Jammu and Kashmir's electoral grid
Thinking I might turn this into (alongside a previous S Korea list) into a short thing, so watch this spaceGeneral Secretaries of the Workers Party of Korea
Kim Il-sung, 1948-1956 (deposed)
Pak Chang-ok, 1956 (acting)
Kim Tu-bong, 1956-1963
Yun Kong-hum, 1963-
Short List, thicc footnotes
Same TL as this list
Summer2019Punk: The Long Road to Brexit
2017-2019: Theresa May (Conservative Minority with DUP Supply & Confidence)
2019-2019: Jeremy Hunt (Conservative Minority with DUP Supply & Confidence)
2019-Present: Naomi Long (Alliance Party leading Labour-Unite To Remain-Alliance "Second Referendum" coalition)
“A car has just pulled up outside the Labour Party HQ. This might suggest that Jeremy Corbyn will be going to the palace as leader of the largest party in the House of Commons. Of course to secure a majority he would need the support of the Liberal Democrats and their 119 MPs as well as one or more other parties. Several party leaders, notably Jo Swinson of the Liberal Democrats had ruled out a government lead by Jeremy Corbyn but not necessarily a coalition with the Labour party if a second European Union referendum was offered.
“Yes, we can see several figures walking out of the building, I,”
“It's a woman, it's not Jo Swinson, hang on...” - Laura Kuenssberg, BBC News, 8th November 2019
“We’re going to have the first Downing Street Cat that’s a Dog! How Progressive!”- @Sideways , the same day.
"Has anyone checked on @Ulster ?"
"The area or the man,"
"Yes,"
-Bolt451 and @Kato , also the same day
Naomi Long is arguably the least likely Prime Minister in UK History. Re-elected MP for Belfast East in September 2019 she was one of two Alliance MPs elected in that tumultuous election.
However to explain how she ended up Prime Minister in one of the biggest crises the United Kingdom has ever faced we need to go back to the summer of 2019 and the European Parliament elections required by the extension of Britain’s article 50 deadline. The elections saw the rise of the newly formed Brexit Party and the rise out of the ashes of the Liberal Democrats on a policy of no-deal Brexit and a second referendum respectively. The Lib Dems already bolstered by the defection of several MPs from Labour and the Conservatives. Their rise in polls both for European Parliament and the House of Commons saw Labour and especially the Conservatives plummet. Labour remained the party of “soft Brexit” promising protection for worker’s rights and access to the single market. The Conservative’s deal on a transition period had been voted down multiple times but no alternative could be agreed on.
The European elections were a washout for the Conservatives, losing most of their seats to the Brexit Party with Labour losing several to the Lib Dems. Theresa May tendered her designation almost immediately, staying on as a caretaker and for President Trump’s state visit. Meanwhile the Lib Dems and the Brexit party continued to rise in the polls, both frequently topping various and numerous polls and surveys.
The election of Jeremy Hunt as Conservative leader (and so Prime Minister) was far from energising for the Conservative party. Elected by a narrow margin by the party in a gaffe prone and bitter leadership competition (one MP being caught on Microphone saying it was “a choice between a remainer and a man who looks like a haunted puppet”) Hunt was far from the uniting figure they needed.
Over the summer recess there would be several more defections to the Brexit Party and to the Liberal Democrats, mostly from the conservatives but one or two from Labour (and in the case of Kate Hoey, from Labour to the Brexit Party). When recess ended A vote of no confidence was held in the Prime Minister and he lost. He lost the further vote and an election was called. The Prime Ministers last act was to go to Europe to ask for an extension to the Article 50 Deadline. It was allowed and the election campaign began.
The four platforms were already laid out by the main four parties. The Tories looking for a deal but not guaranteeing access to the single market or certain rights for EU citizens. Labour being the party of “Soft Brexit” the Lib Dems demanding a second referendum and the Brexit Party saying we should leave without a deal. The only change to this was the creation of Unite to Remain, an electoral pact between the Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru and surprisingly, the Green Party of England and Wales and the Green Party of Scotland to stand down for each other's candidates and campaign under a united banner. This was seen at the time to benefit the Liberal Democrats and Plaid Cymru but unpopular amongst the Green Parties.
Throughout the election the four parties (to take U2R as a single party) hovering around 20% and in the end the vote would be split Con 18% Lab 22% U2R 24% Brexit 20%. The Tories were destroyed, dropping down to 147 seats. Labour dropped to 248, the Lib Dems rocketed to 143 seats and Brexit went from 9 seats to 38. Countless Tories and Labour lost their seats. Most notably the Prime Minister and Former Prime Minister Theresa May both lost to the Liberal Democrats. Labour’s losses were primarily to the Lib Dems in affluent urban areas while they retained much of the “Red wall”. The Tories lost a lot of the South West, former Lib Dem heartlands, to the Lib Dems but overall results were chaotic with hundreds of seats having majorities of less than two thousand. In some areas surprise victors came about as competing parties split previously seat winning votes.
