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The Caedite Infobox and Graphics Thread

*4chan starts sweating nervously*

?

I’m surprised that you had to change so little for the 2019 Canadian election to sound exactly like an Indian state election.

It helps that both are ethnically diverse former British colonies with local political parties advocating for linguistic minorities, and whose traditional governing party (which has a reputation for arrogance and corruption) was led in the last few elections by the son of a former prime minister.
 
UK 2019 (no Conservatives or Labour)
The end of the Liberal Democrats' long reign in the United Kingdom after the landslide 2015 defeat would not last long. The UKIP government under Prime Minister Farage triggered the country's exit from the European Union ("Brexit") within a year of taking power, plunging the country's fragile economy into a tailspin. Farage, having achieved his lifelong goal, resigned and left the mess to his successor, Jacob Rees-Mogg. Rees-Mogg, having fanned the flames of the riots and protests against Prime Ministers Cable and Cameron just a few years earlier, now found himself in the hot seat. With his party having almost no one with previous experience in government, it was not long before corruption scandals and public ridicule began eroding the impressive majority the party had won in 2015. Former right-wing Lib Dem MPs beginning to trickle back to the traditional governing party's fold as Rees-Mogg's belligerent attitude towards the devolved assemblies in anti-Brexit Wales and Scotland began to alarm the country's political class that the "Celtic fringe" would declare independence to return to the EU, which could turn the recession into a depression.

The prime minister, calculating that the public had soured on the uninspiring, stale managerial liberalism for at least a few more years, went to the country just a hair over two years into his party's mandate in order to reaffirm the commitment of voters to "making Britain great again" by leaving the European Union, reintroducing capitol punishment and restricting immigration. However, by now Britons remembered why they had continually voted for the dull, technocratic party until 2015, and quickly returned to form by making Chuka Umunna the first black prime minister in British history, with a mandate to make the country's politics boring once again.

The follow-up:

Prime Minister Umunna had been handed a large mandate to return a sense of normalcy to Britain. But the chaos of the last two years, most especially the country's lurching departure from the European Union, proved to be difficult to rein in. The utter failure of UKIP, alongside having served its purpose in getting the UK out of the EU, led to that party quickly cannibalizing itself. UKIP MPs began to break off soon after the scale of the defeat became apparent, and this only accelerated after new leader Gerard Batten began embracing far-right figures and causes ahead of continuing the cautious balancing act both Nigel Farage and Jacob Rees-Mogg played to placate the moderates and hardliners.

Umunna's government itself proved less stable than he would have liked, with his government bitterly divided over whether to attempt to halt "Brexit" or to accept it as a fait accompli. While the prime minister himself had opposed Brexit, he inherited the task of negotiating an exit with the EU, and could not politically extricate himself from the slog of negotiating with European Union leaders wanting to make Britain's exit as unpleasant as possible to deter future attempts by other member-states. The long negotiations exhausted the British public, and despite Umunna's personal support for a second referendum, it became clear that most wanted to "get Brexit over with", and his party faced the possibility of large-scale defections from the right to the new Brexit Party if the prime minister did not follow through.

Instead, Umunna presented his "soft Brexit" deal to the British public, then called a snap election over the issue. Brexit, led by former prime minister Farage, who had come out of retirement to see his dream through, largely failed to deliver electorally as a result of Brexit itself being "just 'round the corner", although its strong performance in South Wales resulted in Plaid Cymru losing almost half of its MPs. UKIP completely collapsed, losing all of their seats as their voters by and large deserted the party for Brexit. Umunna, having won another Lib Dem landslide on the back of his deal, easily pushed it through Parliament and within one month, Britain formally begun to leave the European Union.

uk19nolabcon.png

Again, this is just OTL with Labour and the Conservatives removed, but some sort of story to try and make sense of the results.

Liberal Democrats: 434
UKIP: 126
SNP: 55
Plaid Cymru: 19
Green: 15

DUP: 8
Sinn Féin: 7

TIG (ChangeUK): 2
SDLP: 2

Alliance: 1
Ashfield Independents: 1
Birkenhead Social Justice: 1
Speaker: 1
Independents: 8
 
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Emperor of R(h)omania
The Emperor of the Romans (Hellenic: βασιλεύς Ῥωμαίων, Vasiléfs Rhōmaîon), also referred to in English as the Emperor of Romania, is the head of state of Romania. The current emperor is Pavlos II, who ascended to the throne in 1982.

