Lord Caedus
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The Caedite Infobox and Graphics Thread
- Thread starter Lord Caedus
- Start date
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
The 2016 Port Riche general election was held on October 18, 2016 to elect all 55 members of the National Assembly of Port Riche from single-member districts.
The incumbent Liberal government sought a second mandate after winning a majority in the 2012 elections. The premier elected in that race, Alexandre Martin was forced to resign by his own caucus in 2015 after a disastrous premiership—Martin's government pushed through an unpopular tax reform, struggled off questions of nepotism after the premier's relatives were appointed to several government positions, and faced frequent embarrassment when the premier struggled with speaking English to Anglophone audiences. His successor, David Bernier, struggled to arrest the party's decline in the polls.
The opposition Union Progressiste (UP) had rebounded from their loss in the 2012 election and selected Richard Rousseau, the son of former premier Pierre Rousseau, as their new leader heading into the election. A new party, the Parti Boriquien (PB), had formed during the previous assembly and had garnered grassroots support with its populist messages of anti-corruption initiatives and reforming the province's education system. Its leader, lawyer Alexandra Pôte, made waves with younger voters with her campaign's polished use of social media platforms like Twitter, Instagram and Facebook.
Despite polling showing a possibility of the Liberals being reduced to single-digits, the PB campaign's prolific use of social media resulted in a series of petty scandals and controversy during the campaign, drawing many voters back to the Liberals, who had reversed course from Martin's term and promised a sharp reduction of taxes on families and increase in infrastructure funding should they be re-elected. The return of many voters to the Liberals prevented a wipe-out and narrowed the popular vote, but the inefficient Liberal vote resulted in a lopsided loss to the UP. Parti Boriquien failed to win a seat despite winning over 15 percent of the popular vote, foiled by support being spread evenly throughout the province.
The incumbent Liberal government sought a second mandate after winning a majority in the 2012 elections. The premier elected in that race, Alexandre Martin was forced to resign by his own caucus in 2015 after a disastrous premiership—Martin's government pushed through an unpopular tax reform, struggled off questions of nepotism after the premier's relatives were appointed to several government positions, and faced frequent embarrassment when the premier struggled with speaking English to Anglophone audiences. His successor, David Bernier, struggled to arrest the party's decline in the polls.
The opposition Union Progressiste (UP) had rebounded from their loss in the 2012 election and selected Richard Rousseau, the son of former premier Pierre Rousseau, as their new leader heading into the election. A new party, the Parti Boriquien (PB), had formed during the previous assembly and had garnered grassroots support with its populist messages of anti-corruption initiatives and reforming the province's education system. Its leader, lawyer Alexandra Pôte, made waves with younger voters with her campaign's polished use of social media platforms like Twitter, Instagram and Facebook.
Despite polling showing a possibility of the Liberals being reduced to single-digits, the PB campaign's prolific use of social media resulted in a series of petty scandals and controversy during the campaign, drawing many voters back to the Liberals, who had reversed course from Martin's term and promised a sharp reduction of taxes on families and increase in infrastructure funding should they be re-elected. The return of many voters to the Liberals prevented a wipe-out and narrowed the popular vote, but the inefficient Liberal vote resulted in a lopsided loss to the UP. Parti Boriquien failed to win a seat despite winning over 15 percent of the popular vote, foiled by support being spread evenly throughout the province.
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Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
A small continuation of this.
The governing Union Progressiste (UP) is seeking a second term after winning the 2016 election. The man who led the UP to victory, Richard Rousseau, was forced to resign in August 2019 after massive public protest following the leak of chat logs where Rousseau and members of his office made homophobic, racist and sexist remarks and discussed how they would use the media to discredit political opponents. An RCMP investigation into both the source of the leaks and whether the premier or his office committed potential crimes or employment law violations. His successor, Pierre Perreault, assumed office as premier and then won the party leadership in an uncontested race in September 2019.
Opposing the government in the election will be the Liberals, led by former Saint-Jean mayor Camille Lacroix. Lacroix gained international fame after the province was devastated by Hurricane Maria, criticizing both Rousseau and the federal government of being unprepared for such a massive natural disaster in the tropical province. She entered the National Assembly in a by-election after taking the party leadership in September 2018.
The anti-corruption, reformist Parti Boriquien (PB) will also contest all 55 seats in the election. The party's leader Alexandra Pôte will be the only major party leader from the previous election to run again in 2020. The party has yet to gain representation in the National Assembly.
