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Airesien's Test Thread

View attachment 42866
The 2019 United Kingdom general election in London was held on 2 May 2019 and all 73 seats in London were contested under the first-past-the-post electoral system.

The election was the first contested by the centrist Metropolitan Party, which only stood in seats in Greater London. The Metropolitan Party won 62 of London's 73 seats in a landslide victory. Despite enjoying a positive result nationally, the Liberal Party suffered its worst ever result in the capital, losing 27 of the 33 seats it held after the 2015 election. The Unionist Party, who went into the election in government at the national level, suffered a similar collapse in fortunes, holding onto just five of their London seats. The left-wing Social Democratic Party (SDP), led by Claudia Webbe, lost all of their seats in the capital, just four years after their strongest ever showing in London. Webbe lost her own seat of Islington South and Finsbury, seeing her majority flip from over 5,000 in her favour to a deficit of over 10,000 in favour of the Metropolitan candidate Zack Polanski.

The election result in London saw several frontbench MPs from the three main parties lose their place in the House of Commons: the Unionists saw Home Office Minister Chris Malthouse, Foreign Office Minister Mark Field and Assistant Whip Victoria Borwick lose their seats as well as former Mayor of London Andrew Boff, whilst the biggest casualty on election night for the Liberals was Chuka Umunna, the Shadow Home Secretary, whose own seemingly unassaible majority of well over 15,000 in Vauxhall vanished in one fell swoop. The SDP lost Foreign Spokesperson and former journalist Owen Jones, Equalities Spokesperson Dawn Butler and Communities Spokesperson Rokhsana Fiaz. Long-serving MP Diane Abbott, who had served in several frontbench positions for the SDP in her Westminster career which stretched back to the 1988 election, narrowly lost her own seat of Tottenham despite her personal popularity locally. Post-election analysis suggested that the Metropolitan Party took voters from all three traditional major parties, with younger and BAME voters most likely to switch their vote to them.

The election result is considered an electoral earthquake and put into question exactly what London's position was in the United Kingdom. One of the Metropolitan Party's key offerings as part of their election manifesto was to push for further devolution in the capital, including the establishment of a devolved legislature, something vehemently opposed by the Unionists and unfavoured by the Liberals. Metropolitan leader Siobhan Benita, who did not stand in the election ahead of her bid for the London mayoralty in 2020, said that giving the Mayor's office powers over tax and law and establishing a "London Assembly" were a "red line" for her party in post-election coalition negotiations. Metropolitan deputy leader Sadiq Khan, who had previously served as leader of Wandsworth Council as a Liberal between 2007 and 2011 and who was elected to the seat of Battersea, would become the party's leader in the Commons after the election.
Tasty! I can never escape having a Conservative-esque MP...
 
View attachment 42866
The 2019 United Kingdom general election in London was held on 2 May 2019 and all 73 seats in London were contested under the first-past-the-post electoral system.

The election was the first contested by the centrist Metropolitan Party, which only stood in seats in Greater London. The Metropolitan Party won 62 of London's 73 seats in a landslide victory. Despite enjoying a positive result nationally, the Liberal Party suffered its worst ever result in the capital, losing 27 of the 33 seats it held after the 2015 election. The Unionist Party, who went into the election in government at the national level, suffered a similar collapse in fortunes, holding onto just five of their London seats. The left-wing Social Democratic Party (SDP), led by Claudia Webbe, lost all of their seats in the capital, just four years after their strongest ever showing in London. Webbe lost her own seat of Islington South and Finsbury, seeing her majority flip from over 5,000 in her favour to a deficit of over 10,000 in favour of the Metropolitan candidate Zack Polanski.

The election result in London saw several frontbench MPs from the three main parties lose their place in the House of Commons: the Unionists saw Home Office Minister Chris Malthouse, Foreign Office Minister Mark Field and Assistant Whip Victoria Borwick lose their seats as well as former Mayor of London Andrew Boff, whilst the biggest casualty on election night for the Liberals was Chuka Umunna, the Shadow Home Secretary, whose own seemingly unassaible majority of well over 15,000 in Vauxhall vanished in one fell swoop. The SDP lost Foreign Spokesperson and former journalist Owen Jones, Equalities Spokesperson Dawn Butler and Communities Spokesperson Rokhsana Fiaz. Long-serving MP Diane Abbott, who had served in several frontbench positions for the SDP in her Westminster career which stretched back to the 1988 election, narrowly lost her own seat of Tottenham despite her personal popularity locally. Post-election analysis suggested that the Metropolitan Party took voters from all three traditional major parties, with younger and BAME voters most likely to switch their vote to them.

The election result is considered an electoral earthquake and put into question exactly what London's position was in the United Kingdom. One of the Metropolitan Party's key offerings as part of their election manifesto was to push for further devolution in the capital, including the establishment of a devolved legislature, something vehemently opposed by the Unionists and unfavoured by the Liberals. Metropolitan leader Siobhan Benita, who did not stand in the election ahead of her bid for the London mayoralty in 2020, said that giving the Mayor's office powers over tax and law and establishing a "London Assembly" were a "red line" for her party in post-election coalition negotiations. Metropolitan deputy leader Sadiq Khan, who had previously served as leader of Wandsworth Council as a Liberal between 2007 and 2011 and who was elected to the seat of Battersea, would become the party's leader in the Commons after the election.
I remember seeing a scenario like this one a few years ago on AH.
 
Yep it’s heavily influenced by a box created by shiftygiant from The Other Place. Party names and colours are different but an SNP-style surge from a London regionalist party has been done before, definitely not my original idea.
How realistic would you say such a party getting that many votes would actually be?
 
