The authors are indeed quite explicit in their intention of writing an alternate history of WW2 France as it ought to have been. They're very careful to avoid best-case scenarios (for example it takes the Wehrmacht less than two months after the POD to reach the Mediterranean), but there's a cathartic aspect to depicting France continuing the fight instead of cravenly resigning itself to defeat.
The thing is I don't think thats particularly plausible. One can't simply handwave away a rotten out political and cultural system just by having one woman die. Nor in doing so magically provide a will to keep fighting, especially if it means the government has to go into exile.
This whole thing, the more I read about it, just looks like a nationalist fantasy about how things should have been.
Well, it's a mix of agenda-driven and wargaming (all major operations are wargamed). I'm not sure there can another form of simulation for a world-wide story. Classical (commercial) wargames (even if good games BTW) are lacking lots of details. Moreover, most are designed so that France's defeat in 1940 is almost unavoidable. Because many are American or Australian wargames and if the western allies resist in 1940, the importance of US or Australian contribution to the war would be far less important.Fred the Great said:I don't like this kind of agenda-driven writing.
Surely not! There are lots of other possibilities to change history. For example, you can get Rommel killed in a French counter-attack, which almost occured in reality. You can have Gamelin breaking a leg in a staircase in Vincennes and another top-commander deciding to keep the 7th army in a central position in May 40, etc.Fred the Great said:the authors were writing the definitive "what if" history of what would have occurred if France had fought on
Definitely not! Think about that: by loosing continental France, the country which had the so-called best army of the world is still facing a tragic defeat and this event will have tremendous consequences all around the world. France and GB can't win the war alone any more and USA and Soviet Union will still emerge as major powers after the war.Burton K Wheeler said:just looks like a nationalist fantasy about how things should have been.
Well, it's a mix of agenda-driven and wargaming (all major operations are wargamed).
Does it? It's been some time since I read a summary of the plot that someone posted over on AH.com but IIRC as part of fighting on a large number of troops with at least personal weapons, aircraft, and industry in the form of machine tools and workers are evacuated to North Africa. With no surrender and therefore no Attack on Mers-el-Kabir they also retain their fleet as well as the large gold reserves that were sent to West Africa and the Caribbean. All of which makes them substantially stronger than De Gaulle when he occupied North Africa in our timeline, with few French troops he needed to and was successfully able to raise native units without having to offer any concessions. So why would the government need to offer concessions from a position of greater strength? It does come across a bit as the authors deciding to use it as an excuse to hand wave away a rather divisive and embarrassing future situation. As I said however I haven't read the full story so maybe it's explained there.The army desperately needs more men, which means recruiting among the native population, which means providing incentives in terms of civil rights.
A slight digression but how did some of the private companies like Breguet and Marcel Bloch manage, if they did, to avoid being nationalised? My French is quite frankly atrocious so trying to follow some of the on-line sources is a bit tricky, especially when a number of them appear to be contradictory.The SNCA (Société Nationales de Construction d'Avions) were byzantine and Kafka at the same time.
A slight digression but how did some of the private companies like Breguet and Marcel Bloch manage, if they did, to avoid being nationalised? My French is quite frankly atrocious so trying to follow some of the on-line sources is a bit tricky, especially when a number of them appear to be contradictory.
Next part: 1941
January 1941 :
- Germans and Italians continue to gather forces for operation Merkur, among them German paratroops and mountain troops.
- Germans and Italians begin to target Malta and French airfields in Tunisia (Malta-Tunis Blitz) to create a diversion for Merkur
- Fall of Addis-Abeba and end of Italian East Africa (although troops in remote places will fight until May)
February 1941 :
- To defend Tunis and Malta, the French have to remove some fighters groups from Corsica and Sardinia
- The Luftwaffe begins to target airfields in Corsica and Sardinia
- Greece joins the Allies and attacks Italian Albania, forcing Mussolini to divert some assets there
- Fearing an Allied breakthrough towards Romania and her oilfields, Hitler orders to plan the invasion of Yugoslavia and Greece
- German and Italian paratroopers are dropped over Corsica and Sardinia, followed by naval landings ; fierce and indecisive combats on both islands (loss of French BB Béarn)
- A fourth FliegerKorps is deployed in Italy.
