raharris1973
Well-known member
Now that Nixon's visit to Mao in China, and the process of Sino-US rapprochement it inaugurated, is over 50 years in the past, it is an interesting vantage point from which to reflect.
The US more than fifty years later in a period of tense rivalry with China, even a Cold War, but still conducting massive volumes of trade despite tariffs and restrictions, and not having the ubiquitous proxy wars and Cuban Missile Crisis and Berlin style stand-offs that marked much of the US-Soviet Cold War.
There's buyer's remorse on the economic and diplomatic opening to China in the US, and certainly Chinese resentment of the US and likely some sense of betrayal of the normalization agreements that accompanied the Nixon-Kissinger visits and establishment of formal diplomatic relations.
Turning this into an exercise in what-iffing, let's accept the idea that either the US, or China, or both, got screwed over, betrayed, or the 'short-end of the stick', by whatever metric you choose, by the era of Sino-American rapprochement in the 70s-80s, de facto anti-Soviet coalition in the 70s-80s, and progressive tightening of economic links from the 80s through mid-to-late 2010s.
If that's the case, which side should have played the relationship with the other differently after 1970 to get a better relative position for itself? The USA, or China? And starting when? Was the Sino-US a win-win at least as long as the Soviet Union was around? Or it never was? Or it continued to be for long after? How could either side have realistically levered things differently, or tried to, and what would the other have done realistically in response?
The US more than fifty years later in a period of tense rivalry with China, even a Cold War, but still conducting massive volumes of trade despite tariffs and restrictions, and not having the ubiquitous proxy wars and Cuban Missile Crisis and Berlin style stand-offs that marked much of the US-Soviet Cold War.
There's buyer's remorse on the economic and diplomatic opening to China in the US, and certainly Chinese resentment of the US and likely some sense of betrayal of the normalization agreements that accompanied the Nixon-Kissinger visits and establishment of formal diplomatic relations.
Turning this into an exercise in what-iffing, let's accept the idea that either the US, or China, or both, got screwed over, betrayed, or the 'short-end of the stick', by whatever metric you choose, by the era of Sino-American rapprochement in the 70s-80s, de facto anti-Soviet coalition in the 70s-80s, and progressive tightening of economic links from the 80s through mid-to-late 2010s.
If that's the case, which side should have played the relationship with the other differently after 1970 to get a better relative position for itself? The USA, or China? And starting when? Was the Sino-US a win-win at least as long as the Soviet Union was around? Or it never was? Or it continued to be for long after? How could either side have realistically levered things differently, or tried to, and what would the other have done realistically in response?