It was obvious from the results that there was only one feasible option, that of a Labour-Unite To Remain Government (variously dubbed the Remain govt, the second referendum coalition and the Traffic Light Coalition). Throughout the Campaign a lot had been said between Labour and the Liberal Democrats and especially between Jeremy Corbyn and Jo Swinson. Corbyn hadn’t ruled out a coalition but had said that their aim was always to govern as a majority. Swinson however had gone as far as to say that she’d not be part of a coalition with Jeremy Corbyn as Prime Minister so when Labour and the constituent members of U2R met to discuss a potential platform the choice of Prime Minister was also on the table.
Following the election alongside calls for each newspaper or other publication’s choice of Brexit outcome there was a significant shift in public support for electoral reform. The Brexit Party got 20% of the votes but 6% of the seats and while the Lib Dems were closer to vote to seat parity they could see they’d scraped in in a lot of seats. There was also huge public outcry at the number of seats the Conservatives got despite coming fourth in the popular vote and that Labour barely came second and yet ended up by far the biggest party. The new government would rectify this with a two stage referendum to initially be held in May 2020. The first question would cover whether they wanted to get rid of First Past the Post. Something Labour and the Liberal Democrats would both back yes on (And could guarantee Nigel Farage and The Brexit Party as strange bedfellows too) and the second question would be what to replace it with, with Labour proposing the Additional Member system as used in Wales and Scotland, the Liberal Democrats proposing Single Transferrable Vote and the two Green Parties proposing regional list Proportional Representation. Further proposals to reform the House of Lords were also agreed on in principle. English Devolution would also “be investigated”
The rest of the talks were on what the course of action would be when it came to Brexit. It was agreed that a six month extension would be agree on with a referendum being held in March 2020 on a revised deal. This deal would be Labour lead (with Kier Starmer being Secretary for Leaving the EU) and built around principles of remaining in the single market, protections for workers and EU citizens and continued cooperation with the EU on matters such as policing. These principles would also be continued into negotiations of any permanent relationship if the March referendum delivered a leave vote. In this referendum Labour could campaign for the deal and the Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru and the Green Parties would campaign to remain.
The only thing that remained was for a Prime Minister designate and the cabinet. The Green Party of England and Wales was considered as a more neutral party, as was Plaid Cymru . It is believed that Caroline Lucas and Leanne Wood were suggested but in the end they would become Environment Secretary and Welsh Secretary respectively. In the end they looked outside of Labour and U2R and the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland were invited to join the new government with their 2 MPs, being pro remain but open to Labour’s agreement to stay in the single market. Stephen Farry would be Northern Ireland Secretary and party leader Naomi Long would go to the Palace and become Prime Minister.
To be continued
Inject it into my veins to save me from alt-covid
1895-1908: Spencer Cavendish, Duke of Devonshire (Emergency, later Liberal Unionist)
1895 (Emergency Government) vs. Henry Hyndman (Social Democratic Federation) and O'Donovan Rossa (Irish Republican Brotherhood)
1896 (Majority, with Conservative and Liberal Unionist) def. William E. Gladstone (Liberal), John Dillon (INF)
1901 (Majority, with Conservative and Liberal Unionist) def. Henry Campbell-Bannerman (Liberal), John Dillon (IPP), Kier Hardie (LRC)
1906 (Minority, with Conservative and Liberal Unionist) def. Henry Campbell-Bannerman (Liberal), Kier Hardie (Labour Party), John Redmond (IPP)
1908: George Curzon, Lord Curzon (Conservative)
1908-1910: Arthur Henderson (Labour)
1908 (Minority, with S&C from IPP and some Liberal) def. George Curzon, Lord Curzon (Conservative), Henry Campbell-Bannerman (Liberal), John Redmond (IPP)
1910-1916: Archibald Primrose, Earl Roseberry (Liberal)
1910 (Minority, with S&C from Labour and IPP) def. George Curzon, Lord Curzon (Conservative), John Redmond (IPP), Arthur Henderson (Labour)
1915 (Wartime Coalition, with Conservative)
1916-1918: Walter Long (Unionist)
