Jackson Lennock
Well-known member
Let's suppose the Hungarian Revolution of 1848 succeeds. Austria has retained Burgenland and Croatia-Slavonia, but the Hungarian core is either a separate Republic or a monarchy under a Catholic Hohenzollern. Galicia-Lodomeria and Bukovina is either still Austrian (but under heavy Russian influence, sort of like Ottoman Bosnia from 1878 to 1908 was under tremendous Russian influence) or a part of a Monarchist Hungary.
How does this impact the Crimean War? Austria can't station troops on the border to threaten other powers not to dismantle Russia.
Hungary, desiring sea access, might join the war to grab the Danubian principalities for itself or at least get Ottoman (or Romanian/Vlachian) guarantees about free access to the Danube and the Morava-Vardar rivers.
Austria might either seek to regain prestige by using the chaos to go after Hungary, or join the anti-Ottoman side so as to make gains in Bosnia, Serbia, and Albania. Or to use the opportunity to knock out the Piedmontese.
If Hohenzollerns are in control of Hungary/Galicia and Prussia, Congress Poland and the Baltic Coast (the latter of which being offered to Prussia by Britain and France) might look more appetizing. And if the Hohenzollerns get involved, Sweden likely follows suit (perhaps followed by Denmark). Alternatively, it might just be an opportunity for the Hohenzollerns to do a land swap - the Vistula Land to Prussia/Hungary and Ukrainian Galicia-Bukovina to Russia.
How does this impact the Crimean War? Austria can't station troops on the border to threaten other powers not to dismantle Russia.
Hungary, desiring sea access, might join the war to grab the Danubian principalities for itself or at least get Ottoman (or Romanian/Vlachian) guarantees about free access to the Danube and the Morava-Vardar rivers.
Austria might either seek to regain prestige by using the chaos to go after Hungary, or join the anti-Ottoman side so as to make gains in Bosnia, Serbia, and Albania. Or to use the opportunity to knock out the Piedmontese.
If Hohenzollerns are in control of Hungary/Galicia and Prussia, Congress Poland and the Baltic Coast (the latter of which being offered to Prussia by Britain and France) might look more appetizing. And if the Hohenzollerns get involved, Sweden likely follows suit (perhaps followed by Denmark). Alternatively, it might just be an opportunity for the Hohenzollerns to do a land swap - the Vistula Land to Prussia/Hungary and Ukrainian Galicia-Bukovina to Russia.