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Mongols invade Hungary around 1250

It's certainly possible that the Mongols could've been successful in their invasion of Hungary ITTL, provided that they were properly equipped to lay siege to its fortresses. But IMHO, it'd still be a long stretch from that to the entirety of Western Europe being doomed to fall to the Mongols. For starters, the British Isles still exists, as part of Western Europe; and given how far the Mongols would've already traveled to get there, it'd probably present a sterner challenge than the attempted Mongol invasion of Japan did IOTL. And for another, given the level of hysteria that the invasion of Hungary by the Mongols invoked across Europe after the first invasion in the 1240s (with the rest of Europe having been horrified by the defeat and subsequent devastation of Hungary, creating a wave of fear and panic that spread to the Atlantic) there's no way you wouldn't have had alliances forming against them.

Also worth mentioning, during their first invasion of Hungary, there were also internal frictions prior to the Mongol armies' departure after the battle of Mohi. Their commander, Batu, was notably unhappy that he had lost 30+ of his baatars/ba'aturs, and one of his commanders, Bakatu, in addition to anywhere from many hundred to several thousand other soldiers, an unusually high loss for the Mongols- leading to a heated post-victory banquet where Batu was forced to back down and credit their victories to Subutai. Additionally, Güyük and Büri accused Batu of incompetence and riding Subutai's coattails to victory, which led to Batu ejecting the two princes and sending them along with Möngke, likely as an eyewitness, back to Karakorum to be judged by Ögödei.

And the Mongol armies had been forced to withdraw in relatively short order, having been stretched extremely thin. The actual primary obstacle they'd faced in Hungary wasn't their relative inability to destroy its fortresses (an obstacle which they'd already overcome several times everywhere else, by simply taking their time to starve the castles' garrisons out), but Hungary's geography and high water table- turning its central plain into swamplands when the 'season of mud and thaw' kicked in, and forcing the Mongols' retreat to Russia to get good enough pastures for their horses.

Invading again wasn't Batu Khan's first choice plan, explicitly because he was looking at the long game- with Batu demanding a marriage alliance from Béla IV, along with a quarter of Hungary's army, in 1254, to be utilized for the drive into central and western Europe, in exchange for an extremely hollow half-promise that Hungary would be spared from tribute obligations and any further destruction. Béla ignored the message, along with the additional ultimatums were sent 5 and 10yrs later by Batu's brother and successor, Berke Khan, who also added the promise of 1/5th of the plunder to sweeten the pot. Just look up what was going on with Batu Khan and the Golden Horde around 1250, and you'll see why another wholesale prolonged invasion around that time isn't especially feasible.
 
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