposition Alicia Kearns (Conservative | Rutland and Nevill; Conservative-Green coupon)
    "Cutting Emissions And Taxes"
    '42 (Majority) def. Bridget Phillipson (Labour), Tom Harwood (BPP), Matt Craven [defeated] (LibDems)
    '46 (Confidence and supply with LibDems) def. Eli Aldridge (Labour), Tara Copeland (LibDems), Tom Harwood (BPP)
    2048-2054: Frm. Deputy Prime Minister Lucas North (Liberal Democrats | Kingston and Tolworth; LibDem-Labour coalition, then Progressive Alliance)
    "The Weathervane"
    '48 (Coalition with Labour) def. Eli Aldridge (Labour), Alicia Kearns (Conservative), Jack Rydeheard (BPP)
    '51 (Progressive Alliance majority) def. Zarah Sultana (UPP), Jimmy Sergi (New Labour-PAC), Zack Polanski (Green-PAC), Dehenna Davison (Conservative-BPP)
    ***​
    List of Prime Ministers of Canada:
    2015-2024: Justin Trudeau (Liberal)
    2024-2026: Mélanie Joly (Liberal)
    2026-2033: Pierre Poilievre (Conservative; Conservative minority, then majority)
    2033-2039: Ruth Ellen Brosseau (NDP; NDP minority, then majority)
    2039-2040: Blake Desjarlais (NDP)
    2040-2042: Raquel Dancho (Conservative; Conservative minority)
    2042-2045: Sean Fraser (Liberal; Liberal minority)
    2045-2046: Sean Fraser (Liberal-led National Government)
    2046-2046: Sean Fraser † (Liberal)
    2046-2048: Jenica Atwin (Liberal)
    2048-2054: Eric Melillo (Conservative)

    Liberal: ff6677

    Notes:
    [1] Keir Starmer comments on the rumors of a book on the Truss premiership: "
    Out By Christmas - is that the release date or the title?"
     
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    The World Ahead: House results, 2038
  • United States House of Representatives elections, 2038
    441 seats up for election; 221 seats needed for majority
    Republican Party (Ashley Hinson) - 223 seats, 41.3% NPV [Up 120] ()
    Democratic Party (Pete Aguilar; defeated) - 200 seats, 39.6% NPV [Down 131]
    Alliance '50 (Carrick Flynn; retired) - 18 seats, 18.0% NPV [Up 11]


    I still haven't made the 2036 election infobox, but you can probably infer it from here.
     
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    All Fall Apart (The World Ahead but shit): Political rundown, May 2038
  • All Fall Apart
    Political rundown of the United States of America.
    May 12, 2038.

    Democratic Party: Pretty much in a perpetual state of shock since Wayne went ballistic at the G20. Oh god now we're set to lose at least 80 seats in the House. The president may have truncheoned the Chinese ambassador who spat on a protestor. Everything's on fire. Oh fuck