March 1941 :
- French troops, despite reinforcements, are unable to hold Corsica and Sardinia which fall in enemy hands in the middle of the month. Heavy losses for the German paratroopers, transport planes and Italian navy
- Military alliance between Japan and Thailand (Siam), leading to consultations between France, Great-Britain and the Dutch in-exile govt ; Siamese ultimatum to France to give up border provinces
- Italian troops in Albania are repulsed by Greek forces ; arrival of German reinforcements
- German troops begin to concentrate north of Yugoslavia and Germany exerts political pressure
- Allies begins to send reinforcements to Greece
- Defensive agreement between Unites-Sates, Great-Britain, France and Australia against Japanese expansionism
- First fights between France and Thailand
- Cash and Carry replaced by Lend-Lease
April 1941
- Beginning of German counter-attack (Rommel) in Albania
- Heavy fighting between Thailand and France
- German ultimatum to Yugoslavia ordering open access to the Greek border ; after acceptance by the Yugoslav govt., uprising of the Army and new govt. favorable to the Allies
May 1941
- German attack on Yugoslavia and Greece, launched from Austria, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria
- Difficult progress, despite desertion of Croatian soldiers, for the German troops, due to the mountainous landscape and the strong French forces
- Cease-fire between Thailand and France, with Japan as arbitrator
- First joint French and British raids on Ploesti
- Naval battle of the Ionian Sea between the Italian fleet and a British-French group: sinking of the Italian BB Vittorio Veneto and old French BB Bretagne
- Naval battle of Danemark Straits: sinking of Bismarck and Prinz Eugen on the German side and Hood on the allied side, with French Richelieyu damaged
- Yugoslav and French troops retreat to northern Greece, but Hitler commits two additional PanzerDivisions (which were training in Poland for Barbarossa); temporary collapse of the Yugoslav road network and German logistics
June 1941
- Nationalist uprising in Irak, supported by German and Italy, quickly broken by British and French forces
- Very heavy fightings in northern Greece, but slow German advance to Athens ; Allied forces evacuate towards Peloponnese
July 1941 :
- End of the battle for continental Greece. As the Allies still hold Crete, Rhodes and part of the Cyclades, important air battles and many small naval actions occur in the Aegean
- Japanese ultimatum asking for the end of commercial traffic between French Indochina and (free) China and demilitarization of northern Indochina
August 1941 :
- Battle in the Aegean continues at a lower pace, the Luftwaffe being unable to suppress her Allied opponents in the area to allow a landing on Crete (while German paratroops are still recovering from the bloody battle of Corsica)
- Hitler decides to postpone Barbarossa in 1942 (even if this was already clear since several weeks in the German high command)
- Argentia Conference between the USA, Great-Britain and France
- Allied decision to send reinforcements to French Indochina (one armored brigade, air groups and several cruisers, destroyers and submarines) and Singapore (several aircraft carriers, battleships and cruisers, troops)
- Japan begins the construction of airfields in the Paracel islands and sends reinforcements to Thailand
September 1941 :
- Battle in the Aegean continues
- Plans for a joint allied (ABDF, American-British-Dutch-French) defense in Asia
- Italian maiale attacks on Alexandria, Gibraltar and Algiers: several battleships and cruisers are damaged
- First German attempt to send submarines to the Mediterranean, which is a partial failure due to combined British-French guard at Gibraltar Straits
October 1941 :
- Battle in the Aegean continues
- Japan redeploys units from the Kwantung Army towards Thailand (this comes as a reaction to France holding firm in Indochina)
November 1941 :
- Battle in the Aegean continues
- Allied naval and air bombardment on Genoa harbor and dockyards, several Italian ships under repairs (after Taranto) or under construction are heavily damaged. Several deception attacks on Sicily, Sardinia, Corsica and South of France.
- Reinforcements for Indochina : a light USN surface group (1 CL, 4 DD) and 2 Commonwealth squadrons.