The emperor is a constitutional monarch, in the words of the Constitution of Romania a "symbol and living personification of the Roman[ian] state" and serves as commander-in-chief (αὐτοκράτωρ, autokrátōr) of the Romanian military. The emperor and his immediate family perform various official, ceremonial, diplomatic, and ecclesiastical functions on behalf of the Romanian state, although the emperor has very few constitutional powers to directly influence or set policy on these issues. All legislation, decrees and treaties are issued and signed in the emperor's name by the Council of Ministers.

The imperial tradition in Romania has its roots in Imperial Rome. Although Romanians and Orthodox Christians consider the current emperor to be the direct successor of Augustus, most historians mark the permanent division of the Roman Empire into eastern and western halves following the death of Theodosius I in 395 as the beginning of the Romanian tradition. Nonetheless, the unbroken continuity from Augustus makes the Romanian monarchy the oldest extant monarchy in the world (the Imperial House of Japan claims that the first Emperor of Japan begun his reign in 660 BC, but the earliest emperor for whom there is historical evidence, Kinmei, begun his reign in 539 AD).

Aside from its venerability, the position of Emperor is notable among European monarchies for its de jure lack of hereditary succession, with the emperor naming his own designated successor or diadochos (διάδοχος). However, no emperor since the 18th century has chosen someone who is not a blood relative for the position, and the Constitution has limited the choices to legitimate descendants of Emperor Constantine XVIII who are members of the Orthodox Church since 1911. If the emperor dies without naming a diadochos, an Imperial Council consisting of regional governors, top commanders of the Romanian armed forces, the Council of Ministers, and the bishops of the Orthodox Church is convened to select a new emperor.

romanemperor.png

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This is what happens when I listen to too much History of Byzantium in one sitting.
 
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2019 Canada (No Liberals or Conservatives)
Similar to the British ones earlier, here's Canada with the Liberals & Conservatives removed.

I have Mulcair as NDP leader since he's been described by @Turquoise Blue as a chameleon due to being potentially a member of all three of Canada's major federal parties in various ATLs, so he's a great guy to be in charge of a party that cleans up everywhere besides Quebec and a few of the Maritimes. Plus, I doubt he would have been removed if his party won 92% of all seats in Parliament in 2015.

canadanolibcon.png
New Democratic: 249
Bloc Québécois: 66
Green: 20
People's Party of Canada: 1
independents: 2
 
No Waiting At The Church
No Waiting At The Church

Basically, my effort at calculating what seems like a beginner-level UK politics POD: Callaghan decides on a general election in autumn 1978 instead of hoping that polls look better in 1979.

uk78.png
Results are taken from applying Gallup poll results from October 1978 and adjusting those results by how far the last OTL 1979 pre-election Gallup poll was off. The swings are then applied to the OTL 1979 results in each constituency.

Aberdeen South (LAB instead of CON)
Ayr (LAB instead of CON)
Basildon (LAB instead of CON)
Bebington and Ellsmere Port (LAB instead of CON)
Belper (LAB instead of CON)
Birmingham Northfield (LAB instead of CON)
Birmingham Yardley (LAB instead of CON)
Brecon and Radnor (LAB instead of CON)
Brigg and Scunthorpe (LAB instead of CON)
Brighouse and Spenborough (LAB instead of CON)
Chorley (LAB instead of CON)
Colne Valley (LAB instead of LIB)
Dartford (LAB instead of CON)
Dudley West (LAB instead of CON)
Dundee East (LAB instead of SNP)
Ealing North (LAB instead of CON)
Edinburgh Pentlands (LAB instead of CON)
Edinburgh South (LAB instead of CON)
Enfield North (LAB instead of CON)
Fulham (LAB instead of CON)
Gloucestershire West (LAB instead of CON)
Hemel Hempstead (LAB instead of CON)
Hertford and Stevenage (LAB instead of CON)
Hornchurch (LAB instead of CON)
Huddersfield West (LAB instead of CON)
Ilford South (LAB instead of CON)
Isle of Wight (CON instead of LIB)
Kingswood (LAB instead of CON)
Lincoln (LAB instead of CON)
Liverpool Garston (LAB instead of CON)
Luton East (LAB instead of CON)
Luton West (LAB instead of CON)
Meriden (LAB instead of CON)
Moray and Nairn (SNP instead of CON)
Nelson and Colne (LAB instead of CON)
Newark (LAB instead of CON)
Newcastle upon Tyne North (LAB instead of CON)
Oxford (LAB instead of CON)
Paddington (LAB instead of CON)
Portsmouth North (LAB instead of CON)
Preston North (LAB instead of CON)
Putney (LAB instead of CON)
Rochdale (LAB instead of LIB)
Rochester and Chatham (LAB instead of CON)
Rossendale (LAB instead of CON)
Rugby (LAB instead of CON)
Southampton Test (LAB instead of CON)
Sowerby (LAB instead of CON)
The Wrekin (LAB instead of CON)
Watford (LAB instead of CON)
Welwyn and Hatfield (LAB instead of CON)
Woolwich West (LAB instead of CON)
 