    The White House: Wayne might be in office, but the true power lies with the PR experts.
    Bruce Wayne, President [Progressive]: Just...not having a good time. His spouse and his daughter are both dead, his second son is in a coma, and Malofeyev made the fucker behind the attacks his representative to the UN*. People are doing the Liz Truss challenge* on the 25th Amendment now. It's all looking a bit precarious at the moment.
    Joy Hofmeister, Vice President [Communitarian]: At least she's getting some de jure internship experience for being president. Depending on how things go, it might also be a detox from wanting to be president. Or a premature promotion. Possibly both.
    Brian Schatz, Secretary of State [Liberal]: Can I just pour one out for him? He was supposed to stay in the Senate as Majority Whip and take over for Klobuchar. Instead he's having to prevent the Naxalists and the theocrats from triggering MAD over Kashmir, somehow picking the right side to help in a piss-fight between Qatar and Iran, and making sure that the French don't back out of NATO. And now he's part of the de facto troika between himself, Hofmeister, and Reiman ever since Wayne went off the rails, if he was ever on them.
    Sara Nelson, Secretary of Labor [Progressive]: Not sure who's in charge, which is presumably bad. She's been allowed to push through union protections to her heart's content, though.
    Thomas Reiman, White House Chief of Staff [Progressive]: Pretty much the only person keeping Wayne from self-destructing.
    Congressional Caucuses: Thank god for 2036, or they'd be really fucked. Which is saying something when the DCCC is looking down the barrel at 80-seat losses.
    Pete Aguilar, Speaker of the House [Liberal]: Speaking of whom, he's trailing Alliance '50 by 8 points in his own district. If Alliance makes it to the runoff, that is.
    Amy Klobuchar, Senate Majority Leader [Liberal]: The Klobberer is finally contemplating retirement after 30 years in the chamber and 10 as its leader. I'm sure the leadership fight won't be a bloodletting shitfest, especially if the polls stay as they are.
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Chair of the House Justice Caucus [Progressive]: Regretting her decision to stay in the House right about now. Though the HJC is likely to have the fewest losses, so silver lining there.
    John Fetterman, Chair of the Senate Justice Caucus [Progressive]: The lion of the Senate Democratic Caucus is on his way out after 16 years in the Senate. As likely as this is to result in a Republican pickup, I can't help but feel happy for his retirement. He deserves it.
    Jared Golden, Senator for Maine [Blue Dog]: The strongest advocate for a Wayne resignation / impeachment. As well as listing off all the centrist headbanger hits, but I'm pretty sure that's his job.
    Brace Belden, Representative for California [Democratic Socialist]: The "Dark Cowboy" isn't exactly enjoying his time in the House, but at least the informal DSA caucus is twenty-two members strong.
    Democratic National Committee / "The Party": At least Wayne won them 331 House seats last time.
    Jane Kleeb, DNC Chairwoman [Communitarian]: Wishing she had tried less hard in the '32 Senate race.
    Ruben Gallego, Senator for Arizona / DSCC Chairman [Progressive]: At least his seat isn't up this year.
    Danica Roem, Representative for Virginia / DCCC Chairwoman [Progressive]: The cliff to keep the GOP from gaining a hundred House seats is steepening by the day, but she should be able to see the DCCC through the next six months.
    Don Davis, Governor of North Carolina / DGA Chairman [Liberal]: Considering the bleak polling numbers nationally, it's honestly amazing how Dems are still ahead by enough in enough races that the general prediction includes Dems keeping 28 governorships. Good job, Don, you did good.

    Republican Party: Theoretically they'd be ahead of the Democrats in opinion polls by at least 4%, but apparently even a batshit-insane "socialist" president can't get you more than 180 house seats. At this point, it might be best if you start over - the GOP is dead and Matt Walsh killed it.

    Republican leadership / "The Establishment": Lol they're barely over 30% approval with the party base get railed
    Ashley Hinson, House Minority Leader [Conservative]: On one hand, the last-woman-standing from the GOP's House leadership team in '36. On the other hand, having the worst leadership team since Kevin McFraud's Mickey Mouse Slaughterhouse. And this is the National Review's "dream president"?
    Mike Gallagher, Senate Minority Leader [Conservative]: Sorely regretting not running in '36, considering how well a one-term Connecticut representative who voted for Wayne wound up doing in the primaries. At least the GOP will gain Senate seats this year. Probably.
    Frank LaRose, Governor of Ohio / RGA Chairman [Conservative]: It's telling when the GOP's old "golden boy" is now only in the news because he might lose his primary to Jake Paul.
    Adrian Lukis, RNC Chairman [MAGA]: How desperate do you have to be to consider the guy responsible for the last guy's landslide defeat the person to get you out of this electoral mess? I suppose losing by 230 electoral votes is an improvement over losing by 510.