- First NA-73 (FFO Mustang-I) delivered to French airforce.
December 1941 :
- On the 6th/7th, simultaneous Japanese air attacks on Pearl Harbor (same as OTL), the Philippines (same as OTL) and French Indochina. The British naval base in Singapore is targeted by midgets submarines (1 CVL sunk and 2 BB damaged).
- On the next days, Japanese landing in the Philippines and French Indochina, after a small naval battle which sees a US-French force defeated, and air attacks on Burma and Malaya ; naval battle in the Malacca Strait, a small British is defeated by the IJN
- Japanese advance towards Dutch East Indies
- At the end of the month, an important Japanese fleet sails towards Malaya ; a very important naval battle occurs in the Southern China Sea : a British/French fleet which is trying to intercept is overwhelmed by Japanese land and carrier-based planes and a night surface action follows. This is a Japanese victory, since the landing at Kuching can't be prevented, but at a very high cost (3 BB lost and 3 others damaged ; 1 CV and 2 BB lost for the British).
- Battle in the Aegean continues
- Preparatory work for the arrival of US troops in North Africa
- US-Soviet discussions
So why would the government need to offer concessions from a position of greater strength?
That's an important factor. In OTL much of the French political class was pretty oblivious to what happened in the colonies so long as local administrators could keep the lid on indigenous discontent, and only realized how bad the problems were when they exploded in its face, by which time it was way too late to do anything about them. It's basically as though the former US Confederate states were overseas from the rest of the country. Then in 1940 the entire government and most of the Senate and National Assembly arrive, and they see with their own eyes that they had been essentially condoning Apartheid rule all along. It's one thing when oppression takes place far enough away that you don't have to think about it if you don't want to, but another to have your face thrust into it.There is also the fact that the entire government and bureaucracy can now see how tense the situation in Algeria already was as of 1940, how ill--treated are the native inhabitants there. Traveling from Paris to Algeria in the 30's was tedious enough, not many politicians were truly aware how bad the situation was (and even before 1945 Setif and German massacres, and 1954, the situation was already explosive).
Ah that actually helps make what I was trying to understand make a bit of sense. In the case of Bloch/Dassault it appeared to say that the company was nationalised, Bloch was retained as a manager, but then it was talking about a second/parallel company, and a re-founding post-WWII although they were still using the old pre-war date and the official one. It almost makes what happened with the British aerospace industry seem sensible.I recently tried to wrap my brain around the SNCAs, for the FTL. It just blew my mind. Mind you, Bloch and Potez used Jacques Chirac father (how about that) who was a very clever banker and broker, to get around the Front Populaire nationalizations. Not only did they managed to save - or re-create, or even duplicate ! - their former companies, but they also managed to get a boatload of government money in the process.
For example, by 1938 there were somewhat TWO Potez. Very ironically, the Potez-SNCA was still directed by... Henry Potez himself, but their was a brand new, private Potez managed by Chirac father.![]()
Ah that actually helps make what I was trying to understand make a bit of sense. In the case of Bloch/Dassault it appeared to say that the company was nationalised, Bloch was retained as a manager, but then it was talking about a second/parallel company, and a re-founding post-WWII although they were still using the old pre-war date and the official one.
It almost makes what happened with the British aerospace industry seem sensible.
There are quite an interesting range of feasible alternatives and for AH writers what distinguishes these is it is far more about attitude than about technology or military responses. One can argue that France was defeated in 1940 from the moment in 1906 when Alfred Dreyfus was exonerated, returned to the army and was promoted to being major. From that time on too many leading men in France were effectively working for its downfall.
His grandson Jean-Noël was my history professor in Sciences-Po, and I took the opportunity of bumping into him again recently to bring up alternate history. He sounded fairly interested in both FFO and my own TL, especially when I mentioned that I used his book Georges Mandel, l'homme qu'on attendait as inspiration to replace De Gaulle by Mandel as leader of the Free French in WIAF.Jules Jeanneney, President of the Senate
Good evening.
FFO (France fights on) timeline for 1940, with main events only.