This will be the first election where two major parties will be led by women. The Liberals have lead the UP in polling since the months after Hurricane Maria in 2017, and the chat log scandal and resignation of Rousseau briefly had the UP dipping to third in most polls behind the Liberals and PB.
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Alexandra Courtois is a Canadian politician who has represented the riding of Baie-Saint-Jean in the House of Commons since the 2015 federal election. She is a member of the New Democratic Party (NDP).
Courtois was born and raised in Saint-Jean, attending Queen's University and graduating cum laude from Queen's University in 2011 with a bachelor of arts in international relations and economics. While in university, she interned in the office of federal NDP leader Jack Layton. After her father's untimely death from lung cancer, she returned to Port Riche and began working as a bartender to help her mother pay bills. Between her graduation in 2011 and her election, she was active in social justice and anti-poverty causes on the island.
The NDP under Layton's successor Thomas Mulcair selected Courtois to be the party's candidate in the riding of Baie-Saint-Jean in 2015, a seat held by cabinet minister Louis Fortin and widely considered to be one of the safest Conservative seats in Port Riche. In spite of the federal receding of NDP fortunes following the 2011 election, Courtois managed to defeat upset Fortin by a convincing margin after an intense and well-coordinated local campaign, one of the party's few bright spots as they returned to third place nationally behind the Conservatives and new Liberal government.
Under both Mulcair and Jagmeet Singh, Courtois has served as the NDP's Youth critic since taking office. She retained her seat handily in the 2019 federal election, making her the sole NDP MP from Port Riche in the 43rd Parliament.
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The 2020 Port Riche general election will take place on or before October 20, 2020 to elect all 55 members of the National Assembly of Port Riche. Per the province's electoral law, the election will held on the third Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election, although the possibility exists of an early election if either the government loses a confidence motion or the premier recommends an early dissolution to the lieutenant governor.
The governing Union Progressiste (UP) is seeking a second term after winning the 2016 election. The man who led the UP to victory, Richard Rousseau, was forced to resign in August 2019 after massive public protest following the leak of chat logs where Rousseau and members of his office made homophobic, racist and sexist remarks and discussed how they would use the media to discredit political opponents. An RCMP investigation into both the source of the leaks and whether the premier or his office committed potential crimes or employment law violations. His successor, Pierre Perreault, assumed office as premier and then won the party leadership in an uncontested race in September 2019.
Opposing the government in the election will be the Liberals, led by former Saint-Jean mayor Camille Lacroix. Lacroix gained international fame after the province was devastated by Hurricane Maria, criticizing both Rousseau and the federal government of being unprepared for such a massive natural disaster in the tropical province. She entered the National Assembly in a by-election after taking the party leadership in September 2018.
The anti-corruption, reformist Parti Boriquien (PB) will also contest all 55 seats in the election. The party's leader Alexandra Pôte will be the only major party leader from the previous election to run again in 2020. The party has yet to gain representation in the National Assembly.
This will be the first election where two major parties will be led by women. The Liberals have lead the UP in polling since the months after Hurricane Maria in 2017, and the chat log scandal and resignation of Rousseau briefly had the UP dipping to third in most polls behind the Liberals and PB.
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Courtois was born and raised in Saint-Jean, attending Queen's University and graduating cum laude from Queen's University in 2011 with a bachelor of arts in international relations and economics. While in university, she interned in the office of federal NDP leader Jack Layton. After her father's untimely death from lung cancer, she returned to Port Riche and began working as a bartender to help her mother pay bills. Between her graduation in 2011 and her election, she was active in social justice and anti-poverty causes on the island.
The NDP under Layton's successor Thomas Mulcair selected Courtois to be the party's candidate in the riding of Baie-Saint-Jean in 2015, a seat held by cabinet minister Louis Fortin and widely considered to be one of the safest Conservative seats in Port Riche. In spite of the federal receding of NDP fortunes following the 2011 election, Courtois managed to defeat upset Fortin by a convincing margin after an intense and well-coordinated local campaign, one of the party's few bright spots as they returned to third place nationally behind the Conservatives and new Liberal government.
Under both Mulcair and Jagmeet Singh, Courtois has served as the NDP's Youth critic since taking office. She retained her seat handily in the 2019 federal election, making her the sole NDP MP from Port Riche in the 43rd Parliament.
