The mirroring works even better when you consider a year later the Germans knew more or less they were screwed and should make peace whilst they still had armies in the field but the idea of instead using those armies on a long shot masterstoke to win the war was far more appealing.(And snip most of a perfectly sensible analysis).
To be fair, the Germans were on borrowed time. The Turnip Winter, the likelihood that winter 1918 would be worse, starvation rampant in the German cities - Germany was on borrowed time.
The only problem was that so was Russia, and in the race to collapse first ...
Its almost like autocratic systems with powerful military run by small but arrogant and militant elites used to getting their own way in life have similar shortfalls when it comes to making tough choices in similar situations.
The Germans knew all they needed to know to deduce they were going to lose the war by 1916. Instead of doing something about that fact they focussed on tinkering with tactics and waiting for things to get better. You can tie a lot of their shortfalls in World War One with knowing that whether or not something worked it had to work.