So I've got some spreadsheet work to get nationwide percentages in 2015, and to include minor parties & independents between Saskatchewan & Quebec in 2019. With that proviso out of the way, here are the final seat-counts!
BC
2015
Seats (FPTP)
Seats (THANDEREP)
Liberals
17
17...
Our last constituency before I tally everything up! Rural Vancouver Island is solidly New Democrat on the surface, but they only net one seat under THANDEREP. There's a Conservative presence - John Duncan was the incumbent for North Vancouver Island in 2011 - and the Green party surpasses the...
Central Victoria is sympathetic territory for the Greens, who place a competitive second in both years. Nevertheless the Liberals squeak in in 2015 over a second Green MP, and the Green vote softens enough that the Liberal returned is much safer in 2019.
These are the ridings I'm not lumping in with Powell River. Similar story to Western Vancouver, but thanks to its smaller size the Conservatives are frozen out in 2015.
I'd originally planned to do all three North Shore ridings together, but Seymour is conjoined with Burnaby North! What do...
Western Vancouver (not West Vancouver, we're getting there) is broadly wealthy and establishment-friendly, so Liberals tend to do well, but some go for Conservatives and THANDEREP rewards them with one seat.
Under TOPVOTE Jody Wilson-Raybould finishes comfortably second (and would displace...
You can divide Vancouver more or less along Main Street, as I have done. The east, especially the northeast, trends a little poorer, and is reliably New Democratic - Davies and Kwan are veterans. Unfortunately Davies is sidelined to make room for the Conservatives, but in 2019 he loses by only...
The southwestern corner of Metro Vancouver, with a sizable Asian population in Richmond, was all Conservative in 2011. THANDEREP confirms the swing riding is real, and the community-wide trend is the same as the seat-by-seat aggregate result. The Delta Conservative gets seated opposite...
Another leader crowded out by an electoral titan standing in a neighbouring safe seat. There's a Conservative minority in these towns that is worth some of the New Democrats' representation, and were THANDEREP real you can bet your boots Singh would pick up votes off Julian and the other NDP...
My own fair (citation not needed - suck it, Doncaster!) home, the cities of Port Moody, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, Pitt Meadows, and Maple Ridge. Tight three-way races are the norm here, and unfortunately THANDEREP brings the 2015 tally of "useless partisan lumps running in Coquitlam—Port...
The Liberal sweep is pretty fragile on the south bank of the Fraser - the NDP incumbent in Surrey Centre survives in 2015 and the Conservatives pick off another seat in 2019 once votes are merged.
Still 2-party country, unlike most of the rest of Metro Vancouver. One swing riding, which THANDEREP recognizes as representative of a sizable minority worth a seat.
The Island and the Lower Mainland are all that's left; here we go!
It's fun to glance at the minor parties column; I'd been stereotyping the area and expecting to see a slate of Christian Heritage candidates, but no! The party running in all three ridings in 2015 were the Marxist-Leninists...