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
I'm reading a book about 19th century Britain and the repeated mention of the (now obsolete) custom of calling a general election whenever the monarch died made me think what would have happened if that custom not been changed.
Taking the popular vote swings from polling listed on the Wikipedia page for opinion polling for the OTL UK general election of 1955 and applying it to the 1951 results, here's what a snap election would have looked like if Parliament had been dissolved with the death of George VI:
Taking the popular vote swings from polling listed on the Wikipedia page for opinion polling for the OTL UK general election of 1955 and applying it to the 1951 results, here's what a snap election would have looked like if Parliament had been dissolved with the death of George VI:
Conservative to Labour
Barry
Battersea South
Bexley
Bolton East
Brentford and Chiswick
Buckingham
Burton
Bury and Radcliffe
Chislehurst
Conway
Croydon West
Darlington
Devizes
Doncaster
Dulwich
Glasgow Govan
Glasgow Kelvingrove
Glasgow Scotstoun
King's Lynn
Lanark
Liverpool West Derby
Mid Bedfordshire
Middlesborough West
Norwich South
Oldham East
Peterborough
Plymouth Sutton
Portsmouth West
Preston North
Reading North
Rochdale
Romford
Rutherglen
Shipley
Somerset North
South Bedfordshire
South West Norfolk
Spelthorne
Stroud and Thornbury
Wycombe
Yarmouth
York
Conservative to Liberal
Aberdeenshire West
Bodmin
Caithness and Sutherland
Cornwall North
Denbigh
Devon North
Dorset North
Eye
Grantham
Honiton
Penrith and The Border
Roxburgh and Selkirk
Westbury
Labour to Liberal
Anglesley
Colne Valley
Dundee West
Merioneth
Barry
Battersea South
Bexley
Bolton East
Brentford and Chiswick
Buckingham
Burton
Bury and Radcliffe
Chislehurst
Conway
Croydon West
Darlington
Devizes
Doncaster
Dulwich
Glasgow Govan
Glasgow Kelvingrove
Glasgow Scotstoun
King's Lynn
Lanark
Liverpool West Derby
Mid Bedfordshire
Middlesborough West
Norwich South
Oldham East
Peterborough
Plymouth Sutton
Portsmouth West
Preston North
Reading North
Rochdale
Romford
Rutherglen
Shipley
Somerset North
South Bedfordshire
South West Norfolk
Spelthorne
Stroud and Thornbury
Wycombe
Yarmouth
York
Conservative to Liberal
Aberdeenshire West
Bodmin
Caithness and Sutherland
Cornwall North
Denbigh
Devon North
Dorset North
Eye
Grantham
Honiton
Penrith and The Border
Roxburgh and Selkirk
Westbury
Labour to Liberal
Anglesley
Colne Valley
Dundee West
Merioneth
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
The end of the Liberal Democrats' long reign in the United Kingdom after the landslide 2015 defeat would not last long. The UKIP government under Prime Minister Farage triggered the country's exit from the European Union ("Brexit") within a year of taking power, plunging the country's fragile economy into a tailspin. Farage, having achieved his lifelong goal, resigned and left the mess to his successor, Jacob Rees-Mogg. Rees-Mogg, having fanned the flames of the riots and protests against Prime Ministers Cable and Cameron just a few years earlier, now found himself in the hot seat. With his party having almost no one with previous experience in government, it was not long before corruption scandals and public ridicule began eroding the impressive majority the party had won in 2015. Former right-wing Lib Dem MPs beginning to trickle back to the traditional governing party's fold as Rees-Mogg's belligerent attitude towards the devolved assemblies in anti-Brexit Wales and Scotland began to alarm the country's political class that the "Celtic fringe" would declare independence to return to the EU, which could turn the recession into a depression.
The prime minister, calculating that the public had soured on the uninspiring, stale managerial liberalism for at least a few more years, went to the country just a hair over two years into his party's mandate in order to reaffirm the commitment of voters to "making Britain great again" by leaving the European Union, reintroducing capitol punishment and restricting immigration. However, by now Britons remembered why they had continually voted for the dull, technocratic party until 2015, and quickly returned to form by making Chuka Umunna the first black prime minister in British history, with a mandate to make the country's politics boring once again.