1916 (Wartime Coalition, with Liberal, some Labour, some IPP)
1918-1920: Arthur Henderson (Labour)
1918 (Minority, with S&C from Anti-Coalition Liberal and IPP) def. Walter Long (Unionist), David Lloyd George (Anti-Coalition Liberals), Eamon de Valera (Sinn Fein), Edward Grey (Pro-Coalition Liberals), John Dillon (IPP)
1920-1924: Walter Long (Unionist)
1920 (Majority) def. Arthur Henderson (Labour), Eamon de Valera (Sinn Fein), David Lloyd George (Radicals), Edward Grey (Liberals)
1924-1925: Douglas Hogg (Conservative)
1925-1929: Arthur Henderson (Labour)
1925 (Coalition, with Radicals) def. Douglas Hogg (Conservative), David Lloyd George (Radicals), Sir John Simon (Liberal)
1929-1936: Douglas Hogg (Conservative)
1929 (Majority) def. Arthur Henderson (Labour), Sir John Simon (Liberal), David Lloyd George (Radicals)
1933 (Majority) def. J.R. Clynes (Labour), Sir John Simon (Liberal)
1936-1942: J.R. Clynes (Labour)
1936 (Majority) def. Douglas Hogg (Conservative), Sir John Simon (Liberal)
1940 (Majority) def. Kingsley Wood (Conservative), Leslie Hore-Belisha (Liberal)
1942-1953: Herbert Morrison (Labour)
1942 (Wartime Coalition, with Conservatives and Liberals) def. Kingsley Wood (Conservative), Leslie Hore-Belisha (Liberal), Harry Pollitt (CPGB)
1945 (Majority) def. Samuel Hoare (Conservative), Sir Archibald Sinclair (Liberal)
1950 (Majority) def. Anthony Eden (Conservative), Sir Archibald Sinclair (Liberal)
1953-1954: Ellen Wilkinson (Labour)
1954-1962: Anthony Eden (Conservative)
1954 (Majority) def. Ellen Wilkinson (Labour), Violet Bonham Carter (Liberal)
1959 (Majority) def. Aneurin Bevan (Labour), Violet Bonham Carter (Liberal)
1962-1964: Reginald Maudling (Conservative)
1964-1969: Denis Healy (Labour)
1964 (Majority) def. Reginald Maudling (Conservative), Donald Wade (Liberal), John Gollan (CPGB), Tony Cliff (International Socialists)
1969-1973: Enoch Powell (Conservative)
1969 (Minority) def. Denis Healy (Labour), Tony Cliff (International Socialists), Donald Wade (Liberal), John Gollan (CPGB), John O’Brien (National Front)
1973-1977: Peter Shore (Labour)
1973 (Minority, S&C from IS and Liberal) def. Enoch Powell (Conservative), Tony Cliff (International Socialists), Eric Lubbock (Liberal), John O’Brien (National Front), John Gollan (CPGB)
1977-1986: James Prior (Conservative)
1977 (Majority) def. Peter Shore (Labour), Eric Lubbock (Liberal), Tony Cliff (International Socialists), John O’Brien (National Front)
1981 (Majority) def. Shirley Williams (Labour), Eric Lubbock (Liberal)
1985 (Majority) def. John Smith (Labour), Richard Wainwright (Liberal)
1986-1988: Edwina Currie (Conservative)
1988-1994: John Smith (Labour)
1988 (Majority) def. Edwina Currie (Conservative), Richard Wainwright (Liberal)
1993 (Majority) def. Edwina Currie (Conservative), Alan Beith (Liberal)
1994-2000: Tony Blair (Labour)
1998 (Coalition, with Liberal) def. Kenneth Clarke (Conservative), Alan Beith (Liberal)
I know I may be late, but as someone who has spent a very stupid amount of time with the online Electoral Calculus thing this is amazing and I love it so much. If you would continue this I would totally read more.Edited this. forgot Jeremy Hunt's tenure as the shortest lasting PM in history (July-November 2019).
Now trying to work out how this govt would deal with COVID, and when the next election would be held. Would folks want to read more?
Not that Longstreet's successor Lamar would need to worry about it; between the disenfranchisement of rebels by the loyalty oaths, the groundswell of anger from poor whites, and much tutting by those who didn't believe it Constitutional (the good kind, not the rebellious kind) for him to stand for election, he came a distant third and only succeeded in splitting the Democratic vote.
Oxford Academic Survey: Top 10 Prime Ministers of the 20th Century
(Or what happens when you stick every major British figure in a lottery, and try justify the results on a bottle of Johnnie Walker)
[1] The Greatest British Prime Minister of the 20th Century, as voted for by the nation's finest academics. Not merely someone who won the war, as predecessors and successors did, but one that one who won the peace too. In addition to being the man who saw out the final (and arguably, hardest) days of the 2ndWW, Herbert Morrison was the man who conducted the peace that would govern Britain diplomatically, and the Consensus that governed it domestically, for the next 20 years. For his expert insight into municipal socialism, intra-Commonwealth diplomacy and local governance, Morrison rarely appears outside the to 10in any list, and here appears as the finest PM of the 20th Century.