    Congressional Patriotic Caucus / "The Trumpists": Ironically, now the center ground of the GOP.
    Sean Reyes, Senate Minority Whip [MAGA]: Barely hung on in '36 because of his overt Trumpist posturing and now he's course-correcting by ... more posturing, for fuck's sake.
    Jessica Taylor, Senator for Alabama [MAGA]: The Boebert of the Senate is just not too good at this whole "legislative" malarkey, is she? It's the twelfth time she's tried to propose a funding bill now. From the Senate. She couldn't find a nutter in the House desperate enough to help you sponsor it?
    Alex Mooney, Senator for West Virginia [MAGA]: He's ... still here, that's for sure.
    Byron Donalds, House Minority Whip [MAGA]: See? This is what I meant when I say "worst leadership team since McFraud".
    Javon Price, Representative from Virginia [MAGA]: The only person approaching respectability in this gang of motley far-right assholes. A pity he's decided to keep slumming in the House instead of running (and losing) for governor.
    National Freedom Front / "Free Matt Walsh" / "The Insurrectionists": This is where shit gets freaky
    Tulsi Gabbard, Commentator / '36 vice-presidential nominee [MAGA]: Screaming about how the "homosexual globalist MIC" framed Walshie for child abuse because he didn't want to start "Woke War III". Remember when she was the future of the progressive Democrats? Good times.
    Matt Shea, Representative from Washington [MAGA]: How is this guy still in the House? He's been kidnapping "adopting" orphans from Belarus and spends more time gallivanting about with his Three-Percenter buddies than in D.C. proper. The number of votes he misses alone should qualify him for expulsion.
    Robert Rundo, Neo-Nazi commentator / leader of the "Spartan Front" [Militia]: Oh god an actual neo-Nazi militia leader is the de-facto leader of these loons. Fuck me.
    Nick Fuentes, Expelled frm. Representative from Indiana / alt-right commentator [Neofascist]: I'd be more scared of him if he weren't so fucking pathetic.
    Jackson Hinkle, Commentator / House nominee from California [Patriotic Socialist]: This guy? The guy who ran against Wayne in the '29 mayoral race, got BTFOed, pissed off to the Greens for a few years, tried to primary Brisport then moved back to California to run for McCarthy's old district? This guy is your electoral future?
    ... now I see why you're trying your luck with not being blown up by the National Guard.

    Alliance '50: On one hand, they've finally coalesced Amash's not-insane libertarians, Labranche's ex-Democrats, Kinzinger's ex-Republicans and the last of the Rockefeller Republicans into one party. On the other hand is the entire history of the Reform Party.

    Libertarians / Ex-Reps: Oh look, it's the least electorally successful part of the party. Thank god they're not - oh they're 58% of your statewide parties?
    Justin Amash, Frm. Representative from Michigan / '36 independent presidential candidate [Centrist]: Seems to be cautious about the party platform, which is probably the best choice.
    Beth Fukumoto, '28 Forward vice-presidential nominee [Romney Republican]: Bragging about the Alliance becoming the second-biggest party in Hawaii. Considering the state of the GOP, that's not nearly as impressive as she wants you to think it is.
    Christine Drazan, Frm. Governor of Oregon / '28 Republican presidential candidate [Conservative]: A pretty good example of "the GOP left me". Alongside Kinzinger, Cheney, Beutler and Sununu but that's beside the point.
    Ex-Dems: Your most left-wing member is ... Carrick Flynn. Well that's an improvement over Joe Sestak, I suppose.
    Carrick Flynn, House Opposition Leader / '38 Oregon senate nominee [Bloomberg Dem]: Now that the ORGOP has gone broke I suppose he'll do better in the Senate race. Will he win? Probably not, but it would beat Christian Walker ousting Ossoff.
    Eric Adams, Frm. NYC Mayor / '34 New York gubernatorial nominee [Radical Centrist]: Why is he even here? He's barely any different from a big-city tough-on-crime Democrat.
    Contrarians: You started a party with the tagline "Fuck The Establishment", Amash, how are you surprised by the number of edgy "I aM An iNDiViduAl" Zoomers and Gen-Alphas who signed on?
    Calla Walsh, Commentator / '32 Green Massachusetts senate candidate [Anti-Imperialist]: Would probably be a better organizer if she spent 10% less time shilling out for CGTN.
    Joe Rogan, Commentator [Radical Centrist / Libertarian]: Just here for the shits and giggles, it seems. Which is probably fair enough.
    The Rest of the World: Mostly looking on in trepidation. But beyond that ...