The prime minister, calculating that the public had soured on the uninspiring, stale managerial liberalism for at least a few more years, went to the country just a hair over two years into his party's mandate in order to reaffirm the commitment of voters to "making Britain great again" by leaving the European Union, reintroducing capitol punishment and restricting immigration. However, by now Britons remembered why they had continually voted for the dull, technocratic party until 2015, and quickly returned to form by making Chuka Umunna the first black prime minister in British history, with a mandate to make the country's politics boring once again.
What the map really shows is the 2017 election with all Labour and Conservative candidates removed. I just thought a little background would be nice given the weird results. Here is the total breakdown:
Liberal Democrats: 389
UKIP: 126
SNP: 55
Plaid Cymru: 34
DUP: 10
Green: 7
Sinn Féin: 7
Yorkshire: 3
National Health Action: 2
Liberal: 1
North East Party: 1
Speaker: 1
Independents: 14
Liberal Democrats: 389
UKIP: 126
SNP: 55
Plaid Cymru: 34
DUP: 10
Green: 7
Sinn Féin: 7
Yorkshire: 3
National Health Action: 2
Liberal: 1
North East Party: 1
Speaker: 1
Independents: 14
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
The follow-up:
Prime Minister Umunna had been handed a large mandate to return a sense of normalcy to Britain. But the chaos of the last two years, most especially the country's lurching departure from the European Union, proved to be difficult to rein in. The utter failure of UKIP, alongside having served its purpose in getting the UK out of the EU, led to that party quickly cannibalizing itself. UKIP MPs began to break off soon after the scale of the defeat became apparent, and this only accelerated after new leader Gerard Batten began embracing far-right figures and causes ahead of continuing the cautious balancing act both Nigel Farage and Jacob Rees-Mogg played to placate the moderates and hardliners.
Umunna's government itself proved less stable than he would have liked, with his government bitterly divided over whether to attempt to halt "Brexit" or to accept it as a fait accompli. While the prime minister himself had opposed Brexit, he inherited the task of negotiating an exit with the EU, and could not politically extricate himself from the slog of negotiating with European Union leaders wanting to make Britain's exit as unpleasant as possible to deter future attempts by other member-states. The long negotiations exhausted the British public, and despite Umunna's personal support for a second referendum, it became clear that most wanted to "get Brexit over with", and his party faced the possibility of large-scale defections from the right to the new Brexit Party if the prime minister did not follow through.
Instead, Umunna presented his "soft Brexit" deal to the British public, then called a snap election over the issue. Brexit, led by former prime minister Farage, who had come out of retirement to see his dream through, largely failed to deliver electorally as a result of Brexit itself being "just 'round the corner", although its strong performance in South Wales resulted in Plaid Cymru losing almost half of its MPs. UKIP completely collapsed, losing all of their seats as their voters by and large deserted the party for Brexit. Umunna, having won another Lib Dem landslide on the back of his deal, easily pushed it through Parliament and within one month, Britain formally begun to leave the European Union.
Again, this is just OTL with Labour and the Conservatives removed, but some sort of story to try and make sense of the results.
Liberal Democrats: 434
UKIP: 126
SNP: 55
Plaid Cymru: 19
Green: 15
DUP: 8
Sinn Féin: 7
TIG (ChangeUK): 2
SDLP: 2
Alliance: 1
Ashfield Independents: 1
Birkenhead Social Justice: 1
Speaker: 1
Independents: 8
Liberal Democrats: 434
UKIP: 126
SNP: 55
Plaid Cymru: 19
Green: 15
DUP: 8
Sinn Féin: 7
TIG (ChangeUK): 2
SDLP: 2
Alliance: 1
Ashfield Independents: 1
Birkenhead Social Justice: 1
Speaker: 1
Independents: 8
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Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
"Robert Moses' legacy is forever etched in the American landscape. Hundreds of thousands of miles of highways have been laid by his design alongside thousands of bridges built in cities ranging from his home of New York to Los Angeles. Millions of acres of public parks have been saved from commercial development and their facilities upgraded to a consistent high quality. Millions upon millions of Americans have their homes powered by plants Moses built, with new reservoirs gracing our nation's rivers and the Tennessee Valley.
His legacy has also been etched in less subtle ways, ones that casual observers do not see. But that is by design.
Robert Moses' highways are impressive and dazzling. But look at where they are located and who lived there before. In some estimations, millions of people, almost all of whom are poor and/or non-white, have been displaced by Moses' projects. Cities across the country have seen unique communities fall apart because of a highway or on-ramp placed on top of or through their neighborhood. Surviving members of these communities have watched neighborhoods die and fall into spirals of poverty and crime. But they are now hidden from the press by the very roadway that has destroyed them.