How realistic would you say such a party getting that many votes would actually be?
Honestly pretty slim in current political circumstances. But who knows if Londoners began to feel seriously neglected by traditional parties? I think some sort of London First party could gain support in the right environment, but I couldn't see it happening at the moment, especially not at the level of support the Metropolitan Party received in that box.
 
Who did May tussle with in opposition?

Also, what’s the opposite of based?

Brown stepped down after his defeat in ‘08 and was replaced by David Miliband. Miliband was not nearly as successful as expected and even though he enjoyed a few poll leads against the Tories when IDS was in Number 10, May’s rise to the premiership dashed that and he was defeated in 2010. After 2010 Miliband stepped down and was replaced by Andy Burnham, who struggled against May and lost the 2014 election. Finally Yvette Cooper won a bitter leadership contest against Jon Trickett, the latter of whom won most of the vote from the trade unions and a narrow victory amongst the membership but who was foiled by his large deficit amongst MPs (Burnham didn’t abolish the electoral college, unlike Ed Miliband IOTL). Cooper was uninspiring and tried to combat the Tories by moving to the right on economics and immigration, ultimately losing voters to the Greens and the Lib Dems and falling behind Burnham’s seat total at the 2018 election.
 
So, national govt to deal with Brexit/Covid (perhaps after Boris is fucked over prorogation?) and then Corbyn wins a 2020 election?
Yep, basically Corbyn agrees to support a National Government led by Harriet Harman that is also backed by the Lib Dems, SNP, expelled Tories, Plaid and the Greens. Not that he ever would've done this, but the Government's main aim is to push back the Brexit deadline a year and try and come to an agreed Brexit position through indicative votes in the Commons. When this fails in the winter it's agreed to push for a general election in the spring. Obviously by the time that happens Covid has hit, so Harman ends up holding the fort and somehow dealing with Covid until an election can be held in September. The Tories remain divided and Farage decides to stand in Tory-held seats, splitting the right-wing vote and Corbyn manages to win a plurality, forming a minority with the support of the SNP who have been promised a referendum.

It's all a bit farfetched, but an interesting thought if a National Government had come about.
 
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Leader of the Opposition Sajid Javid gives a speech to party supporters the morning after the 2021 general election. Despite leading in the majority of opinion polls throughout the campaign, and indeed winning the popular vote, Javid's Liberal Conservatives finished 49 seats behind Dan Jarvis's Labour Party. Despite adopting a bullish tone in the days after the election about the Government's lost majority, Javid was ultimately forced to stand down as LCP leader three months after the election.
 
Labour: 285 seats, 31.0%
Progressive Conservative: 222 seats, 31.7%
Scottish Democrats:
39 seats, 3.6%
Social Democrats: 33 seats, 14.5%
Green: 3 seats, 4.8%
National: 1 seat, 7.8%
NI: 17 seats

Angleterre a lá Canada?
 
screenshot-en.wikipedia.org-2021.09.23-20_14_44.pngThe 2020 Greater London general election was held on 14 October 2020 to elect 74 members of the Greater London Assembly, the capital's legislature. The election had been due to take place on 14 May 2020, but was postponed to July 2020 and then to October as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Special measures to ensure that all voters would be able to take part in the election were introduced by the NDP government, including a simplified postal ballot system and more polling stations to enable social distancing to take place.

The New Democratic Party had, by 2020, governed the capital with a majority for almost three decades, yet instead of losing support the party was consolidating and solidifying its vote amongst London's increasingly youthful and diverse electorate. In Sadiq Khan, who had become the party's leader after leaving Parliament just before the 2016 election, the party had found a popular and charismatic figure to rally behind. The centre-right Liberal Party, who had once been dominant itself in London throughout the 1980s, was now stuck perennially in opposition. Despite briefly flirting with power under Boris Johnson in the late 2000s, who had very nearly prevented the NDP from winning a majority in the 2009 election, the party's few starlets now tended to seek seats in Parliament at a national level, rather than bother with remaining on the opposition benches at provincial level. The inoffensive yet dull former Shadow Economy Spokesperson Tony Devenish had taken charge of the party towards the end of 2019, replacing Andrew Boff who had been ousted by the party's caucus of AMs. Meanwhile, the Greens had finally won representation to the Assembly at the 2016 election and the party was now led by its only AM, Jonathan Bartley, who tried to expand the party's core support beyond Inner London to more affluent Outer London constituencies in the run-up to the vote.

Khan's personal popularity and perceived success in handling the spread of the pandemic in London meant that the NDP entered the election campaign far ahead in the polls, with some psephologists suggesting the party might be able to virtually wipe out the Liberals. However the election campaign did see a slight tightening of the polls and Khan's decision not to attend a live debate proved to be unpopular amongst Londoners. Devenish did little to improve his standing amongst voters, but Bartley's combative and fresh campaigning style saw him successfully chip away at Khan's popularity throughout the race.

The NDP would increase its seat total to a colossal 50 seats, its largest haul since the 1998 election, but did disappointingly find its vote share slightly reduced, despite hopes it would win over half the popular vote. The Liberals fell back as expected in seats and votes and, despite managing to hold onto Putney and Kensington and Chelsea in Inner London, lost Devenish's seat of Cities of London and Westminster. The Greens saw a large jump in their support, breaking into the double-digits in vote share, but the inefficient spread of its votes across a number of seats meant that it failed to come close to picking up a second AM, although Bartley did expand his majority in Dulwich and West Norwood.
 
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