    Amazon: Bezos has been throwing a shit-fit ever since Wayne nationalized what was left of Lockheed Martin.
    People's Republic of China: Still seething over Wayne putting army depots on Taiwan. Even more seethed over their inability to "retake" Taiwan, because even Chen Weihua can see that an invasion would probably end with the glassing of Zhongnanhai. Though they do have a leadership crisis to sort out first.
    Li Qiang, General Secretary / Paramount Leader [de jure]: Still in power despite having remained in seclusion ever since his stroke in December '37. The vast majority of the party is still loyal to him, though the power struggle within the State Council could spill over to the rest of the party ...
    Hu Haifeng, Vice Premier / Minister of Science and Technology: The son of ex-premier Hu Jintao and another princeling, Hu seems to be a popular figure with the party elders and the public (though both are very debatable). People have spoken of him as a future Paramount Leader, though his day in the sun could come much earlier ...
    Guo Ningning, Vice Premier / Minister of Foreign Affairs: The only woman to serve on the State Council has also been making her moves behind the scenes. The "Iron Lady" has surprisingly proved to be more adept at diplomatic glad-handing than her predecessor, though she is just as ruthless behind the curtains.
    Qin Weizhong, Vice Premier / Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development: The semi-reformist ex-Shenzen Mayor has proved to be relatively competent compared to the rest of his mayoral colleagues and could prove to be a formidable successor when Li relinquishes his power.
    Meta: Still alive, against all expectations. Still shit, too. And in all likelihood still stealing everyone's data.
    Russia (Popular Democratic Front): Now the likeliest people to come out on top in the Russian Smuta, what with all the western aid and volunteers and will of the people. I suppose serfdom / internment under Malofeyev or stagnation under Sobyanin Patrushev Kiriyenko Alikhanov Manturov weren't exactly tempting.
    Yevgeny Roizman, President: The one man the assorted communists, liberals, populists and localists could agree on to lead the Democratic Provisional Administration is doing a good job at keeping Yekaterinburg relatively clean, orderly, and un-bombed. This immediately makes both him and his beloved city targets for the Black Hundreds, but considering their arms depots finally running out he's probably going to be survive the war just fine. That inevitable constitutional convention though ...
    Denis Parfyonov, Prime Minister: One of the few leaders of the Popular Front who served in the Putin-era Duma and the de facto point of contact between Yekaterinburg and Vladivostok.
    Sergei Boiko, Representative to the United Nations: A Navalny stalwart and
    Isabel Magkoeva: The
    Mikhail Lobanov:
    Ilya Yashin:
    Nikolai Kasyan: Still imprisoned in Vladivostok, and having a lot of fun (relative) with how the Feds hate him but can't kill him because Wayne will cut military aid and start drafting plans to cross the Bering Strait.
    Russia ("The Black Hundreds"): Lol get fucked Malofeyev you crazy hobo-looking fuck
    Konstantin Malofeyev, Regent [as Konstantin I]: His armies are being pushed west of the Omsk, St. Petersburg and Tsaritsyn are under constant attack, and the money reserves are finally drying up. Also he's losing his marbles, but it's not as if he had that many to begin with.
    Russia ("The Feds"): Just not having a fun time. The Tsarists squeezed them out of St. Petersburg, the Front squeezed them out of Moscow, and now they've been reduced to a rump state in the Urals and Siberia - assuming the U.S. doesn't begin Manifesting Destiny towards the northern Far East ...
    Denis Manturov, President: Pretty much in charge on the sole virtue of being last-one-standing in the Moscow Kaliningrad Vladivostok government's conga line of leaders. The Putinists hate him for vaguely gesturing towards political reform, the reformists hate him for arresting half of the Duma's opposition, and the leftists hate him for turning Siberia into a de facto Chinese protectorate. Good times.
    Starlink / SpaceX / etc: Still being nationalized by the Dept. of Defense after Musk fled to Zimbabwe. Musk is still contesting this. From Zimbabwe.
    Elon Musk: Apparently he's trying to turn Zimbabwe into an actual corpocracy. Good grief, if there was ever a justified "forever war" intervention ...
    Tumblr: Still alive, and has been pretty much in a state of mass grief ever since March. Considering the events after the attack, I can see why.
    Notes:
    1. See that time Iran made the fucking Joker its UN ambassador. No, really. That's how Death in the Family ends.
    2. You know how the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom was just outlasted by a fucking head of iceberg lettuce?


    In progress. This might actually the biggest rundown I've made, considering how I'm not even done with the Democrats yet.
     
