I ended up talking to a mate in the pub the other day about
this article I wrote for the blog earlier in the year and one or two things got expanded upon. As far as I can recall.
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Chiefs of the French State
1940-1945: Philippe Petain [1]
1945-1945: Francois Darlan [2]
1945-1946: Marcel Bucard (Mouvement Franciste) [3]
Governor of France via ABC Command Commission
1946-1948: Mark Clark [4]
Presidents of the French Fourth Republic
1948-????: Charles de Gaulle (Paix et Liberté) [5]
[1] The aged war hero who installed himself as dictator of France following the armistice with Germany in the Summer of 1940 would divide French society even further when in October 1940 he announced that France would be joining the Axis, citing unprovoked British aggression and the need to hammer down a proper peace deal with Germany. In return his regime gets to install itself in the Palace of Versailles and German control of France is limited to coastal areas but it is now clear, if it wasn't before, that the prospects of No-Longer-Based-In-Vichy France are entirely tied to those of Germany.
The Revolution Nationale goes ahead with gusto; French prisoners of war return home to a land where unions are smashed and then the remnants are cobbled together into compliant "Syndicate Correspondance Boards", French Africans, Arabs, and other minorities are subject to harsh economic and social disenfranchisement, Jews are ghettoised. Women bear the brunt of clericalist and natalist policies.
Even by 1941 it was getting hard for supporters of Petain's regime to unequivocally defend it. Rommel's advance on Suez, thought to be inevitable thanks to the Italian fleet receiving access to Tunisia, stalls in the climactic battle of Alexandria. With American entry into the war things gradually turn more and more against the Axis in North Africa until Torch finally provokes Petain's regime to declare war outright. By the beginning of 1943 there are increasing numbers of German troops coming into France, as well as French bodies returning back with the collapse of their African empire. Goebbels declaration of total war means more sacrifices for the French economy in the aid of Fortress Europe, "Voluntary Workers" sent to Germany are effectively treated like prisoners with little to no return for the regime and conditions in French factories aren't all that better as quotas go up and rations go down.
Resistance is slow to develop ITTL and when it does it takes on a rather peculiar form. Soviet neutrality leaves the actions of the PCF rather restricted and resistance remains mostly passive for longer. Organic, violence prone French resistance becomes the domain of the Left Oppositionists of Eugene Lanti and Pierre Monatte, who manage to recruit many disaffected Marxist-Leninists to their ranks alongside Frenchmen looking for a more direct solution to the Petain regime and, oddly enough, some German soldiers* who happen to have a lot of weapons to hand.
Most French, however, find hope in the Allies. In the skies over France they're increasingly taking control and thoughts of liberation loom as an armada assembles across the Channel. Unfortunately this brings its own sort of torment as well. There are over 2 Million German soldiers in France by 1945 and once the Allies have control of the air they begin to hammer them relentlessly, with little distinction to be made between civilian and military infrstructure. This leaves many people wary but most are confident that liberation is coming, and soon!
Petain becomes increasingly withdrawn both due to the demands of dictatorship and his advanced age however he remains the regime's best example of legitimacy and it is he who reassures the French people that everything is in hand when a joint American, British, and Canadian task force lands on the shores of Normandy in June 1945. Even if his speech had to be written for him and it's not entirely clear whether he understands what he's saying it will require an even greater crisis for his own No.2 to stab him in the back.
[2] Francois Darlan embraced full cooperation with Germany without any knife being held to his throat and the peace deal that he had convinced Petain to sign has been a source of positivity for the Admiral even as the war turned against the Axis. His enthusiasm had a certain intoxicating aspect to it, particularly with Petain increasingly shirking the day to day running of the state and many had begun to wonder who truly wore the trousers in Versailles even before the Allied landings.
The landings themselves aren't enough to put Darlan off his stride, the Germans can bring enourmous resources to bear ITTL and whilst they fail to dislodge the beacheads the resultant Allied advance becomes a meatgrinder of hedgerows and fixed fortifications. By September there has been no breakout from Normandy, casualties on both sides have climbed into the hundreds of thousands and it appears obvious to Darlan that the decadent western democracies won't be long in accepting a negotiated settlement. Privately he entertains hopes that perhaps he will be the one to facilitate it.
Then the sun happens to rise over Nuremburg, for the second time in one day.
Although the regime's official line on the destruction of the city is almost as unfazed as that of the Nazis themselves Darlan's own confidence is badly shaken. As cracks begin to appear in the German defences and Hamburg shares a similar fate to Nuremburg it becomes clear that the Allies will win the war and that he has to make sure he still has a chair when the music stops. By the end of October this is a view that has spread beyond Darlan's clique and it is relatively easy for Darlan to amass sufficient support to confront Petain with the ultimatum to resign to save France from destruction.
