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Spain without Primo de Rivera

Ricardolindo

Well-known member
Location
Portugal
Suppose Miguel Primo de Rivera's coup had failed. What would have happened to Spain? Would the monarchy still have been abolished? Would there still be a civil war?
 
Suppose Miguel Primo de Rivera's coup had failed. What would have happened to Spain? Would the monarchy still have been abolished? Would there still be a civil war?
The 1910s had been a very tumultuous time in politics, with powerful strikes, unstable governments and the rise of regionalism, so the ground was laid for some kind of revolution or army intervention at some point. My hot take is that some kind of civil war was unavoidable after the conclusion of the Spanish-American War, so either way you'd end up with an Italian model of the king being subservient to a fascist strongman, a socialist republic or just some kind of institutional break in a rather liberal framework à la 1931 Republic.
 
The 1910s had been a very tumultuous time in politics, with powerful strikes, unstable governments and the rise of regionalism, so the ground was laid for some kind of revolution or army intervention at some point. My hot take is that some kind of civil war was unavoidable after the conclusion of the Spanish-American War, so either way you'd end up with an Italian model of the king being subservient to a fascist strongman, a socialist republic or just some kind of institutional break in a rather liberal framework à la 1931 Republic.

I think this is a too deterministic view of history. The Spanish Civil War began 38 years after the Spanish-American War. I don't think it was unavoidable. I do think, however, that, by this point, the monarchy was too unpopular to be kept.
 
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