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    All Fall Apart: List of Prime Ministers of the United Kingdom
  • Screenshot 2022-10-22 at 7.04.46 PM.png

    Prime Ministers of the United Kingdom:
    2019-2022: Frm. Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson (Conservative | Uxbridge and South Ruislip)
    '19 (Majority): def. Jeremy Corbyn (Labour | Islington North), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP | Did not stand), Jo Swinson (Liberal Democrats | East Dunbartonshire, defeated)
    2022-2022: Frm. Foreign Secretary Liz Truss (Conservative | South West Norfolk)
    July-September '22 leadership contest: def. Rishi Sunak (Richmond, Yorks)
    2022-2023: Frm. Prime Minister Boris Johnson (Conservative | Uxbridge and South Ruislip [recalled]; then none)
    October '22 leadership contest: def. Rishi Sunak (Richmond, Yorks), Penny Mordaunt (Portsmouth North), Suella Braverman (Fareham)
    November '22: Committee of Privileges suspends Johnson from House of Commons following the finding that he misled MPs in relation to Partygate.
    December '22: Recall petition against Johnson succeeds; Johnson does not contest by-election, instead contesting Mid Bedfordshire following resignation of Nadine Dorries
    February '23 by-elections: Uxbridge and South Ruislip (Ali Milani wins; LAB GAIN); Mid Bedfordshire (Rhiannon Meades wins; LAB GAIN)
    '23 Vote of No Confidence: 53.4% No Confidence
    2022-2024: Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt (Conservative | South West Surrey, leading Caretaker Government [de facto])
    '23 leadership election: Unopposed
    '24 Vote of No Confidence: 331 MPs
    2024-2038: Leader of the Opposition Sir Keir Starmer (Labour | Kentish Town and Bloomsbury, then Highgate and Bloomsbury)
    '24 (Majority): def. Ed Davey (Liberal Democrats | Kingston and Surbiton), Nicola Sturgeon (SNP | Did not stand), Jeremy Hunt (Conservative | Farnham and Bordon, defeated), Carla Denyer & Adrian Ramsey (Green | Ran in Bristol Central (won) & Did not stand), Suella Braverman (Back Britain | Fareham)
    '25 Scottish independence referendum: 52.4% No
    '28 (Majority): def. Ed Davey (Liberal Democrats | Kingston and Surbiton), Carla Denyer (Green | Bristol Central), Humza Yousaf (SNP | Did not stand), Kemi Badenoch (Conservative | Saffron Walden), Suella Braverman (Back Britain | Fareham, defeated)
    '30 Commons reform referendum: 54.5% Yes
    '31 leadership challenge: def. Richard Burgon (Leeds East)
    '32 (Majority): def. Ed Gemmell (Green | Chesham and Amersham), Tom Tugendhat & Daisy Cooper (Conservative-LibDem coupon | Tonbridge and Malling & St Albans), Humza Yousaf (SNP | Did not stand), Richard Burgon (PBP | Leeds East, defeated)
    '36 (Majority): def. Alicia Kearns (One Nation | Rutland and Harborough), Amelia Womack (Green | Caerphilly), Mhairi Black (SNP | Did not stand), Zarah Sultana (PBP | Coventry and Earlsdon)

    2038-20__: Home Secretary Bridget Phillipson (Labour | Houghton and Ryhope)

    2040 United Kingdom general election polling (seat count)
    Labour (CC0033) — 317 geographical, 76 list
    One Nation (3366CC) — 214 geographical, 70 list
    Green (00A885) — 68 geographical, 36 list
    SNP (F7DA64) — 30 geographical, 5 list
    PBP (9365B8) — 14 geographical, 12 list

    Others (A38F84) — 7 geographical, 1 list

    Likely outcome: Labour minority with Green / PBP confidence and supply [possible coalition]

