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Ian Does Maps

TheIO

HE WILL ATTEND CABINET
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Just mapped the results for the 2018 Colchester Borough Council elections. All-ups on new boundaries in 2016 - but the council is otherwise by thirds, meaning this year the third places were up. Since last time the Conservatives took a seat off the Lib Dems in Shrub End, bringing the pre-election standings to CON 23 LDM 14 LAB 11 IND 3; the council being run by a coalition of Liberal Democrats, Labour, and Highwoods Independents.

CBC2018.png
TOTAL: CON 25 (+2/-0) LDM 12 (+1/-3) LAB 11 (+1/-1) IND 3 (+0/-0)
OF CONTESTED: CON 10 LDM 2 LAB 4 IND 1
CHANGES: New Town & Christ Church (LAB GAIN from LDM), Stanway (CON GAIN from LDM), St Anne's & St John's (CON GAIN from LDM), Wivenhoe (LDM GAIN from LAB).

Party specific maps will come later.
 
CBC2018con.png
25 Conservatives on Colchester Borough Council. Darkest blue is 3, normal blue is 2, lightest blue is 1.

3/3 - Tiptree, Rural North, Marks Tey & Layer, Mersea & Pyefleet, Lexden & Braiswick, Prettygate.
2/3 - Shrub End (GAIN in last year's by), Stanway (GAIN), Castle
1/3 - St Anne's & St John's (GAIN, also my ward)

The Conservatives are unlikely to break into any of the wards they haven't already people in (aside from maybe Mile End) but conversions next year in their splits will put them over the line. Of their triples, the only one at any risk was Mersea & Pyefleet, where they narrowly held off a strong NIMBY challenge from John Akker.
 
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CBC2018ldm.png
12 Lib Dems on Colchester Borough Council. Orange is 3, dark yellow is 2, normal yellow is 1.

3/3 - Mile End
2/3 - New Town & Christ Church (LOSS), St Anne's & St John's (LOSS), Wivenhoe (GAIN)
1/3 - Castle, Stanway (LOSS), Shrub End (LOSS in last year's by)

Continuing story of steady decline for Colchester Lib Dems. Smith being unseated in SA&SJ was the shocker of the night, given that he's council leader and the brains of the council group, as well as his being a previously safe ward. The rest of the picture isn't too pretty either, with Mile End being their only hold. Yeah, they gained in Wivenhoe - but that was a) a strong personal battle between Scott & Duxford-Vaughn and b) on the back of the NIMBY vote against the Garden Villages plan pushed by, er, Lib Dem Council Leader Paul Smith. Mile End is now their only safe ward in the borough (maj. of ~400), with current trends indicating them being pushed out of all their split wards, falling back particularly hard in New Town and Castle (where they came fourth). It doesn't look good, though according to a close source (literally one of my coursemates) it is helping to clear a lot of dead wood from the local party.
 
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CBC2018lab.png
11 Labours on Colchester Borough Council. Dark red is 3, light red is 1.

3/3 - Greenstead, Old Heath & The Hythe, Berechurch
1/3 - Wivenhoe (LOSS), New Town & Christ Church (GAIN)

That second place last year in the snappy didn't exactly make itself shown this year in the locals. It's true that Rosalind Scott is a twunt, but losing by 400 in Wivenhoe does not look good for the reds down there. Perhaps in 2020 they'll need to send the troopers into the town, because apparently she got left out on a limb with the party pushing in NT&CC. The latter's a solid gain though, getting Lorcan Whitehead in by 500 votes. She's one to watch, being the first CBC Cllr to be a member of Momentum.
As for their future options - they're second in Shrub End and a close third in Castle, but so long as Goacher keeps working the latter they aren't getting ahead there. Beyond that, they've fuck all; and whilst Berechurch & OH&TH are bloody safe Greenstead could do with shoring up the turnout.
 
CBC2nd.png
And because I'm bored, all the second places.

The results for Lexden & Braiswick, Rural North, Marks Tey & Layer, Prettygate, and Tiptree are pretty meaningless because the non-first places are so close to each-other, also first place is miles ahead.
 
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