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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    So I've got some spreadsheet work to get nationwide percentages in 2015, and to include minor parties & independents between Saskatchewan & Quebec in 2019. With that proviso out of the way, here are the final seat-counts! BC 2015 Seats (FPTP) Seats (THANDEREP) Liberals 17 17...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    Utter West (i.e. British Columbia) 2015 Liberals 17/42 - 35.1% popular vote, 40.5% seats Conservatives 10/42 - 29.9% popular vote, 23.8% seats New Democrats 14/42 - 26.0% popular vote, 33.3% seats Greens 1/42 - 8.3% popular vote, 2.4% seats THANDEREP Liberals 17/42 - 35.1% popular vote, 40.5%...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    Our last constituency before I tally everything up! Rural Vancouver Island is solidly New Democrat on the surface, but they only net one seat under THANDEREP. There's a Conservative presence - John Duncan was the incumbent for North Vancouver Island in 2011 - and the Green party surpasses the...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    Central Victoria is sympathetic territory for the Greens, who place a competitive second in both years. Nevertheless the Liberals squeak in in 2015 over a second Green MP, and the Green vote softens enough that the Liberal returned is much safer in 2019.
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    Metro Vancouver 2015 Liberals 15/23 - 42.8% popular vote, 65.2% seats Conservatives 3/23 - 28.6% popular vote, 13.0% seats New Democrats 5/23 - 23.2% popular vote, 21.7% seats Greens 0/23 - 4.5% popular vote, 0.0% seats THANDEREP Liberals 12/23 - 42.8% popular vote, 52.2% seats Conservatives...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    These are the ridings I'm not lumping in with Powell River. Similar story to Western Vancouver, but thanks to its smaller size the Conservatives are frozen out in 2015. I'd originally planned to do all three North Shore ridings together, but Seymour is conjoined with Burnaby North! What do...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    Western Vancouver (not West Vancouver, we're getting there) is broadly wealthy and establishment-friendly, so Liberals tend to do well, but some go for Conservatives and THANDEREP rewards them with one seat. Under TOPVOTE Jody Wilson-Raybould finishes comfortably second (and would displace...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    You can divide Vancouver more or less along Main Street, as I have done. The east, especially the northeast, trends a little poorer, and is reliably New Democratic - Davies and Kwan are veterans. Unfortunately Davies is sidelined to make room for the Conservatives, but in 2019 he loses by only...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    The southwestern corner of Metro Vancouver, with a sizable Asian population in Richmond, was all Conservative in 2011. THANDEREP confirms the swing riding is real, and the community-wide trend is the same as the seat-by-seat aggregate result. The Delta Conservative gets seated opposite...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    Another leader crowded out by an electoral titan standing in a neighbouring safe seat. There's a Conservative minority in these towns that is worth some of the New Democrats' representation, and were THANDEREP real you can bet your boots Singh would pick up votes off Julian and the other NDP...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    My own fair (citation not needed - suck it, Doncaster!) home, the cities of Port Moody, Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, Pitt Meadows, and Maple Ridge. Tight three-way races are the norm here, and unfortunately THANDEREP brings the 2015 tally of "useless partisan lumps running in Coquitlam—Port...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    The Liberal sweep is pretty fragile on the south bank of the Fraser - the NDP incumbent in Surrey Centre survives in 2015 and the Conservatives pick off another seat in 2019 once votes are merged.
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    Still 2-party country, unlike most of the rest of Metro Vancouver. One swing riding, which THANDEREP recognizes as representative of a sizable minority worth a seat.
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    The Island and the Lower Mainland are all that's left; here we go! It's fun to glance at the minor parties column; I'd been stereotyping the area and expecting to see a slate of Christian Heritage candidates, but no! The party running in all three ridings in 2015 were the Marxist-Leninists...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    Three more single-seater districts in a hurry; there's an election on, after all. Basically everything north-but-not-northwest of Prince George, but I couldn't think of a poetic way to say it. Way too big to add to Cariboo. The coastal half of the North. Could go Conservative under the right...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    A quick breakdown BC Southern Interior 2015 Liberals 1/7 - 31.9% popular vote, 14.3% seats Conservatives 4/7 - 36.8% popular vote, 57.1% seats New Democrats 2/7 - 27.4% popular vote, 28.6% seats Greens 0/7 - 3.9% popular vote, 0.0% seats THANDEREP Liberals 2/7 - 31.9% popular vote, 28.6% seats...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    Let no one say that THANDEREP takes out the knife-edge results, as in 2019 the Liberals squeak a candidate in by just fifteen votes! The gravitational centre of the pair is definitely in the southern one - Kamloops is a significant urban centre - so it's not surprising that no THANDEREP MP is...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    The heart of this group of ridings is the city of Kelowna, larger than any urban centre in the province save Vancouver & Victoria. It's got a good-size Liberal vote but the weakest New Democrat vote and PPC vote of the bunch. The Green data is murky, as in 2015 the Green Party candidate...
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    Thandean Representation: The 2015 and 2019 Canadian Federal Elections Under Another Voting System

    So it begins. These ridings in the southern Rockies are Conservative-New Democrat marginals; Stetski won by a couple hundred votes in 2015, Cannings by seventy-six the next election. THANDEREP recognizes this and awards the parties one seat each; a third seat would make things properly...
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