    ***​
    With credit to @iupius.
     
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    All Fall Apart: List of Presidents of the United States
  • Presidents of the United States of America:
    2021-2027: Former Vice President Joe Biden (Democratic | Delaware)
    (With Kamala Harris)
    '20: def. Pres. Donald Trump [FL] / Vice Pres. Mike Pence [IN] (R)
    '24: def. Frm. Pres. Donald Trump [FL] / Gov. Kim Reynolds [IA] (R)
    '27 (March 22): Resignation of Joe Biden.
    2027-2029: Vice President Kamala Harris (Democratic | California)
    (With Vacant, then Mark Milley)
    '27 (July 10 - 17): Former JCS Chairman Mark Milley is narrowly confirmed as Vice President with 223 House votes and 55 Senate votes.
    '28 (June 24 - August 12): The Fourth Taiwan Straits Crisis occurs, ultimately ending with the seizure of the Kinmen and Matsu islands by the People's Republic of China.
    2029-2033: Businessman Mike Lindell (Republican | Minnesota)
    (With Chris Sprowls)
    '28: def. Pres. Kamala Harris [CA] / Frm. Gov. Andy Beshear [KY] (D)
    '29 (November 26): The Second Great Depression begins with the Black Monday Crash.
    '33: During the second J6 Capitol attack and assassination of Chris Sununu, Pres. Mike Lindell is arrested by the Virginia National Guard while leading militants towards the Capitol.
    '33 (January 7 - 11): The third impeachment of Mike Lindell succeeds with 298 House votes and 75 Senate votes.
    '33 (January 11): The vote to bar Mike Lindell from public office succeeds with 295 House votes and 74 Senate votes.
    2033-2033: Vice President Chris Sprowls (Republican | Florida)
    (Vacant throughout presidency)
    2033-2039: Governor Bruce Wayne (Democratic | New York)
    (With Joy Hofmeister)
    '32: def. Pres. Mike Lindell [MN] / Vice Pres. Chris Sprowls [FL] (R)
    '36 (October 5): Republican presidential nominee Matt Walsh is arrested by Nashville police and the FBI on various charges, including child abuse and possession of child pornography.
    '36: def. Frm. Rep. Justin Amash [MI] / Ret. Gen. Paul M. Nakasone [MN] (I), scattered electors (R), Frm. Gov. Matt Walsh [TN] (removed from ticket) / none (R)
    '38 (February 3): The Fenway Park bombing happens in Boston, leading to the deaths of First Gentleman Ian Clarke, Timothy Drake-Wayne, and 230 others; the Spartan Front claims responsibility as revenge for the "moral corruption" of America.
    '38 (March 13): Robert Rundo, alleged leader of the Spartan Front and neo-Nazi militant, is appointed by Konstantin Malofeyev as his permanent representative to the United Nations.
    '38 (April 9): The G20 assault diplomatic incident happens in Dublin between the American and Imperial Russian diplomatic missions following the alleged assault of Rundo and Russian businessman Yevgeny Prigozhin by Pres. Bruce Wayne.
    '38 (April 20): A Department of Justice investigation concludes that Elon Musk had violated the Espionage Act by maintaining contacts with officials in the Malofeyev government; Musk subsequently flees to Zimbabwe, which refuses to extradite him to the U.S.; the U.S. begins nationalizing Starlink, SpaceX, and other U.S.-funded ventures operated by Musk.
    '38 (June 29): The Eighth Circuit Court temporarily halts an executive order which directed the Treasury to distribute larger UBI checks; the Wayne administration refuses to comply.
    '38 (November 2): Despite massive losses (and the defeat of Speaker Pete Aguilar), the Democratic Party retains majority control over both houses of Congress.
    '39 (January 23 - 25): Aided by Alliance '50 representatives and moderate Democrats, the first impeachment of Bruce Wayne passes the House with 232 votes.
    '39 (January 25 - 27): The impeachment fails after the Democratic-controlled Senate controversially bypasses a trial to enter a not-guilty verdict.
    '39 (January 29): The Republic of China (Taiwan) formally votes to assert its independence from the PRC [63% For, 24% No Change, 7% Against, 6% Reunification].
    '39 (February 3 - 8): Following the success of the Taiwanese independence referendum, the U.S. begins placing military assets in Taiwan; the Fifth Taiwan Straits Crisis begins.
    '39 (February 9): Wayne suffers a mental break during a town hall in Portland, assaulting an "anti-war" heckler and allegedly taking a firearm from a Secret Service agent.
    '39 (February 10): Wayne is present during a clash between pro-democracy protestors and Chinese consulate staff in San Antonio; he allegedly commits aggravated assault against a man later found to be a Chinese ambassador, though this is denied by the U.S. government.
    '39 (February 11): In response to a French European Parliament member urging NATO members to recognize the North Korean government as legitimate, Wayne urges the secretary-general of the organization to formally expel France from the group despite such a mechanism not existing.
    '39 (February 12): Wayne floats an invasion of Zimbabwe after the exiled Musk purchases controlling shares over its consortium government, effectively taking power as its leader.
    '39 (February 15 - 17): The Wayne cabinet formally votes to invoke the 25th Amendment following the February incidents; Wayne submits a letter to Congress declaring his fitness for office.
    2039-203_: President Bruce Wayne (Democratic | New York) [de jure]; Vice President Joy Hofmeister (Democratic | Oklahoma) [de facto]
    (With Joy Hofmeister [de jure]; Vacant [de facto])
     