The highways' sheer mileage boggles the mind. They go from scenic vistas in the southwest to the congested thoroughfares of the northeast corridor. But never pictured in the glowing articles about Moses is the decrepit state of American rail. One may forgive the former secretary's lack of progress on a true national railway during his long tenure. After all, the United States is a large nation without the density of population that makes similar-sized Europe a shining example of the incorporation of trains into public transportation. But that doesn't account for the lack of subways in several major metropolitan areas or how existing subway lines have been starved of federal funds even though Congress showered money upon the 'Titan of New York' for decades.
Moses' additions to the public park system have earned praise from politicians, philanthropists and environmentalists. Very few think to ask 'what roads lead to these parks?' Because the answer almost invariably does not include those suitable for bus lines. Neither does anyone ask 'why are these parks located where they are?' Because that answer is usually ascribed by looking at the average income in a given neighborhood or area. The higher that number, the more likely a park will be built there or federal funds will make their way to improving it for those who use it.
The increase in America's raw electrical output under Moses' long tenure staggers the mind. But these flashy numbers distract from the millions more displaced by his efforts, and of whole towns that are now under the new reservoirs Moses created. Like those in the cities, these people tend to be poorer and browner than those whose communities along the same bodies of water who Moses spared and who now enjoy affordable electricity.
His long career in New York state and national politics, alongside his famous work regimen are feted as examples to those who hear the call to public service and who push themselves to excel. But his very real brilliance and dedication mask what truly made him unique. Few in the general public are aware of Moses' ruthlessness and astonishing arrogance that allowed him to singularly focus on imposing his will on a nation. Even fewer know how Moses' private wealth exploded during his long service in power, nor of the his political and legal legerdemain that made him indispensable even to the presidents he did not help put into the Oval Office. And only a select few ever gleaned how, from the worst throes of the Great Depression to the tumult of the 1960s, the nation's infrastructure, energy and transportation policies—the actual physical shaping of the country—were not dictated by its elected leaders or most brilliant experts or even moneyed interests. It was by the will of one man: Robert Moses."
His legacy has also been etched in less subtle ways, ones that casual observers do not see. But that is by design.
Robert Moses' highways are impressive and dazzling. But look at where they are located and who lived there before. In some estimations, millions of people, almost all of whom are poor and/or non-white, have been displaced by Moses' projects. Cities across the country have seen unique communities fall apart because of a highway or on-ramp placed on top of or through their neighborhood. Surviving members of these communities have watched neighborhoods die and fall into spirals of poverty and crime. But they are now hidden from the press by the very roadway that has destroyed them.
The highways' sheer mileage boggles the mind. They go from scenic vistas in the southwest to the congested thoroughfares of the northeast corridor. But never pictured in the glowing articles about Moses is the decrepit state of American rail. One may forgive the former secretary's lack of progress on a true national railway during his long tenure. After all, the United States is a large nation without the density of population that makes similar-sized Europe a shining example of the incorporation of trains into public transportation. But that doesn't account for the lack of subways in several major metropolitan areas or how existing subway lines have been starved of federal funds even though Congress showered money upon the 'Titan of New York' for decades.
Moses' additions to the public park system have earned praise from politicians, philanthropists and environmentalists. Very few think to ask 'what roads lead to these parks?' Because the answer almost invariably does not include those suitable for bus lines. Neither does anyone ask 'why are these parks located where they are?' Because that answer is usually ascribed by looking at the average income in a given neighborhood or area. The higher that number, the more likely a park will be built there or federal funds will make their way to improving it for those who use it.
The increase in America's raw electrical output under Moses' long tenure staggers the mind. But these flashy numbers distract from the millions more displaced by his efforts, and of whole towns that are now under the new reservoirs Moses created. Like those in the cities, these people tend to be poorer and browner than those whose communities along the same bodies of water who Moses spared and who now enjoy affordable electricity.
His long career in New York state and national politics, alongside his famous work regimen are feted as examples to those who hear the call to public service and who push themselves to excel. But his very real brilliance and dedication mask what truly made him unique. Few in the general public are aware of Moses' ruthlessness and astonishing arrogance that allowed him to singularly focus on imposing his will on a nation. Even fewer know how Moses' private wealth exploded during his long service in power, nor of the his political and legal legerdemain that made him indispensable even to the presidents he did not help put into the Oval Office. And only a select few ever gleaned how, from the worst throes of the Great Depression to the tumult of the 1960s, the nation's infrastructure, energy and transportation policies—the actual physical shaping of the country—were not dictated by its elected leaders or most brilliant experts or even moneyed interests. It was by the will of one man: Robert Moses."
