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Grab Bag of US Socialist PODs

OwenM

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I've been reading a fair bit about them lately, so I thought I'd throw out a few potential PODs
SLP-SDP Split:
Which side got the SLP name seems to have been a bit accidental, perhaps without that the SPA could have got off the ground earlier.
Further back, the general cause was feeling DeLeon was becoming autocratic, so what could the consequences of his absence (perhaps due to Van Patten not faking suicide?), and the immediate issue to do with the failure of his unionism strategy - if a more successful one had been pursued, what could the consequences be of a more socialist-inclined unionism in America?

1919 Splits

I'm not sure the split of the SPA can be averted by 1919, but the split within the Left Wing over the tactics of it probably can be. But the consequences of that probably boil down to "the Worker's Party exists a few years earlier and hasn't lost quite as many members in the interim".
It feels like the obvious choice for a POD with significant consequences, but I'm not sure there's one there.

Longer/Later/Averted US WW1

It seems fairly clear that American socialism's dreams of major party status were really dealt the killer blow by the late 1910s Red Scare - they just managed to hang onto hopes and dreams for a generation afterwards. This was of course a product of the American entry into WW1.
Jello Biafra in her now SLP-published work (ok, that acronym could be confusing in this context) has of course suggested that Socialism would have been stronger with a greater US participation in the war, and @Thande has argued that was what Turtledove was going for in TL-191 as well. There's likely some truth to the idea that the combination of the suspicion of those who were anti-war and the lack of the dead on Flanders Fields left Socialism weaker than any other would have - but were the 1910s already an unsustainable high tide mark for American Socialism? Oklahoma, the most promising state in 1914, was beginning to see a decline before everywhere else due to Socialist support for Mexicans, I believe.
And of course this one has far large consequences internationally.
The more vague thought I've had is that given how German the Socialist Party was, and the existing anti-Germanness of the Democrats that fed into their actions after entering the war, could a Republican entry into the war have seen less of that, and thus been not quite as dangerous for the Socialists?
 
SLP-SDP Split:

Genuinely misread that as Sea Lion Press- Social Democratic Party (as in the 1980s UK one).

The more vague thought I've had is that given how German the Socialist Party was, and the existing anti-Germanness of the Democrats that fed into their actions after entering the war, could a Republican entry into the war have seen less of that, and thus been not quite as dangerous for the Socialists

Or perhaps if things got more explicitly anti-German it might end up getting a shot in the arm as the only party that the German-Americans are comfortable supporting, a la the Irish and the Democrats in areas.
 
What about Roosevelt not running in 1912? Debs could possibly break into double digits then, which could have all sorts of butterflies even if by itself it probably doesn't save the party long-term
He might pull in 10% but that would be him hitting the ceiling. I don't think it would fix the internal mess of the party though. The thing about Debs is that he was less the master politician that was keeping an in party factional coalition together, and more was just a fireblanket kept on top of a hell storm to try and smother things with his prestige. Which is why many Socialist big wigs like Big Bill Haywood wouldn't ever take the nomination even though it was pretty regularly offered to them.

Between 1916 and 1920 there was going to be some sort of splits, though it is interesting at least to speculate on which ones they might be.
 
Let's not forget the classic Socialist POD, which is that McKinley is never assassinated and therefore Roosevelt never becomes President. The Progressive Era can't get off the ground and Socialism becomes much stronger in the US.

This is, of course, the POD used in Reds!: A Revolutionary TL, and I believe a couple of others as well.

Cheers,
Ganesha
 
He might pull in 10% but that would be him hitting the ceiling. I don't think it would fix the internal mess of the party though. The thing about Debs is that he was less the master politician that was keeping an in party factional coalition together, and more was just a fireblanket kept on top of a hell storm to try and smother things with his prestige. Which is why many Socialist big wigs like Big Bill Haywood wouldn't ever take the nomination even though it was pretty regularly offered to them.

