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Could Pakistan have retained Bangladesh?

Indicus

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Pakistan, at independence in 1947, included Bangladesh despite it being entirely disconnected from the rest of Pakistan by India, a country which was (and is) hostile to Pakistani interests. Despite the western half being richer and more powerful, the eastern Bengali half had the majority of people - 44 million in a country of 69 million. Almost immediately after independence, Muhammad Ali Jinnah decreed that Urdu and strictly Urdu was to be the national language of the country despite it only being commonly spoken in the western half, something which led the Bengali population led by numerous Bengali politicians to initiate a campaign of intense activism. Protests, however, were suppressed and Bengali leaders even including A.K. Fazlul Huq, the "Lion of Bengal", were injured or arrested. Tensions were further inflamed when Jinnah claimed that the language issue was caused by a "fifth column" and that Urdu embodied Islam and Pakistan and attacked those who disagreed with him as enemies of the nation. With Jinnah's death in 1948, this issue fell in importance until in 1952 the governor-general defended the Urdu-only policy. The result was protests, which were immediately clamped upon by Pakistan which banned all political gatherings in East Pakistan. This resulted in further protest, and the Language Movement climaxed with the killing of student demonstrators. Divisions between the two halves of Pakistan were highlighted. In 1954, Bengali autonomists won a sweeping landslide in East Bengal provincial elections. Furthermore, in 1956, the constitution was amended to give Bengali co-official status and Pakistan was divided into two semi-autonomous units - East and West Pakistan.

However, a military coup in 1958 overthrew the Pakistani government and the new President (who hailed from West Pakistan), Ayub Khan, clamped down on the Bengali language and ignored the Bengali population. While he successfully promoted his own Pashtun ethnic group, he did the opposite to Bengalis. Federal spending was focused on West Pakistan to the detriment of the East. In Ayub Khan's memoirs, he wrote: "When thinking of the problems of East Pakistan, one cannot help feeling that[Muslim Bengalis'] urge to isolate themselves from West Pakistan and revert to Hindu language and culture is close to the fact that they have no culture and language of their own, nor have they been able to assimilate the culture of the Muslims of the sub-continent, by turning their back on Urdu". In effect, East Pakistan was a colony of West Pakistan, led by a man who hated everything Bengali, and this was despite the fact that East Pakistan had more people than West. In the 1964 presidential election, Bengali politicians broadly supported Jinnah's sister Fatima along with a motley coalition of (ironically) Islamists, democrats, and other opponents of Ayub Khan. However, the electoral college system used to elect the president meant that Ayub Khan easily rigged the election against Fatima. In 1966, Mujibur Rahman, the main East Pakistani politician, created the Six Point movement, with the following:
  • Pakistan should be a true federation with a supreme parliament with universal suffrage
  • The federal government should only be concerned with defence and foreign affairs, with all other matters vested in the subdivisions
  • Two separate but convertible currencies should be used by the two wings of Pakistan, or if not possible some action should be taken to prevent the flight of capital from East to West
  • Taxation should be the duty of the federal units
  • There should be two separate foreign exchange accounts with the units being free to pursue their own trade links with countries
  • East Pakistan should have its own military force and the navy headquarters should be in East Pakistan.
These points were, suffice to say, rejected by the Pakistani military junta. In 1970, Ayub Khan stepped down after much political pressure and Yahya Khan took power, proclaiming elections for a unicameral legislature. This was the first general legislative election held in Pakistani history (an entire twenty-three years after the creation of Pakistan). The result was that the Bengali party, the Awami League, swept every seat in East Pakistan, which was enough to have a majority, making Mujibur Rahman the Prime Minister-designate of Pakistan. However, West Pakistani politicians were terrified, and the result was that Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, despite his party only having 81 seats in a legislature of 300, and having no hope to command a majority of Parliament, was made Prime Minister while Mujibur Rahman was arrested on charges of having conspired with India. The result of this election was that East Pakistanis felt they had only one option - independence. With that, the Bangladesh Liberation War began. Yahya Khan is recorded as having said statements like: "Kill three million [Bengalis], and the rest will eat out of our hands". Unfortunately, these were more than just words stated in the heat of the moment, and three hundred thousand Bengalis were killed in this horrific conflict. Ten million fled to India and thirty million were internally displaced. About two hundred thousand women were raped, though the precise number is unknown since the post-war Bangladesh government destroyed records to keep victims from being shamed. Pakistan was broken into two forever in the most horrific way possible.

Could Pakistan have been kept together? My thoughts are that it would require extensive autonomy between the two halves of Pakistan, as the Six Points state. It would keep Pakistan from being a Bengali state as many West Pakistanis feared while also keeping West Pakistan from dominating the East. On the other hand, it may be closer than the Six Points (which would turn Pakistan into an entity weaker than the EU) and a military coup would likely result if such autonomy was instituted though I imagine East Pakistan having its own military as well as being the navy's headquarters would make TTL's Bangladesh Liberation War a considerably less brutal affair. It does make me wonder if military involvement in the Pakistani government needs to be reduced, though that requires a POD before the Constitutional Coup in 1953 when military pressure induced the governor-general to replace the prime minister. It would be optimal to have Bengali as an official Pakistani language from independence thus avoiding the Language Movement, though considering how even Jinnah himself was opposed to this, perhaps that's impossible.
 
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Here's an idea:

East Pakistan is bigger than IOTL, taking the Muslim parts of Burma. Burma is not happy with their partition as it was very abrupt and no Burmese leaders were consulted. Burma sends troops in an attempt to reverse it but those troops are expelled, but Burma still claims those areas. Pakistan-Burma relations as a result are as tense as Pakistan-India relations. Burma and India forge strong ties alongside this. When 1965 war happens Burma attacks E Pakistan and India sends troops in E Pakistan to aid their Burmese allies (alongside that, India is more successful in W Pakistan), but the end result is the same and no borders are redrawn. Ayub's government falls because of a more successful India performance and elections are called. A Bengali (I don't know who, Sheikh Mujibur Rahman already was a secessionist by 1965 and I don't see that changing in this scenario so that rules him out) runs on a nationalist, anti-Burma and anti-India campaign and ends up winning in both wings of Pakistan (this person would probably be a member of Awami League. In that case, the Awami League had a sizeable following in W Pakistan among ethnic minorities such as Pathans. Awami League might also form an alliance with leftists in W Pakistan). The Bengali PM develops East Pakistan using US aid money while at the same time pursuing a nuclear program and being extremely hawkish to both India and Burma. By 1975 Bengalis are a loyal part of Pakistan, separatism is not as popular as many Bengalis think that an independent Bangladesh can't stand up to Burma, and at times Bengalis are even more nationalistic than other ethnic groups in Pakistan.
 
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