-Lucy Carville, introduction to The Coordinator: Robert Moses and the Fall of America, published in 1977.
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Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
Carter/Mondale: One Last Ride
The results come from comparing Obama's disapproval rating in April 2011 to what Romney got in 2012, then extrapolating that to what Carter gets. Each state's result was decided by modifying the statewide total percentages for the 2018 House elections. For those wondering, even with a home-state bonus, Jimmy fails to win Georgia for a third time.
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
The most recent election in Alberta if the two parties making up the United Conservative Party hadn't merged:
Riding results were simply taking the UCP vote for that riding, then finding out what percentage of the combined Progressive Conservative & Wildrose vote both parties got in 2015, then multiply the UCP vote by those percentages.
For new ridings, I used the redistributed results for determining the factor both PC & WR parties got in those ridings.
For new ridings, I used the redistributed results for determining the factor both PC & WR parties got in those ridings.
Progressive Conservative (23)
Calgary-Cross
Calgary-Edgemont
Calgary-Elbow
Calgary-Fish Creek
Calgary-Foothills
Calgary-Glenmore
Calgary-Hays
Calgary-Lougheed
Calgary-North West
Calgary-Peigan
Calgary-Shaw
Calgary-South East
Calgary-West
Camrose
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville
Grande Prairie
Grande Prairie-Wapiti
Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin
Peace River
Red Deer-South
Spruce Grove-Stony Plain
Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright
West Yellowhead
Wildrose (23)
Airdrie-Cochrane
Airdrie-East
Athasbaca-Barrhead-Westlock
Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul
Brooks-Medicine Hat
Cardston-Siksika
Central Peace-Notley
Chestermere-Strathmore
Cypress-Medicine Hat
Drayton Valley-Devon
Drumheller-Stettler
Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo
Highwood
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake
Lacombe-Ponoka
Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland
Leduc-Beaumont
Livingstone-McLeod
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills
Red Deer-North
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre
Taber-Warner
New Democratic Party (17)
Banff-Kananaskis
Calgary-Acadia
Calgary-Beddington
Calgary-Bow
Calgary-Currie
Calgary-East
Calgary-Falconridge
Calgary-Klein
Calgary-North
Calgary-North East
Calgary-Varsity
Edmonton South-West
Lesser Slave Lake
Lethbridge-East
Morinville-St. Albert
Sherwood Park
Stratchona-Sherwood Park
Calgary-Cross
Calgary-Edgemont
Calgary-Elbow
Calgary-Fish Creek
Calgary-Foothills
Calgary-Glenmore
Calgary-Hays
Calgary-Lougheed
Calgary-North West
Calgary-Peigan
Calgary-Shaw
Calgary-South East
Calgary-West
Camrose
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville
Grande Prairie
Grande Prairie-Wapiti
Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin
Peace River
Red Deer-South
Spruce Grove-Stony Plain
Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright
West Yellowhead
Wildrose (23)
Airdrie-Cochrane
Airdrie-East
Athasbaca-Barrhead-Westlock
Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul
Brooks-Medicine Hat
Cardston-Siksika
Central Peace-Notley
Chestermere-Strathmore
Cypress-Medicine Hat
Drayton Valley-Devon
Drumheller-Stettler
Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo
Highwood
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake
Lacombe-Ponoka
Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland
Leduc-Beaumont
Livingstone-McLeod
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills
Red Deer-North
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre
Taber-Warner
New Democratic Party (17)
Banff-Kananaskis
Calgary-Acadia
Calgary-Beddington
Calgary-Bow
Calgary-Currie
Calgary-East
Calgary-Falconridge
Calgary-Klein
Calgary-North
Calgary-North East
Calgary-Varsity
Edmonton South-West
Lesser Slave Lake
Lethbridge-East
Morinville-St. Albert
Sherwood Park
Stratchona-Sherwood Park
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Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
TFW you realize that the Northern Territory started having self-government about the same time as the Yukon Territory.
Results are based on OTL Northern Territory electorates' first preference votes.