Weak Reform in 1993
Pondered what Canada's 1993 election (AKA the most Canadian federal election yet held) looks like if Reform never got off the ground, like if Mulroney had somehow appeased westerners enough to keep them in the PC tent. Basically, I capped their performance in each riding at a level that would keep their federal vote-share at the same level as 1988 and gave the rest to the PCs.

canada93noreform.png

Unsurprisingly, the result is a Liberal minority government. You can only do so much once one party has a 40% plurality in a contest with four major parties.

Without the humiliation of losing her own seat amidst a historic implosion, I wonder if Campbell would hang on to the leadership in this scenario.

Also, with the consolidation of the right-wing vote, the NDP loses even more seats, to the point where they dip lower than the worst results of their CCF predecessors when it comes to the total seats they hold in Parliament. Sad!

Liberal to PC (36)
Bramalea—Gore—Malton, ON
Brandon—Souris, MB
Burlington, ON
Cambridge, ON
Carleton—Charlotte, NB
Central Nova, NS
Cumberland—Colchester, NS
Dauphin—Swan River, MB
Durham, ON
Edmonton East, AB
Edmonton North, AB
Edmonton Northwest, AB
Elgin—Norfolk, ON
Etobicoke—Lakeshore, ON
Guelph—Wellington, ON
Halton—Peel, ON
Huron—Bruce, ON
Oakville—Milton, ON
Ontario, ON
Oshawa, ON
Oxford, ON
Parry Sound—Muskoka, ON
Perth—Wellington—Waterloo, ON
Portage—Interlake, MB
Richmond, BC
Saskatoon—Humboldt, SK
Selkirk—Red River, MB
Simcoe North, ON
Souris—Moose Mountain, SK
St. John's East, NL
Vancouver Centre, BC
Vancouver South, BC
Victoria—Haliburton, ON
Waterloo, ON
Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Simcoe, ON
York—Simcoe, ON

NDP to PC (3)
Mackenzie, SK
Saskatoon—Clark's Crossing, SK
The Battlefords—Meadow Lake, SK
 
Mayor Jupiter
Inspired by a comment on Discord that posited Pete Buttigieg as the American Macron:

inLPJVY.png

Basically the US begins using a two-round presidential system after the 1968 election nearly results in a hung electoral college, which allows voters in the territories to get a say in who becomes president. This of course begins to break up the two-party system until the shitshow that is 2016 (a constant in any TL) finally results in neither the Democratic or Republican nominee getting into the second round.

I made Buttigieg's party his (horrible) OTL primary slogan, not something with his initials because I am a hack and a fraud.
 
The real unbelievable part here is the far right only getting 34% honestly.

This is also with the Republican candidate (Chris Christie as the "conservative president-in-waiting whose election was derailed by scandal"?) endorsing Buttigieg because the Patriots are, well, the kind of party where a sizable portion of their congressional candidates have expressed open skepticism about the Holocaust and/or are circumstantially linked to militia groups monitored by the FBI.

People's Progressive Movement for Betterment. PPMB. :p

It would be incredibly on-brand for Hoosier Macron to choose a bland, nonsensical party name that sounds like it was focus-grouped to death.

Pity it's too wordy to be a US party name.
 
2019 R(h)omanian legislative election
Possible follow-up to this infobox. Or it's set in an alternate version of a surviving Byzantium.

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The 2019 Romanian general election was held on 7 July 2019 to elect all 500 members of the Senate of Romania. Four hundred senators are elected via the d'Hondt method of proportional representation from among parties or alliances that received over seven percent of the national vote; the remaining 100 seats are given to the party or alliance that obtained the most votes, distributed across the themes (province) in proportion to each theme's share of that party or alliance's total vote.

The governing center-right to right-wing National Consolidation (Ethnikí Enopoíisi, EE) won a fourth consecutive majority in the Senate, narrowly edging out the opposition New Democratic Alliance (Néo Dimokratikó Symmachía, NEDISYM), a broad tent of anti-EE parties, after a contentious campaign. The narrow margin of victory and large NEDISYM lead in polling taken prior to the start of the campaign in May led to allegations of voting fraud and protests, with riots taking place in Constantinople, Athens and other cities across the country.

