Max's election maps and assorted others

[Ares96]

And of course, today's progress on the map itself:

 

[Alex Richards]

That Norrköping extension is delightfully bonkers.

 

[Ares96]

That Norrköping extension is delightfully bonkers.

I think both extensions were cases of “well, there’s bits of the city in these parishes, so let’s just annex the whole things”. In the case of Sankt Johannes (in green), it might genuinely have been the northern exclave they were trying to get at.

Meanwhile, Borg had a large, established suburb of a couple of thousand people in it and yet avoided annexation all the way up to 1952. The fact that that suburb was the richest area in or near Norrköping probably has nothing whatsoever to do with this.

 

[Ares96]

Some more progress. I'm mildly dreading Västergötland - it has a lot of very big hundreds with very small parishes.

 

[Ares96]

1/3 holes plugged.



It's now 100 seats left to go, of which 57 have to be Hats for everything to add up. None of these are left-wing areas, but that's still going to be tricky.

 

[Ares96]

And some more byproducts - with advice* from DrakonFin on the other place, I've fixed** the county boundaries east of the water for TTL:



(yes, they look fuck-ugly on the reformed boundaries, but that's realistic, just look at the western half of the country which I barely changed from OTL)

*Advice which I chose not to follow
**Boundaries may be subject to future change

 

[Ares96]

2/3 holes plugged. Unsure whether this is too reflective of the OTL language situation in Finland; may move a few of the Hats and Agrarians around just to be sure. Also the Caps should probably be more evenly distributed across the Gulf of Bothnia - I just have this kneejerk sense that introducing Hats into Swedish Norrland is inherently unnatural.

 

[Ares96]

And it's done.





Government 214
- National 127
- Rural League 58
- Liberal 29

Labour (Official Opposition) 203
Radical 5
Communist 1
Other 2

 

[Alex Richards]

Is that two Finnish Nationalist Independents?

 

[Ares96]

Is that two Finnish Nationalist Independents?

That's the idea - well, "Finnish nationalist" might be pushing it. They are Finnish-speakers and would vote for increased autonomy and language rights, but their main purpose is less that and more stressing their commitment to serving the local community which has been shafted by Stockholm and the main parties. More Healy-Raes (if the Healy-Raes happened to speak Gaelic) than Sinn Féin, as it were.

 

[Ares96]

I've been listening to too many French history podcasts lately, and today I remembered that I had a 1958 election map vaguely started. Well, I made some more progress on it.

Red = PCF (pro-Moscow communist)
Pink = SFIO (social democrats)
Orange = radicaux-socialistes (left-wing Radicals)
Yellow = other Radicals (vaguely centrist but ideologically vague and intentionally without a party line - the Radicals liked to frame this as taking a stand on freedom of conscience for individual representatives)
Green = MPR (Christian democrats)
Teal/turquoise = UNIP (loose right-wing "association of independents" - vaguely pro-Gaullist)
Blue = UNR (original Gaullists)
Brown = modérés (even looser right-wing grouping - also vaguely pro-Gaullist)

 

[Ares96]

Did a provisional apportionment for 1949, nine years after the FPTP map and the first one after they go back to PR again. This uses 1940 census figures for Sweden and 1939 registry summaries for Finland (the reason I don't use 1940 figures should be obvious - I'm sort of astonished they even have them) - the ten-year lag is a very crude way of representing the deaths and demographic gap caused by the Great War (1903-1907).



Constituencies that need to be split (18 or more seats in 1949):
- Stockholm City (25)
- Åbo County (21)
- Vasa County (21)
- Tavastehus County (19)
- Uleåborg County (18)

Constituencies that ought to be split but might not (14-18 seats in 1949):
- Malmöhus County (16)
- Kymmene County (16)
- Kuopio County (15)
- Älvsborg County (14)
- Östergötland County (14)
- Åbo City (14)

 

[Makemakean]

I've been listening to too many French history podcasts lately, and today I remembered that I had a 1958 election map vaguely started. Well, I made some more progress on it.

Pray tell me, what podcast?

 

[Ares96]

Pray tell me, what podcast?

Mainly Revolutions and The Age of Napoleon, so nothing directly relevant to de Gaulle’s time.

 

[Ares96]

I may have overdone it.



There is now no constituency larger than 12 fixed seats, nor (with the exception of Gotland) smaller than 5. I decided that, given these smaller constituencies, there should also be fifty levelling seats, so this won't match the old map's apportionment at all. There's a 3% threshold for the levelling seats, but any party that wins a fixed seat can keep it. The OTL 12% clause isn't really needed ITTL given the smaller constituencies.

 

[Nanwe]

So the fyrstadkretsen are part of their own constituency apart from the rest of Malmöhus län, like OTL?

 

[Ares96]

So the fyrstadkretsen are part of their own constituency apart from the rest of Malmöhus län, like OTL?

Yes, it's horribly convergent but the numbers added up too well.

 

[Ares96]

And here's the same with parties.



Labour Party (His Majesty's Government): 207
Communist Party of Sweden (informal support: 14

National Party (Official Opposition): 125
Rural League: 57
Liberal Party: 17
Finnish People's Party and Finnish Independents: 5

This is perhaps the least weird TTL's Swedish party system has been since the Great War, and the least weird it will ever be (bearing in mind that the TL's present is the mid-1970s).

 

[Ares96]

1949-1954: Markus Öhman (Labour minority)
1949: Labour (207), National (125), Rural (57), Liberal (17), Communist (14), Finnish (5)

1954-1963: Johannes Grahn (Labour leading Labour-Rural composition)
1954: Labour (176), National (136), Rural (66), Communist (21), Liberal (15), Finnish (11)
1959: Labour (181), National (134), Rural (71), Liberal (21), Communist (12), Finnish (6)

1963-1967: Mikael Ahlström (National leading National-Rural-Liberal composition)
1963: Labour (154), National (142), Rural (64), Liberal (27), Communist (15), Finnish People's Party (15), Greens (5), Isänmaanliitto (3)

1967-1972: Gustaf Knutsson (Labour leading Labour-Rural-Green composition)
1967: Labour (145), National (136), Rural (44), Finnish People's Party (31), Isänmaanliitto (15), New Alliance (15), Liberal (14), Communist (14), Greens (11)

1972-: Gustaf Knutsson (Labour leading Labour-Rural-Green composition)
1972: Labour (151), National (104), Finnish People's Party (67), Rural (28), New Alliance (21), Greens (17), Communist (13), Liberal (12), Isänmaanliitto (12)

Subject to change. In particular, I think the Communists should be bigger and the Hats smaller - although ideally without moving too much support directly from one to the other.

 

[Nanwe]

Yes, it's horribly convergent but the numbers added up too well.

If the explanation also works well TTL (not sure why they were created in the first place tbh) then I don't think that's a problem.

Just one thing, isn't 1963 a bit too early to have green parties already pop up?