The Liberals' votes are literally all independents + 1 Territory mashed together
The Liberals' votes are literally all independents + 1 Territory mashed together
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
The follow-up to the "Northern Territory as the Yukon" box at the top of the page.
- The reason the PC analog are just plain Liberals is that the Yukon has never had a strong farming sector, hence no Country or National equivalent would pop up.
- The Yukon Liberals' votes were divvied up using this as a baseline, with the "don't know/none" being sent to independents (roughly 40%) and the rest split between Labor (45%, OTL NDP) and Liberal (15%, OTL PC).
- The preference flows for "independent" voters was drawn from the "overall" second-choice between second-choice NDP voters (76%) and second-choice Conservative voters (24%).
- The 2012 results were similarly manufactured using the 2011 federal election second-choice data, which unsurprisingly meant most OTL Liberal votes went to the NDP, making TTL's Labor win a majority instead of the TTL Liberals (OTL PCs).
- Carmack is the OTL Whitehorse Central provincial riding. It is named after the man initially credited with discovering the gold that led to the Klondike gold rush.
Pearson is the OTL Mountainview provincial riding named after the OTL first premier of the Yukon (and likely TTL first Chief Minister of the territory).
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
"Haven't We Seen This Before?" or "UK '22 as Canada '93"
- Basically, these are just the 1993 popular vote results translated to the UK (with some slight difference because Quebec makes up a larger share of Canada's population than Scotland's proportion of the UK population).
The analogues should be pretty obvious:- Lib Dem=Liberal
- Labour= NDP
- SNP = Bloc Québécois
- Brexit= Reform
- Conservative= Progressive Conservative
- I chose the LibDems for the Canadian Liberal Party analogue mostly because they're clearly hitting their stride now (as seen by the recent EU election results) and right now they look better situated than Labour to capitalize from the omnishambles that is the post-referendum Conservative Party.
- I gave 10% of the Liberal (LibDem) vote to the NDP (Labour) in this scenario since I couldn't honestly see Labour being reduced to 6.5% of the vote, nor the LibDems conceivably winning over 40% of the popular vote.
- Before anyone complains—the reason the DUP and Conservatives are included in the box and others that won seats (Sinn Féin, Plaid Cymru, the Alliance, SDLP) are excluded is because the Conservatives were the incumbent ruling party in this scenario and had to be included for the infobox to get across that the party lost power instead of, say, dissolving or not contesting the election. The DUP is included to round out the second row, and because their supply and confidence agreement with the Conservatives kept the latter in power after the 2017 election
- Yes, I could have used a different picture for Jo Swinson. No, I will not apologize.
- The only remaining Conservative seat, for anyone interested, is East Devon.
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Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
Redid it with the LibDems as the LPC analogue in Scotland (Quebec).
Could have sworn that I'd kept the same tactical voting percentages from the first run, but somehow got different results outside of Scotland
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
The Tories keep two more seats than before, one of which is Gavin Williamson's (the other is Malden). So I guess he's the Jean Charest in this analogy.
Could have sworn that I'd kept the same tactical voting percentages from the first run, but somehow got different results outside of Scotland
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
This is what happens when you flip back and forth between Chernobyl and another series on disasters and incompetence: UK political news.
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
"I'm Just Killin' In Cedar Rapids"
The victim locations are all from the "Clinton Body Count" lists. Most of the victim locations (sans Iowa, which had to be in there for the joke up top) were also taken from the list.
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
"What have they done?"
- Harold Denton viewing the remains of the Reactor Two building at Three Mile Island on March 28, 1979.
This is obviously a "Chernobyl but in the United States".
Yes, I know that the myriad design flaws, lax safety culture and stifling political self-censorship in the scientific community that led to that particular disaster were not present in OTL American nuclear industry during this period, don't @ me.
Yes, I know that the myriad design flaws, lax safety culture and stifling political self-censorship in the scientific community that led to that particular disaster were not present in OTL American nuclear industry during this period, don't @ me.
Lord Caedus
Well-known member
- Location
- Minnesota
The Kanata Legislative Assembly election of 2019 was held from 11 to 29 April 2019 to elect all 143 members of the Kanata Legislative Assembly. It took place concurrently with Kanata's voting during the Indian general election of 2019.
Incumbent Chief Minister Justin Trudeau led the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) in an attempt to secure a second consecutive mandate. Trudeau had made a name for himself nationally in his clashes with Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and led in opinion polls for the majority of the previous Legislative Assembly. However, corruption scandals in 2018 shook Kanatites' faith in Trudeau as the assembly came to its end.