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    All Fall Apart: 2036 United States presidential election
  • Screenshot 2022-10-23 at 2.48.59 AM.png
    • November 2026: Former Justice Caucus vice-chair Bruce Wayne defeats incumbent governor of New York Lee Zeldin by 7%, becoming New York's first LGBTQ+ governor; in Tennessee, anti-LGBTQ+ activist Matt Walsh wins the gubernatorial election, defeating Democratic Lee Harris by 12%.
    • November 2030: Incumbent governor of New York Bruce Wayne wins re-election over Andrew Giuliani by 38%; controversial governor of Tennessee Matt Walsh loses re-election to Tim McGraw by 4% as Republicans are routed across the country during the Second Great Depression.
    • November 2032: New York governor Bruce Wayne, the Democratic nominee, defeats incumbent Republican Mike Lindell in an electoral landslide.
    • January 2033: The second January 6th Capitol attack results in the murder of Sen. Chris Sununu by far-right rioters. Walsh defends his killers by labeling Sununu's moderatism as "appeasing evil"; this is hugely unpopular but propels Walsh to quasi-stardom in the far-right.
    • Throughout 2035: The Republican primary field fails to gain many high-tier candidates as the party's failure to make major headway in the 2034 midterms lead many major figures to see the 2036 election as unwinnable.
    • July 2036: Matt Walsh narrowly defeats former Connecticut representative Erin Stewart, West Virginia senator Alex Mooney, and North Dakota governor Drew Wrigley after 19 ballots at the RNC. He immediately promises to arrest abortion providers and pride parade organizers in his keynote speech to the RNC, prompting major protests and walkouts.
    • August 2036: Former Michigan representative Justin Amash gains major donors and endorsements — including former president Chris Sprowls and Senate Minority Whip Katie Britt — as Walsh plummets in polls. Wayne leads, averaging 59% of the vote in polls, though Amash is making headway. Amash also formally selects former Joint Chiefs Chairman Paul M. Nakasone as his running mate in a bid to give his campaign more clout.
    • September 2036: Amash is invited to the first presidential debate after breaking 15% of the vote for two consecutive weeks. Walsh's endorsement of far-right conspiracies and usage of anti-gay slurs on live TV lead to a collapse in the Republican Party's polling numbers. However, Wayne gains the greatest amount of ground in post-debate polling.
    • October 2036: Walsh is arrested by the FBI during the second presidential debate on live TV on charges of child abuse and possession of child pornography. Immediately, the Republican Party collapses to below 8% in opinion polling; multiple state-level Republican parties endorse Amash. The RNC disavows Walsh, and running-mate Tulsi Gabbard leaves the ticket; however, Walsh cannot be removed from the ticket in time.
    • November 2036: Bruce Wayne is re-elected as president, becoming the first presidential candidate to win more than 500 electoral votes since Ronald Reagan in 1984, as well as winning the greatest number of votes in U.S. history. Amash wins 30 electoral votes, the first third-party candidate to do so since George Wallace in 1968; for his part, Walsh is the worst-performing Republican presidential candidate in history, failing to win a single statewide contest and only taking Nebraska's third congressional district by 0.013%. Despite this, members of the far-right insinuate massive voter fraud, as well as a conspiracy to "frame" Walsh for the crimes committed by members of the "Deep State".
    • December 2036: 6 Amash electors defect, with two in Alabama voting for Katie Britt, two in Indiana voting for Mike Pence, one in North Dakota voting for Kelly Armstrong, and one in Wyoming voting for Liz Cheney.
     
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