With his position secure internally Darlan's first act is to assure the Germans that Petain was simply too old to go on in such challenging times and his commitment to continuing the war is beyond doubt. The Germans do have doubts however, and some of the more sociopathic elements of Petain's old regime have spent the last five years transforming their views from "Rather Hitler than Blum" to "Hitler. Period." Berlin finds out about Darlan's "secret" peace feelers before the Allies do and neither London nor Washington have had time to consider a response before Otto Skorzeny has already captured Versailles and arrested much of Darlan's regime. What happened to Darlan himself has been the subject of some intrigue over the years and many prominent theories abound to this day, although the match between the Admiral's dental records and one of the many, many cadavers that resulted from the atomic breakout over the Seine appear to be fairly conclusive.
[3] With French autonomy largely being rendered a fiction the Nazis install the most trusted fanatic they could find as a puppet whilst the day to day running of the nation falls to the hands of OKW and the SS. Deportations of Jews and other "undesirables" into the Nazi's machinery of death begin almost immediately and with the Allied advance stalled over the Winter it is left to the French people themselves to remove their oppressors.
The "Ondes de choc" were originally conceived by the Left Oppositionists as a series of uprisings in urban France to ensure that revolution would break out prior to the Allied arrival, the operation isn't ready to go by February 1946 but events are carrying on without it and many have become sick of waiting to be freed. It begins with German converts fragging their commanding officers, then riots act as cover for the seizure of key buildings in major cities, where radio broadcasts call for nationwide revolution. The Wehrmacht are left running around like headless chickens for weeks on end as more and more French join in the cathartic violence, even as it becomes clear that the revolution itself is uncoordinated and undisciplined. It ends in nationwide massacres. With the Allies being unable to exploit the disruption the SS finally assume full control of the situation and assert their authority with their standard murderous zeal. The surviving revolutionaries are driven underground, alongside many slated for the death camps who managed to escape amidst the chaos. The remainder of France under Nazi occupation is placed under a state of permanent martial law.
Bucard, for his own part, continues to happily rubber stamp whatever the Nazis tell him to. The parroting of his idol in Berlin that German victory is just around the corner never comes into contact with reality even as he is forced to flee across the Rhine, then the Elbe, untl eventually he is shot out of hand by remnants of the Polish Home Army who didn't even know who he was at the time.
[4] Although practically all of France has been liberated by 1946 the war still isn't over. With France having been led by an Axis regime and with the Nazis still in possession of a puppet claiming to lead it the situation is tricky, particularly with so many
CommiesTrots running around. In the end its decided that, until the final defeat of Germany, France requires the firm but fair hand of Allied oversight and who better to take on such a role than the General whose appointed staff have recently threatened to mutiny if they need to go over the Rhine under his command?
Mark Clark's arrival in Paris actually goes down fairly well; the city is wrecked like much of the country and the individual whose role it was to resolve that situation was always going to get a fair hearing even if the general's first impression appears to be various attempts to style himself as the liberator of the city. His first major blunder is to install his administration in Versailles, managing to draw parallels with the previous regime. Similarly he retains much of the old hierarchy of the civil administration and police, including some who had previoulsy been removed by popular outrage. His policy, as it is, appears to be focused on restoring Paris to a tourist capital despite serious food and housing shortages. Protests over these oversights are ignored until they turn into bread riots, which are subsequently put down with a great deal of violence.
The Left Oppositionists fail to infiltrate the American army as they did with the Germans. Victory is close for the new occupation forces, many are jaded with what they've seen in Europe and even larger numbers are simply desperate to go home. It isn't long before many French start agreeing with them. Amidst their disillusionment many Americans end up on the take, most with black marketeers and other rackets. It isn't long before a certain stench of corruption begins to stick to the administration. Clarke doesn't take this lightly but he seems more focused on redirecting the problem rather than taking active steps to address it. He complains that Eisenhower is the Supreme Commander after all and that the main priority needs to be directed to assisting the war effort rather than rebuilding before the war is over.
What's left of Germany does, finally, collapse and this excuse no longer holds any weight whatsoever.
The subsequent Allied options for France are almost universally awful: continue to rule by military governor and face a potential guerilla war when families are clamouring for their sons to be brought home as soon as possible? Allow a free and fair election where the LO is likely to be the victor? Or, most difficult to countenance, try and unite the remaining credible centre-right and centre-left forces around an individual who can espouse enough appeal that the election result might not come across as too rigged?
[5] The latter is the least worst option but even the most amoral men in Western intelligence will spend the next few decades pondering whether or not it really had to be
him
*
OTL, on a small scale. Allegedly.