- Herbert Morrison (1942-1950) [1]
- Douglas Hogg (1924-1925, 1929-1936) [2]
- J.R. Clynes (1936-1942) [3]
- James Prior (1977-1986) [4]
- Anthony Eden (1950-1962) [5]
- Arthur Henderson (1908-1910, 1918-1920, 1925-1929) [6]
- Walter Long (1916-1918, 1920-1924) [7]
- Spencer Cavendish (1895-1908) [8]
- Tony Blair (1994-2000) [9]
- John Smith (1988-1994) [10]
[2] Douglas Hogg: he who set interwar Britain on the right path, and defined what modern conservativism means for the next 100 years. Although he was never popular in his own time, Douglas Hogg’s time in office writes better than he lived it, as the man who reaffirmed One Nationism in a Tory Party prone to Nationalism and Reaction, his moderation of the Right in the turbulent 30’s not only guided Britain through the Slump that proved ruinous for Europe and the Americas, but led its transmission from Empire to Commonwealth and guided it to the first hammer blow against fascism in the Suez War. Thought of better now than then, Hogg always defines the top of these kind of lists as what a PM can accomplish in turbulent times. A man who put Empire before Party, Hogg is the man all Young Conservatives hope to be.
[3] Hero of the Labour Right, Clynes not only established the Labour Party as a force that could take socialism to governance and keep it there by constitutional means, but one that proved its credentials for sound economics and patriotism beyond doubt. Clynes would secure the financial dominance of the Commonwealth, in spite of Indian Home Rule, after the Wall Street Crash, but led the allies of democracy against fascism and Stalinism, first in Spain, then across Europe in the 2nd WW. In defiance of a western ‘Market’ and eastern ‘State’ economy, as well as needing to forge a new path from his predecessor, Clynes introduced the ‘social’ aspect of Socialism with the Credit system of Mosely and Douglas that would balance Britain in its Production of Peace and the Consumption of War with fascist powers. The only reason he does not ascend the top spot in this (and other lists) is the failure of Clynes and his government to save Scandinavia for the United Nations, and the vote of no confidence that ensured he could not finish the work started in 1940.
[4] The controversial Father of the Nation, Jim Prior remains a fond twinkle of the eye of the average Briton, as the man who led it a way from the ravages of the 60s and 70s extremism. Prior not merely managed to reaffirm the Tory Position as ‘the Party of Government’, but redefined the British economy from the Morrisonion consensus. The Social Economy remains the driving force behind Britain’s economy to this day, first fostered under ‘Our Jim’, as such this, and his place in expanding Britain from being a mainly Commonwealth trader, define his position in the Top 5.
[5] Man of the Commonwealth should read the epithet of Sir Anthony Eden, for better or worse. It was Eden who simultaneously took a post-War Conservative Party kicking and screaming from its Edwardian, die-hards into the 20th Century and kept Britain as the moral conscience of the Western Democracies in the Cold War. Eden never flinched from accepting the Conservative position as the junior Party in the Wartime Coalition – a feat many of his senior colleagues managed – but neither did he give up on the solidarity of the British Commonwealth of his youth. As America kept badgering corners of the former British Empire to be less ‘Communist’, Eden was always ready to stand it the way of Washington or Moscow’s way, whether at Nasserist Cairo, Calcutta, Canberra or Apartheid Cape Town. Eden showed Britain as not the third Party between a Capitalist West or Communist East, but for a brief time the best of either sphere, a happy middle ground, that remains the ambitions of whichever Party in Global Politics.
[6] The indefatigable force behind Labour’s drive to power in the latter half of the 20th Century, ‘Uncle Arthur’ oversaw Labour from its highest heights and lowest lows pre-War and highest heights and lowest lows post-War. Not merely the man who proved that Labour could govern bit the man who proved (after a few false starts) that a socialist party could govern responsibly. For more than 10 years, Henderson flogged and drilled Hardie’s socialists away from Revolution towards a more Constitutional methodology after the turbulent 1890s, before he became the first Labour PM. After the false start of the People’s Budget (overturned by Roseberry in the 1910 election), Henderson was determined to prove Labour as Patriotic as any in British politics at the time, and defied MacDonald’s challenge in 1915 to join the Wartime govt., which proved more of a boost the his and Party popularity that allowed them to take the Khaki election in 1918. He consequently define post-War Global disarmament, and his govt of the 20s would lay the foundations of a welfare state that included a basic standard of living for the working class, state intervention in National Industry and attempt to redistribute Wealth that defined Labour until the 1960s. The dawn of the 1930s coincided with his retirement from frontline politics, and the polarised position of the times meant he could never quite reconcile with a Labour Party that had moved beyond him.