Incumbent Chief Minister Giorgios Stavridis[1], the popular former governor of Smyrna, was elected to head EE in February after his predecessor, Antonis Samaris, resigned due to low approval ratings. Stavridis, a former admiral in the Imperial Navy, is the first former military officer to serve as chief minister since the restoration of democracy in 1987.

The main issues raised in the campaign were: the government's response to the economic downturn that had begun in 2016, a continuing influx of refugees from the conflicts in Armenia and Syria, and concerns about democratic backsliding (which became increasingly prominent after Stavridis' appointment as Chief Minister) and corruption.

The Movement for Justice and Equality (known as Kínima Dikaiosýnis kai Isótita / Adalet ve Eshitlik ichin Hareketi[2], KDI/AEH for the Hellenic[3] and Turkish versions of its name), a coalition of Turkish-identity and conservative Muslim parties, continued to be the only party besides both EE and NEDISYM represented in the Senate after this election. Its leader, Binali Yîldîrîm, led the alliance for a third consecutive election despite being under investigation for corruption, which he asserted was a "ruse" and that he was "persecuted for being Muslim."

The new Senate convened in mid-July 2019 after the quelling of riots in Constantinople. Unlike previous votes on the incoming government's proposed slate of ministers since 1987, NEDISYM leader Dora Bakoyannis announced that her party (the largest opposition party) would vote against the list Stavridis would offer to the Senate rather than abstain, as had been the practice when one party or alliance had secured a majority of seats in the Senate. Nevertheless, the Senate voted to approve the new Council of Ministers on a party-line vote (275 "for" to 225 "against").

Since the election, political commentators and politicians in Romania have suggested reforms to the country's electoral system, largely on lowering the electoral threshold and reducing or eliminating the "bonus" given to the coalition with the most votes. A commission led by retired jurist Vassiliki Thanou-Christophilou has been tasked with determining which, if any, reforms should be made to the country's electoral apparatus; it is expected to issue its report sometime in 2021.

Per the Constitution of Romania, the Senate will dissolve for new elections on 26 May 2023. As EE controls a majority of senators, it is unlikely that the condition for a premature dissolution (a Senate failure to approve of a new Council of Ministers within 30 days of convening post-elections or within 15 days of the prior council's dismissal) will be met.

pwOTwRy.png


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[1]- Yes this is an ATL James Stavridis. His grandfather immigrated to the US IOTL because of the genocide of Anatolian Greeks that occurred between the start of World War I and the end of the Ottoman Empire, so I figured his family would stay in a TL where Smyrna (IOTL İzmir) is part of a Greek-speaking country that is not persecuting them.

[2]- My headcanon is that because of the knock-on effects of the failure of the Ottomans to sack Constantinople, Turkish is still written with a version of the Arab alphabet ITTL, as well as being much more suffused with Farsi and Arabic loanwords (as was the case IOTL before Atatürk's language reforms). As such, Turkish written in the Latin alphabet ITTL is more influenced by (OTL & ATL) transliterations of Arabic and Farsi than the OTL Turkish alphabet.

For example, the OTL Turkish ç and ş are written ch and sh (Eshitlik ichin instead of Eşitlik için), and ı is written î (Yîldîrîm instead of Yıldırım)

[3]- "Hellenic" is TTL's term for the Greek language, while "Hellenes" is the most commonly-used for ethnic Greeks. "Romanian" is most commonly used to refer to all citizens of Romania, regardless of ethnic background.
 
Greece as Turkey and Turks as Kurds? This has got to be one of your most cursed, yet inspired ideas to this day.

It wasn't intended to be a direct analogue, but I can see how you got that impression. OTL post-independence Greece was also an inspiration, since they also had a long history of political instability and the military intervening in politics that really only stopped after 1974. I figured that Byzantium, though, would continue on with such a checkered democratic history given the...let's say not particularly calm regional foreign policy situation that has been the default for the rulers in Constantinople ever since their namesake decided there should be a new capital built at the crossroads of Europe and Asia.

I will say that TTL's Romania doesn't have a (recent) history of genocide or ethnic cleansing against their Turkish citizens, so they're one-up on OTL Turkey's relationship with the Kurds.

That reminds me of an old DBWI thread on the other place about "Should Byzantium be allowed to join the EU?"

The correct answer is "yes, but on the condition that they annoy the Italians by constantly reminding them that the 'Emperor of the Romans' lives in Constantinople, not Rome."
 
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I wouldn’t say Turkey is/was genocidal towards the Kurds. They did definitely try to ethnically cleanse the southeast though and are still trying to assimilate the Kurdish population.
 
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