Between 1916 and 1920 there was going to be some sort of splits, though it is interesting at least to speculate on which ones they might be.
Yeah, the more I read, the more I got the impression it wasn't some clever balancing act on his part, it was him not being that interested in the factional issues but can you lot just calm down and get back to work and letting everybody project what they wanted to in a way nobody in the party could have on purpose
 
Let's not forget the classic Socialist POD, which is that McKinley is never assassinated and therefore Roosevelt never becomes President. The Progressive Era can't get off the ground and Socialism becomes much stronger in the US.

This is, of course, the POD used in Reds!: A Revolutionary TL, and I believe a couple of others as well.

Cheers,
Ganesha
That's based on some real drastic misunderstandings of the era, what the Progressives were and what the Establishment of the GOP were as well. To the credit of Reds, Jello and Co retconned that PoD.
 
That's based on some real drastic misunderstandings of the era, what the Progressives were and what the Establishment of the GOP were as well. To the credit of Reds, Jello and Co retconned that PoD.

Really? Interesting! It's been ages since I've read that one. What was the retcon?

Cheers,
Ganesha
 
Really? Interesting! It's been ages since I've read that one. What was the retcon?

Cheers,
Ganesha
They did Owen's first idea, the SLP-SPA split is avoided, though I'd suggest that they didn't really do it in a particularly sound manner, not that it matters that project is about the end goals not the PoD or how it got there.
 
Have the Second Conference for Progressive Political Action in 1922 vote in favour of forming an independent political party which would, presumably, unite the disparate left-wing groups and parties behind a unified platform. Come 1924, assuming that the Democrats and Republicans both nominate conservatives as IOTL, this new Socialist Party would be in the ideal position to run as the progressive third party instead of Lafollette and the Progressives. Whilst they probably wouldn't win it could give them the opportunity to make their mark on American politics and establish them as a potential contender. Unlike the Progressives, who were essentially a faction of the Republicans with no intention of permanently splitting from them, this party would presumably be aspiring to become a permanent feature of American politics. If things go really well for them they could be in a position to win during the Great Depression.
 
Have the Second Conference for Progressive Political Action in 1922 vote in favour of forming an independent political party which would, presumably, unite the disparate left-wing groups and parties behind a unified platform. Come 1924, assuming that the Democrats and Republicans both nominate conservatives as IOTL, this new Socialist Party would be in the ideal position to run as the progressive third party instead of Lafollette and the Progressives. Whilst they probably wouldn't win it could give them the opportunity to make their mark on American politics and establish them as a potential contender. Unlike the Progressives, who were essentially a faction of the Republicans with no intention of permanently splitting from them, this party would presumably be aspiring to become a permanent feature of American politics. If things go really well for them they could be in a position to win during the Great Depression.
This is so not right it isn't even wrong.

A pumped up Farmer-Labor front for the Socialists is possible but you're drastically misunderstanding the 1924 Progressive Party, Robert LaFollette, and the ability of the Marxist factions to actually get their heads out of their own asses and start working together.
 
That wasn't a Populist Party embrace of Socialism though, folks didn't know that Debs had converted.

The odds are long but to present a modern comparison, it would be like Bernie Sanders winning the Democratic nomination, it might be doable but it wouldn't have made the party Socialist.
 
That wasn't a Populist Party embrace of Socialism though, folks didn't know that Debs had converted.

The odds are long but to present a modern comparison, it would be like Bernie Sanders winning the Democratic nomination, it might be doable but it wouldn't have made the party Socialist.
True, but with a stronger position in the party he could have pushed the Populists in that direction.
 
True, but with a stronger position in the party he could have pushed the Populists in that direction.
The Populists weren't going to get pushed that way under any circumstances. They weren't a Rural Red Party. Or even a Pink Party.
 
Let's not forget the classic Socialist POD, which is that McKinley is never assassinated and therefore Roosevelt never becomes President. The Progressive Era can't get off the ground and Socialism becomes much stronger in the US.

This is, of course, the POD used in Reds!: A Revolutionary TL, and I believe a couple of others as well.

Cheers,
Ganesha

I can’t agree with that. McKinley was a progressive-tinted president himself. Even if he wasn’t, there was an extremely strong populist movement in the Democratic Party that could have taken control of the presidency had things been a little different. No or less progressive movement probably strengthens the populist movement, not the socialists.
 
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