In the 1910s there was a nationalist secret society in Madagascar known as the Vy Vato Sakelika which had the aim of expelling the French from the island and restoring the Merina Kingdom. At the same time, there was no French commander in Madagascar. VVS was founded a year before World War I. If for some reason Madagascar revolts in the middle of World War I, what will be the consequences? What are the chances of a nationalist victory?