[7] He who won the War, but lost the Peace. Long was the die-hard Unionist, who at the darkest hour of the Haig Offensive and the Palestine Campaign, brought out the best in the British Empire. As France prevaricated, and the Liberals quarrelled, Long provided the quiet serenity that gave them breathing room, but never doubted the result would be victory. After the Liberals finally discredited themselves as a Party of Power, Long filled a vacuum that opened the space for the Victories of 1917: the triumph of British dreadnoughts at Sylt; blunting of the Central Powers Offensive in the Autumn; and, the innovation of allied tanks in the Great Offensive that brough the Kaiser to his knees. However, Peace was not to be Long’s suit, he remained intransigent to Irish Nationalism that resulted in the Kerry Massacres of 1918, and his threats of deploying British troops occupying Germany to Ireland definitively cost the Coalition the next election. However even after the return to power in 1920, Long still could not dance to the tune of popular opinion opining a policy of ‘consistent punishment’ that repudiated Labour on commitments regarding Irish partition; German occupation and reparation; Naval armaments, and Imperial-American trade.
[8] The first PM of the Century, and a man whose actions would define the first half of the Century. Appointed to rescue the Nation by the Queen at an Alliance of Liberals and Conservatives at the head of the ’95 Emergency, Cavendish’s tenure would be defined by one of stability at Home and Abroad. A Premiership split traditionally in two halves (pre and post Centennial), the only Liberal Unionist to hold the Premiership define his tenure by first Tsarist measures to the Unions and Working Class, grinding them underfoot with Scotland Yard and the Army, then a Bismarkian strategy of trying to out do them with the introduction of State Pensions, establishment of labour exchanges and electoral reform. Simultaneously, Cavendish reached an Entente with France and Russia that drew Britain into the Continental Alliance system. Despite the best of intentions however, all these culminated in Cavendish’s worst desires, a Labour government – not that he lived to see it…
[9] Blair was the man that saw out the end of the century, and for that remains hard done by. Although he tried his best to define a ‘New’ Labour Party, his efforts remained under cut by events within his own Party and Globally. As his predecessor had seen off the Left of the Party, Blair was left to establish the meaning of its Right. This Problem was not helped by shackling of Labour to the Liberals in the ‘Millennium Coalition’, Blair was consequently left trailing behind in the wake of a government even bigger than himself. With personalities like Ashdown, Prescott and Mowlam, Blair struggled to compete effectively. Nevertheless, Blair is commonly diagnosed as having peaked too early, but is accepted to be in the middle of a comeback that could reshape British politics amidst the Sterling Collapse.
[10] Really, Smith was defined more by what he didn’t do than what he did. A career cut short by his premature death, Smith was in the middle of rehabilitating Labour to Prior’s Social Economy and Britain and the Commonwealth to a world without a stand-off between Washington, Moscow and London. While Marxism crumbled, and Socialism scrounged for an alternative, Smith tried his best to fill the gap in the ability and limitations of State power, but was consistently undermined by the short comings of his own health. No doubt that had his physical health matched his intellectual, Smith would be much further astride this list.
35. Richard Nixon Republican Henry Cabot Lodge
def. John F. Kennedy Democratic Lyndon B. Johnson
36. Henry Scoop Jackson Democratic Wilbur Mills
def. Richard Nixon Republican Henry Cabot Lodge
1.Two days before the 1960 presidential debates J.f.k.'s Addison's acts up and the t.v. debates are cancelled. Kennedy also does not call m.l.k when he is in jail.
Once in office President Nixon orders the u.s. invasion of Cuba. Throughout Nixon's term as president racial riots break out all across the u.s.
2.Washington Senator Henry Jackson defeats Nixon in 1964.presidnet elect Jackson has promised to get a civil rights bill passed through congress. it looks feasible since the Democrats have majority in house and senate.
One of the few lists in this thread that I desperately want to see expanded upon thanks to the prose and imagination.
I actually tried to write a US presidential list in the world of a Confederate victory, based off Joshua ben Ari's idea of a post-Confederate Civil War North America as well as two concepts from TL-191 that particularly bothered me...
OH SHID IS THAT THE RETURN OF THE TOP TEN RANKED FORMAT I SEE?!
(also great list btw, love the writeups)