The official opposition National Democratic Alliance (NDA) was led by Jason Kenney, who had taken up the reins after the coalition fell from power in Kanata in 2014. Also contesting were the Kanata Janata Dal (KJD) led by Jagmeet Singh, the Federal Front (FF) under new leader François Legault and the new All-Kanata Front (AKF) led by Maxime Bernier.
Despite Modi's unpopularity in the state, Kenney successfully threaded the needle of appealing to his coalition's diverse factions and Kanata at large until reports begun to appear alleging that he had prior knowledge of an attempted vote-stuffing for a NDA candidate in a Lok Sabha by-election in 2018. The reports and rumors that Kenney had tried to impose candidates from his own party on seats held by smaller coalition members led to several defecting to either the UPA or FF.
For the minor alliances and parties, Singh and the KJD lost support as it became clear that the election would result in either a Trudeau or Kenney ministry. Legault capitalized on the relative dip in support for the UPA in French-speaking areas to cleave those votes away from the UPA and Trudeau, declaring that he would support either party if they fell short of a majority on the condition that the new government ask the federal government to create a Francophone-majority state from part of Kanata. Bernier, a former NDA frontbencher who had left the coalition after losing the post-2014 power struggle to Kenney, created the KDF as a far-right, populist party that openly teased the idea of seceding from India and establishing Kanata as an independent nation.
Again in contrast to an NDA rout in the national election, the legislative assembly election in Kanata saw Trudeau and the UPA win the most seats of any party or coalition. Unlike 2014, however, the UPA did not win a majority, falling six seats short. The NDA increased its representation to 54 seats, while the Federal Front surged to third with 12 seats. The KJD under Singh fell to nine seats from the 21 they had won in the previous elections, while Bernier lost re-election as the AKF failed to win a single seat in the Legislative Assembly.
Trudeau subsequently agreed to a confidence-and-supply agreement with the KJD after rejecting Legault and the Federal Front's precondition of the creation of a French-speaking state.
Incumbent Chief Minister Justin Trudeau led the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) in an attempt to secure a second consecutive mandate. Trudeau had made a name for himself nationally in his clashes with Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and led in opinion polls for the majority of the previous Legislative Assembly. However, corruption scandals in 2018 shook Kanatites' faith in Trudeau as the assembly came to its end.
The official opposition National Democratic Alliance (NDA) was led by Jason Kenney, who had taken up the reins after the coalition fell from power in Kanata in 2014. Also contesting were the Kanata Janata Dal (KJD) led by Jagmeet Singh, the Federal Front (FF) under new leader François Legault and the new All-Kanata Front (AKF) led by Maxime Bernier.
Despite Modi's unpopularity in the state, Kenney successfully threaded the needle of appealing to his coalition's diverse factions and Kanata at large until reports begun to appear alleging that he had prior knowledge of an attempted vote-stuffing for a NDA candidate in a Lok Sabha by-election in 2018. The reports and rumors that Kenney had tried to impose candidates from his own party on seats held by smaller coalition members led to several defecting to either the UPA or FF.
For the minor alliances and parties, Singh and the KJD lost support as it became clear that the election would result in either a Trudeau or Kenney ministry. Legault capitalized on the relative dip in support for the UPA in French-speaking areas to cleave those votes away from the UPA and Trudeau, declaring that he would support either party if they fell short of a majority on the condition that the new government ask the federal government to create a Francophone-majority state from part of Kanata. Bernier, a former NDA frontbencher who had left the coalition after losing the post-2014 power struggle to Kenney, created the KDF as a far-right, populist party that openly teased the idea of seceding from India and establishing Kanata as an independent nation.
Again in contrast to an NDA rout in the national election, the legislative assembly election in Kanata saw Trudeau and the UPA win the most seats of any party or coalition. Unlike 2014, however, the UPA did not win a majority, falling six seats short. The NDA increased its representation to 54 seats, while the Federal Front surged to third with 12 seats. The KJD under Singh fell to nine seats from the 21 they had won in the previous elections, while Bernier lost re-election as the AKF failed to win a single seat in the Legislative Assembly.
Trudeau subsequently agreed to a confidence-and-supply agreement with the KJD after rejecting Legault and the Federal Front's precondition of the creation of a French-speaking state.